Thursday, July 28, 2016

Markets fluctuate on mixed earnings

Dow lost 15, advancers were slightly ahead of decliners & NAZ added 15.  The MLP index was off a fraction to the 314s & the REIT index went up 2+ to the 372s.  Junk bond funds were a little lower & Treasuries inched higher.  Oil sank for a 6th straight session & gold gained ground.

AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)






3 Stocks You Should Own Right Now - Click Here!





Crude Oil Sep 16

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Flattening US sales & Brexit's impact on the European market will likely weigh on H2, Ford CEO Mark Fields said.  He said consumer demand in the US, as well as China, has softened in 2016.  Ford is seeing lower pricing & higher incentives in both regions, while the retail side of the US market declined in Q2.  Q2 earnings fell 9% to $2B, as North American sales were flat even though the automaker increased spending on promotional discounts.  Ford booked a pretax profit of $2.7B in North America, down 5% year-over-year.  Financial results also weakened in Asia, where Ford recorded a pretax loss ($8M) for the first time in more than 3 years.  Although European operations provided a boost, Ford is preparing to deal with downside risks following the UK referendum to leave the EU.  Ford took a $60M hit in Q2 because of a weaker £, & Brexit could cost the company another $200M thru the rest of the year.  Ford projected an annual cost of $400-500M until the UK officially splits from the EU & forms a new trade pact.  Europe accounts for approximately 30% of sales.  Ford, which missed the forecast for quarterly earnings, still maintained its full-year outlook for pretax earnings of $10-11B.  In the US, Ford is warning that industry sales are beginning to plateau in the wake of a record-setting year in 2015.  Fields noted how retail demand sputtered in 2, despite relatively positive numbers on consumer confidence.  “On the car side, as you see consumers gravitate towards SUVs and trucks—and we’re doing very well in those segments—that’s causing a lot of pressure in the car segment. You have a number of manufacturers…that want to protect their market share,” he added.  “Our view for second half of the year is that the retail industry is going to be lower than last year,” he said.  Q3 will be especially challenging for Ford due to expenses related to the launch of new 2017 Super Duty pickup trucks.  Ford’s rollout of aluminum-bodied, heavy-duty pickup trucks follows the Dec 2014 launch of the current F-150 model, the first truck with an aluminum body.  The stock tumbled 1.13 (8%).  If you would like to learn more about Ford, click on this link:
club.ino.com/trend/analysis/stock/F?a_aid=CD3289&a_bid=6ae5b6f7

Ford CEO: Sales Slowdown Will Dent Second Half

Ford (F)



Facebook beat expectations for profit & revenue yet again, pushing up its shares to a record high & allowing it to become the 5th biggest US company by market capitalization ($367B).  Analysts said its "video first" strategy would help drive the company's growth well into the future as more advertisers move money to mobile platforms.  FB, which now has more than 1.7B monthly users, said its ad revenue surged 63% in Q2, with mobile accounting for 84% of the total.  FB shows no sign of slowing down.  Its record quarterly profit & revenue trounced estimates as the company's mobile app & push into video helped it win new advertisers & encouraged existing ones to spend more.  FB has been beefing up its presence in the mobile video market && is also courting advertisers & content providers to experiment with Facebook Live, its new live video feature.  "We see a world that is video-first with video at the heart of all of our apps and services," CEO Mark Zuckerberg said.  The stock jumped up 1.66.  If you would like to learn more about FB, click on this link:
club.ino.com/trend/analysis/stock/FB?a_aid=CD3289&a_bid=6ae5b6f7

Facebook Shares Hit Record High as it Beats Estimates Again

Facebook (FB)



MasterCard reported a higher-than-expected 6.7% rise in quarterly profit as consumers spent more on cards using its network.  US consumer spending, which accounts for more than 2/3 of economic activity in the country, rose for a 2nd straight month in May on increased demand for automobiles & other goods.  Worldwide purchase volume rose 9% to $897B on a local currency basis in Q2.  EPS was 89¢, up from 81¢ a year earlier.  Excluding a charge, the company earned 96¢ & revenue jumped 12.7% to $2.69B.  Analysts had expected EPS of 90¢ on revenue of $2.59B.  The stock gained 2.26.  If you would like to learn more about MA, click on this link:
club.ino.com/trend/analysis/stock/MA?a_aid=CD3289&a_bid=6ae5b6f7

MasterCard Shares Rise as Profit Beats Estimates

Mastercard (MA)



Stocks are meandering, not knowing where to go.  Tech earnings have generally been good, but oil earnings are terrible.  The report from Ford is chilling, because its problems reverberate thru the economy.  The bulls have lost command of the stock market & bears have not been able to capitalize.

Dow Jones Industrials








 
 

Lower markets after Fed leaves rates unchanged

Dow retreated 93, decliners over advancers 4-3 & NAZ gave up 1.  The MLP index was fractionally lower in the 314S & the REIT index was little changed in the 369s.  Junk bond funds slid lower & Treasuries were off a tad.  Oil pulled back to the 41s (see  below) & gold rose.

AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)


Crude Oil Sep 16

Gold Futures,Aug-2016








3 Stocks You Should Own Right Now - Click Here!



The number of Americans who filed for unemployment benefits last week rose from a 3-month low, consistent with the Fed's view of a stronger job market.  Jobless claims increased 14K to 266K in the latest week, according to the Labor Dept.  The forecast called for 262K applications.  The less-volatile 4-week average dropped to remain at the 2nd-lowest level since 1973.  Hiring managers are reluctant to pare staff as the labor market tightens & demand continues to expand in the face of subdued global growth prospects.  Fed policy makers yesterday acknowledged a rebound in Jun employment & took a step toward raising interest rates before year-end.  Filings have been below 300K for 73 straight weeks, the longest stretch since 1973, & a level economists say is typically consistent with a healthy labor market.  The 4-week average of claims dropped 1K to 256K.

The number continuing to receive jobless benefits rose 7K to 2.14M in the latest week & the unemployment rate among people eligible for benefits edged up to 1.6% from 1.5%.

Jobless Claims in U.S. Climbed Last Week From a Three-Month Low


Oil prices steadied just above 3-month lows as producers continued to pump more than needed, filling inventories, & economic growth prospects darkened.  US gov data showed a surprise rise in crude & gasoline inventories.  The build added to an already huge global refined product glut just as slowing economic growth dents the demand outlook.  Oil markets have been dogged by oversupply for the last 2 years and fell by as much as 70%.  Markets have since recovered some ground but oil remains very weak & low refining margins are hurting energy companies.

Oil Steadies Just Above 3-Month Lows on Oversupply

The US homeownership rate fell to the lowest in more than 50 years as rising prices put buying out of reach for many renters.  The share of Americans who own their homes was 62.9% in Q2, the lowest since 1965, according to a Census Bureau.  It was the 2nd straight quarterly decrease, down from 63.5% in the previous 3 months.  First-time buyers have been struggling to find affordable properties as low mortgage rates & an improving job market spur competition for a tight supply of listings.  Home prices rose 5.2% in May from a year earlier, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller index of values in 20 cities.  The homeownership rate reached a peak of 69.2% in Jun 2004.

Homeownership Rate in the U.S. Tumbles to the Lowest Since 1965


Stocks have not pulled back much after reaching record highs even though earnings are coming in mixed.  Oil companies have terrible numbers, resulting from low oil prices.  Janet kept interest rates steady, but the threat of a rate hike later this year is disturbing for traders.  For the time being, neither the bulls or bears are in command of the stock market.

Dow Jones Industrials