Tuesday, September 2, 2014

Lower markets after sustantial gain for stocks in August

Dow dropped 30. decliners over advancers 5-4 & NAZ climbed 17.  The MLP index fell 2+ to the 537s & the REIT index was up pennies in the 311s.  Junk bond funds were mixed & Treasuries sold off.  Oil rebounded after recent selling while gold continued weak.

AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)











CLV14.NYM....Crude Oil Oct 14....95.96 Up ....1.29 (1.4%)

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]




Apple said its iCloud service wasn’t breached by hackers who posted nude pictures of celebrities, as the company works to deflect questions about the security of its systems.  Photos from the celebrities were stolen individually, the company said.  The celebrity accounts were “compromised by a very targeted attack on user names, passwords and security questions, a practice that is all too common on the internet,” the company said.  It's working to quiet a firestorm about the hacked celebrity accounts, with nude photos of actress Jennifer Lawrence & others surfacing over the last few days on the internet, allegedly obtained by hackers who used the company’s iCloud service to illegally access files.  The reports threatened to mar Apple’s event next Tues, where the company is set to unveil new iPhones, a wearable device & a mobile-payments system.  The incidents spurred the FBI to release a statement yesterday saying the agency is aware of the allegations “concerning computer intrusions and the unlawful release of material involving high profile individuals.”  The agency is “addressing the matter,” the FBI said.  The iCloud service is a key part of AAPL strategy to unite its iPhones, tablets & desktop computers, letting users store contacts, e-mails, photos & other personal information on external systems they can access.  The stock was up fractionally higher.  If you would like to learn more about AAPL, click on this link:
club.ino.com/trend/analysis/stock/AAPL?a_aid=CD3289&a_bid=6ae5b6f7 
    
Apple Says ICloud Not Breached for Hacked Actors’ Photos

Apple (AAPL)




Home Depot, a Dow stock, said it was working with banks & law enforcement to investigate a possible data breach.  “We’re looking into some unusual activity,” a spokeswoman for company said.  “We are aggressively gathering facts at this point while working to protect customers. If we confirm that a breach has occurred, we will make sure customers are notified immediately.”  There’s evidence that this problem is linked to the Target (TGT), a Dividend Aristocrat, breach last year.   At HD, the suspected breach may have occurred in late Apr or early May & could encompass all US stores.  Stolen cards were marketed on the web.  The stock dropped 1.88.  If you would like to learn more about HD, click on this link:
club.ino.com/trend/analysis/stock/HD?a_aid=CD3289&a_bid=6ae5b6f7

Home Depot Shares Drop After Retailer Investigates Data Breach

Home Depot (HD)




McDonald's, a Dow stock & Dividend Aristocrat, appointed a China food safety chief & is stepping up unannounced audits of suppliers after an expired meat scandal led it & other restaurant chains to pull products.  The newly created position has authority to veto food sourcing or production decisions upon any concerns.  It has also set up an anonymous hot-line for food suppliers & employees, raised frequency of third-party audits, & is requiring suppliers to install more cameras to monitor production facilities.  “McDonald’s expects all staff and suppliers to carry out these added measures to enhance their food safety and quality systems,” the China unit said.  “We have zero tolerance to non-compliance.”  The company was among companies sourcing meat & vegetables from OSI Group’s China unit, now under investigation for repackaging expired chicken & beef to sell.  Last month, OSI said 6 Shanghai Husi employees were arrested in relation to the investigation.  MCD China now has 5 existing meat suppliers ramping up production to meet its needs.  It also confirmed Creative Food Group as a new supplier for produce, & in the process of qualifying Golden State Foods as its new produce supplier.  Some of its restaurants will resume produce supply from early Sep, with full supply restarting across China from the 3rd week of Sep, adding it’s taken a longer time as new suppliers & their facilities have to go thru due diligence processes.  The stock fell 92¢.  If you would like to learn more about MCD, click on this link:
club.ino.com/trend/analysis/stock/MellCD?a_aid=CD3289&a_bid=6ae5b6f7

McDonald’s Steps Up Spot Checks to Win Back China Diners

McDonald's (MCD)




Stocks were hit with mild profit taking after the Aug rally.  In a little more than 3 weeks, Dow rose a surprising 700.  Economic news has been mixed & conflicts in the MidEast are getting less attention.  But the biggies are meeting in Europe this week where Obama will give some kind warning to the bad guys which won't mean much to them.  Economic data should be favorable, but the HD breach is a kick in the head that consumer spending does not need.  For what it's worth, Sep has the tradition of being the worst month for stocks.

Dow Jones Industrials



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Markets fluctuate amid August manufacturing data

Dow added 6, advancers slightly ahead of decliners & NAZ gained 15.  The MLP index slid a fraction in the 539s & the REIT index was off pennies in the 311s.  Junk bond funds were mixed & Treasuries saw selling, taking the yield on the 10 year Treasury over 2.4%.  Oil started the month with a strong rebound & gold fell back.

AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)


CLV14.NYM...Crude Oil Oct 14...95.96 Up ...1.29 (1.4%)

GCQ15.CMX...Gold Aug 15....1,281.20 Down ...9.20  (0.7%)









Manufacturing in U.S. Expands at Fastest Pace in Three Years
Photo:   Bloomberg in Ju

Manufacturing expanded in Aug at the fastest pace in 3 years as orders grew by the most in a decade, showing US factories may help power the economy into Q3.  The Institute for Supply Management’s index unexpectedly climbed to 59, the highest level since Mar 2011, from 57.1 in Jul.  Readings greater than 50 indicate growth.  The  forecast was for 57.  A drive to update plants & equipment is propelling gains in business investment that will probably keep American factories busy even as consumer spending shows signs of cooling.  Better wage growth could broaden household purchases beyond automobiles & help sustain the pickup in manufacturing, which makes up 12% of the economy.  The news on manufacturing was less positive overseas as UK factory growth slowed more than forecast last month & Italian manufacturing shrank as Europe suffered the fallout from weakening demand & mounting geopolitical risks.  The increase in the ISM index came as the group’s new orders gauge climbed to 66.7, the highest since Apr 2004.  The production gauge rose to the strongest since May 2010, reaching 64.5 from 61.2 the prior month & the measure of orders waiting to be filled climbed to 52.5 from 49.5.  The report also showed gauges of factory inventories & customer stockpiles both advanced in Aug from a month earlier.  The group’s factory employment measure was little changed at 58.1 compared with a 3-year high of 58.2 the prior month.  The figures follow data last week that showed the economy expanded at a 4.2% annualized pace in Q2 after shrinking 2.1% in Q1.

U.S. Manufacturing Grows at Fastest Pace in Three Years


The Markit Economics final Aug index of US manufacturing rose to 57.9, the highest level since Apr 2010, from 55.8 the month before as orders & factory employment picked up.  Readings exceeding 50 in the purchasing managers’ gauge indicate expansion.  The forecast was for 58.  The orders measure increased to 60.5 from 59.5 in Jul & employment grew at a faster pace.  “The latest survey points to the fastest upturn in payroll numbers for around a year-and-a-half, highlighting that the manufacturing sector continues to have a positive impact on overall labor market conditions,” Tim Moore, a senior economist at Markit said.  The Markit measure is based on a poll of more than 600 American manufacturers, with a response rate of 85-90%.

Markit Manufacturing Index in U.S. Increases to 57.9 From 55.8


Russia stepped up its criticism of the US over Ukraine as pres Obama heads to eastern Europe to reassure NATO members of their security.  Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov said Ukraine’s allies are stoking the 5-month conflict & should back peace talks, even as pres Putin sought to calm concern over remarks his army could “take Kiev” in a matter of weeks.  The Ukrainian Defense Minister said defenses must be strengthened in the face of a “full-scale invasion” by Russia.  “Unfortunately, the rise of the ‘party of war’ in Ukraine is being actively encouraged by Washington and some European capitals and more and more frequently from NATO headquarters in Brussels,” Lavrov said.  Ukraine, the US & Europe accuse Russia of dispatching soldiers & backing militias to open a new front.  Russia, which is facing further sanctions as early as this week over the unrest, has repeatedly denied involvement.  Obama will visit Estonia, on his way to this week’s NATO summit in the UK.  Lavrov said any move by Ukraine to join NATO would upset peace talks that are due to continue Sep 5 in Minsk.  Obama is scheduled to meet the leaders of Estonia, Latvia & Lithuania, 3 former Soviet republics that are now part of the military alliance.  He’ll then head on to the NATO gathering amid the Ukrainian conflict & an escalating threat from Islamic extremists in Iraq & Syria.

Russia Accuses U.S. of Stoking Ukraine Conflict as Obama Heads to Region


Stocks have had pretty much a straight up run in the last few weeks while many were away on holiday.  Nothing new is getting decided today.  Aug economic data reported this week should be favorable.  But the intl scene remains a mess, starting with the Ukraine.  NATO will not take any meaningful action.  On the US front, while manufacturing data is looking better consumer spending.remains spotty.  The big jobs reports is due on Fri, but it should not have negative surprises.

Dow Jones Industrials








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