Showing posts with label Texas Instruments. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Texas Instruments. Show all posts

Friday, December 9, 2011

Markets rally despite more Euro stress

Dow jumped 159, advancers over decliners 3-1 & NAZ was up 37.  Banks led the way on the bailout talk from Europe.  The Financial Index is 3 under its highs reached on Wed.

S&P 500 Financials Sector Index

Value 175.85 One-Year Chart for S&P 500 Financials Sector Index GICS Level 1 (S5FINL:IND)
Change     3.75     (2.2%)

The MLP index was up 1 to the 371s & the REIT index rose 3 to 222.  Junk bond funds gained a few pennies & Treasures slipped, taking the yield on the 10 year Treasury bond back to 2%.  Oil was holding even after a tough week which took it below $100.  Gold also did little.

AMZ  Alerian MLP Index



DJR  Dow Jones Equity REIT Index



Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month

0.000%

U.S. 2-year

0.218%

U.S. 10-year

2.002%

CLF12.NYM...Crude Oil Jan 12...98.30 ...Down 0.04  (0.0%)

GCZ11.CMX...Gold Dec 11....1,712.60 ...Up 2.80  (0.2%)


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The 17 countries that use the €, plus nearly all of their European Union partners, agreed to an ambitious treaty tying their finances together in the hopes of solving Europe's debt crisis.  But opposition led by Britain created a deep rift in the union.  Can you spell, "Uh-oh?"  The countries hope to help European nations struggling with giant debts over the long term & there were early indications of success.  Such an agreement is considered necessary before the ECB & other institutions commit more money to lowering the borrowing costs of heavily indebted countries like Italy & Spain.  "It's a very good outcome for the euro area, very good," ECB President Draghi said.  "It is going to be the basis for much more disciplined economic policy for euro-area members. And certainly it is going to be helpful in the present situation."  However Draghi has yet to say whether the ECB will take more aggressive action to buy the bonds of heavily indebted countries.  Unfortunately the political implications of the rift are enormous.  Germany & France had hoped to persuade all 27 EU countries to agree to change the treaty that governs their union.  But Britain, which doesn't use the €, firmly said no, arguing that the revised treaty would threaten their national sovereignty & damage London's esteemed financial services industry.  More work needs to get done before this is a done deal!

EU Leaders Drop Demands for Investor Write-Offs


  • <p>A customer carries shopping bags at South Park mall in Charlotte, North Carolina November 25, 2011. REUTERS/Chris Keane</p>
Photo:   Yahoo

Consumer sentiment rose to its highest in 6 months in early Dec due to an improving outlook on the economy.  Reduced consumer pessimism could reduce jitters about a pullback in consumer spending.  The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan's preliminary reading on the index of consumer confidence climbed for a 4th straight month to 67.7, up from 64.1 in Nov & a low of 55.7 back in Aug. The figure exceeded the 65.5 predicted.   "News about recent economic developments were much more positive in early December. Reports of net job growth have increased in each of the past three months, as have assessments of current conditions in the economy," survey director Richard Curtin said.  However, the latest survey showed consumers still have a dire view of their personal finances as the job growth remains sluggish & worries over federal economic policies.  "The recent gains in confidence are especially vulnerable given that judgments of economic policies remain near all-time lows" Curtin said.  The gauge of consumer expectations jumped to 61.1 from 55.4 in Nov.  The survey's one-year inflation expectation dipped to 3.1% in early Dec, while the survey's 5-10-year inflation outlook held steady at 2.7%t for a 3rd month in a row.  Moderately good news for consumer confidence.



Texas Instruments cut its outlook for the current qtr & warned demand was broadly lower as customers reduce their inventories.  Weak economies in the US & Europe have sapped demand for microchips.  Sales of its OMAP application processors, used in the Kindle Fire tablets, have been better than expected.  But worries about slow demand have pushed manufacturers in recent months to trim inventories of chips & other components, a trend that is continuing.  Sales of TXN chips used in PCs are down in the current qtr, partly due to a shortage of hard-drives caused by recent flooding in Thailand which is expected to cause interruptions in PC manufacturing.  Europe, struggling with a deepening sovereign debt crisis, is the weakest market.  TXN expects Q4 revenue of $3.19-$3.33B compared with its earlier forecast of $3.26-$3.54B.  The stock fell 59¢.  The implications for the macro economic picture are not good.

Texas Instruments Falls Most in 4 Months After Missing Estimates

TXN   Texas Instruments




Markets are having another good day.  Even with the gyrations, Dow is up 1% this week.  The Euro announcement today is still a bit fuzzy.  They are using Scotch-Tape to patch together problems & England is not buying it.  France & Germany also expect the weaklings to adopt tough standards which may not work out.  Consumer confidence data sounds good, but even these numbers are fluid, dependent on goings on in DC.  Not sure if these gains will last today. 

Dow Jones Industrial Average









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Tuesday, April 5, 2011

Markets vacillate on weaker service industry growth

Dow inched up 1, advancers barely ahead of decliners  & NAZ gained 8.  Bank stocks were also little changed. 

S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX

Value 221.88 One-Year Chart for S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX (S5FINL:IND)
Change    -0.44   (-0.2%)


The MLP index fell 1 to 381, stlll looking to take out the old record high, while the REIT index was flat in the 237s.  Junk bond funds were mixed as were Treasuries.  The yield on the 10 year Treasury bond has remained close to 3.4% for over 3 months.  Oil prices held near 2-1/2 year highs as unrest in oil exporting countries in the MidEast & Africa outweighed China's 4th interest rate hike in 6 months.  Gold is still kicking around the 1430s, just under setting new records.

JPMorgan Chase Capital XVI (AMJ)


stock chart

Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month
0.06%
U.S. 2-year
0.78%
U.S. 10-year
3.43%

CLK11.NYM...Crude Oil May 11...108.03 ...Down 0.44  (0.4%)

GCJ11.CMX....Gold Apr 11.........1,433.70 ...Up 1.50  (0.1%)


The service sector in the US expanded in Mar for the 16th straight month, although growth slowed from the previous month's pace (the fastest in more than 5 years).  The Institute for Supply Management index of service-sector activity dropped to 57.3 last month, from 59.7 in Feb, the first drop in 7 months. Still, any reading above 50 indicates expansion.  Estimates ranged from 57.7-61.  By way of comparison, the index plummeted to 37.6 in Nov 2008 at the height of the financial crisis.  The measure of new orders decreased to 64.1 from 64.4 in Feb, while the gauge of business activity fell to 59.7 from 66.9 & the employment gauge dropped to 53.7 from 55.6 a month earlier. The index of prices paid declined to 72.1 from 73.3.  Respondents expressed concern about rising fuel prices.

U.S. Service Industries Grew Less Than Forecast in March



Texas Instruments Bets Sales Army Can Spur National’s Growth

Photo:   Bloomberg

Texas Instruments (TXN) is buying National Semiconductor (NSM) for $6.5B, paying a 78% premium to merge 2 of the industry's oldest firms into a dominant force in analog microchips used in products ranging from phones to cars. TXN will pay $25 for each NSM share, lifting NSM $10 to over $24.. The acquisition would extend TXN lead in the vast, fragmented market for analog chips.  The extravagant premium could be to seal a deal & thwart rival bidders. TXN said it was "comfortable" with the price & estimates $100 million in annual cost savings.  TXN rose 56¢.

Texas Instruments Bets It Can Stoke National Semi’s Growth

Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN)


stock chart



KB Home (KBH) widened its per share loss for the qtr ended Feb 28 to $1.49 from 71¢ a year earlier. Analysts predicted a loss of 30¢.  KBH has communities in some of the markets hardest-hit by foreclosures, including Las Vegas, Riverside County California & Phoenix.  The loss of $114.5M included an impairment charge of $53.7M & a loss on a loan guaranty of $22.8M.  Revenue declined 25% from a year earlier to $196.9M & net orders slid 32% to 1302. The company delivered 949 homes in the qtr, down 28% from the same period in 2010. The stock dropped 76¢ in what has been a dreary year. 

KB Home Reports Wider First-Quarter Loss as Revenue and Orders Plunged

KB Home (KBH)


stock chart


A major buyout should have brought more buyers into the markets, but it didn't.  The economic data was mushy, but not terrible.  Problems around the globe are weighing on the markets & approaching earnings season is being viewed with caution. 

Dow Industrials (INDU)


stock chart




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Tuesday, July 22, 2008

Up, Up & Away

This was one of those days, seems like nothing could go wrong short of negative guidance. Dow was up 138, advancers over decliners 2-1 (seems like a lot more) & NAZ was up 24. NYSE volume approached 1.4B, up from 1.2B yesterday, not too bad. The VIX (volatility index) pulled back 1.87 to 21.18, high but not as extreme as in recent days.





While banks/financials dominated a lot of thinking, oil's drop of 3 bringing its recent decline of almost 20 is dramatic:





CLQ08.NYM
Crude Oil Aug 08127.95 3:32pm ET3.09 (2.36%)

Financials are leading the markets. The clearest example is Wachovia (WB) reporting a $9B loss, a little worse than expected. There is a belief that they have turned the corner because they are closing the mortgage business bought last year. WB shot up 3.61, don't see that to often. Troubled Washington Mutual (WM) reported an ugly loss, far worse than expected, but rose 34¢ (not bad for a $5 stock). All financials were flying today as shown in Bloomberg's S&P Financials Index. Maybe not all. The 3 negative reports after yesterday's close got hammered, including American Express (AXP):

S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX Value 296.60, UP 18.340, Change 6.6%

AAPL
162.02 down 4.27 (2.57%) 66,894,998

TXN
24.35 down 4.17 (14.62%) 74,038,510

AXP
37.99 down 2.91 (7.11%) 48,346,955


After hours Yahoo reported lower profits & sales below expectations, but the stock was little changed after declining 27¢ earlier.

This was one of those days when just about all problems were ignored (except for those mentioned above). The bulls are in charge with banks & financials giving them encouragement. Macro economic reports are due later this week. Let's see what they have to say.

Mixed earnings reports

Markets decline on a variety of news stories. Dow & S&P 500 are down slightly but decliners lead advancers almost 3-2 & NAZ is down 17. Gloomy reports by Texas Instruments, Apple & to some extent American Express (each is getting clobbered today) are weighing on NAZ. Oil tumbled 4 to 127, as Dolly may not cause supply problems. The Alerian MLP index pulled back 1 after yesterday's strong gain. REITs are doing well today.

Caterpillar (CAT), a Dow stock, reported excellent earnings, stock up 1.85. Sales & earnings were ahead of last year & easily beat forecasts. They pointed out that the US market is depressed, there is a softening in Europe & Japan while business in emerging economies is very strong, a common theme among multi-nationals. DuPont (DD), another Dow company, reported excellent sales & earnings, stock up 1.21. However, they did say they face a "challenging environment." Wachovia (WB) reported an ugly loss requiring a cut in the div to a token 5¢. They are being dragged down by the unfortunate acquisition last year of a Cal mortgage company just before the mortgage collapse plus general tough sledding for banks. Analysts had been forecasting ugly numbers so the stock is only down 25¢. After the strong rebound for bank stocks, reality is sinking in causing a pull-back. For example, Bank of Americas (BAC) after rising 12½ in 3 days lost 30% in the last 24 hours.

Sec Paulson asked again for congress to reform the rules for GSEs (FNM & FRE). Unfortunately he said help could cost tax payers as much as $25B. Ugh!! Their problems spread around the world. It is estimated that foreigners own 1½T (that's T as in trillion) of their borrowings, with China & Japan accounting for 40%. They are waking up to reality that instead of holding AAA bonds, they are only junk type of bonds with vague gov promises for guarantees. Hopefully they will remain calm & tough out this uncertain period.

Monday, July 21, 2008

Indecisive attitude drags on

Asian & Australian markets are weak to slightly up, nothing dramatic. Bank stocks are down 2-4%, profit taking after yesterday's big gains. Big stories include LG Electronics, a huge company, reporting excellent earnings yesterday but selling off today on worries about the global market going forward. They are also concerned about dreary earnings reported after hours by Apple (AAPL), Texas Instruments (TXN) & American Express (AXP), a Dow stock. AXP is the most disturbing as they have a good "feel" for the economy, Tomorrow, Wachovia (WB) & Washington Mutual (WM) will report. Also, IBM sold more shares in Lenova taking its interest below 5% meaning they will not have to report future stock sales.

Dow Jones futures are trading down 100 with NAZ & S&P 500 each down about 1%. The negative tone comes from after hours trading for AAPL - down 16, TXN - down 3¼ & AXP - down 3.65. Hang on tomorrow.