Showing posts with label Chevron. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Chevron. Show all posts

Friday, July 27, 2012

Markets surge again, taking Dow over 13,000

Dow soared another 187, advancers over decliners almost 6-1 & NAZ shot up 64.  The Financial Index jumped 4 to 199, near the highs of its recent trading range.  The MLP index was flat at 393 & the REIT index rose 2½ to the 267s.  Junk bond funds were mixed to higher & Treasuries sold off big time, with the yield on the 10 year Treasury vaulting 13 basis points to 1.56% (losing appeal as a safe haven investment).  Oil rose for a 4th day on speculation that the ECB & the U.S. Federal Reserve will ease monetary policy next week to boost economic growth & curb the debt crisis.  Its chart below shows gold has also been climbing this week.

AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)


stock chart




Click below for the latest market update


Treasury yields:

U.S. 3-month

0.101%

U.S. 2-year

0.246%

U.S. 10-year

1.548%

CLU12.NYMCrude Oil Sep 1290.13 Up 0.74 (0.8%)

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]




Confidence among US consumers dropped in Jul to the lowest level this year as the labor market & broader economy showed few signs of improvement.  The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan final index of sentiment declined to 72.3 from 73.2 in Jun.  The gauge was projected to hold at the preliminary reading of 72.  A slowdown in hiring in Q2, which may reflect companies’ concerns about demand as Europe's economy falters, is damping moods of consumers whose spending accounts for about 70% of the economy.  This comes after a drab GDP firgure was reported earlier today, showing household purchases also grew at a 1.5% annual rate (the weakest in a year).

U.S. Consumer Sentiment Gauge Falls to Lowest This Year

  • <p>               This Tuesday, July 17, 2012 photo shows a Chevron gas station in downtown Los Angeles. On Friday, July 27, 2012, Chevron announced profits dropped 6.8 percent in the second quarter as oil prices and production declined, however, Chevron’s results still beat Wall Street estimates. (AP Photo/Damian Dovarganes)
Photo:   Yahoo

Chevron, a Dow stock, EPS fell nearly 7% to $3.66 which beat expectations thanks to a strong performance from its refinery business.  The oil giant is struggling to find & replace its sources of petroleum & the world's slowing economy has also pushed down prices for the crude it sells.  But lower prices has benefits.  Profits at the refining & marketing business rose 80%.  Its refineries paid less for oil while selling gasoline at higher prices on the US west coast.  Pump prices there remained well above the national average because of supply problems in the region.  The business also sold about $200M in assets, including its stake in a South Korean energy business.  But the help that lower oil prices gave the refineries hurt its other business, finding & selling crude&  natural gas.  Earnings from exploration & production business fell 18% to $5.6B.  CVX sold oil for lower prices in the US & overseas.  Natural gas fetched only half as much in the US as it did a year earlier.  Production from its global network of oil & natural gas wells declined 2.6%.  The stock gained 1.09.

Chevron 2Q net income slips 7 percent AP

Chevron (CVX)


stock chart


Facebook's Strategy Moving Forward, Post-Earnings

Photo:  Bloomberg

Facebook sank to a record low after its first earnings report showed a slower sales gain & narrower profit margins, failing to allay concerns over growth that have dragged down the shares.  Executives issued no growth forecasts & said little else to reassure investors who fret that the company is overvalued.  The largest social network is adding users faster than it can generate ad sales, the company said, reiterating remarks it made in the run-up to the IPO.  Sales increased 32% to $1.18B, topping the forecast of $1.16B.  Monthly active users rose to 955M, exceeding the 950M predicted.  The revenue increase was dwarfed by a surge in spending on marketing & sales, which ballooned to $392M.  The company reported a net loss 8¢ per share & profit excluding certain costs of 12¢.  Q2 operating margin, excluding certain costs, was 43%, a drop from 53% a year earlier, amid a fourfold surge in sales & marketing expenses.  The stock sank 3.16 & has an awful chart.

Facebook Falls to Record as Earnings Report Fails to Quell Growth Concerns

Facebook (FB)


stock chart


Hopes are riding high that the ECB & Federal Reserve will pull a lot of magic tricks at their meetings next week.  The Federal Reserve is not expected to make many major change until the Sep meeting, but the bulls are praying for sooner.  After yesterday's announcement, a major move is expected from the ECB.  Talk is cheap & we've heard a fair amount over the last 2 years.  But Europe remains bogged down by its debt messes & the US economic recovery as stumbled (today's GDP figures were a reminder).  With the latest rally, markets are overbought again.  13.4K on the Dow is an important technical ceiling which may be tested next week (while the meetings take place).

Dow Jones Industrials


stock chart





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Friday, January 27, 2012

MIxed markets on uneven earnings and economic data

Dow dropped 74, advancers ahead of decliners 2-1 & NAZ gained 11.  Limited strength in bank stocks pushed the Financial Index higher. 

S&P 500 Financials Sector Index


Value 190.34 One-Year Chart for S&P 500 Financials Sector Index GICS Level 1 (S5FINL:IND)
Change    0.72     (0.4%)

The MLP index had a massive decline, down 6+ to the 394s, while the REIT index was flattish at 247.  Junk bond funds were a little higher & Treasuries continued in demand, taking the yield on the 10 year Treasury below 1.9%.  Oil was about even & gold continued on its winning ways, up almost 10.

JPMorgan Chase Capital XVI (AMJ)


stock chart



Click below for the latest market update:


Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month

0.051%

U.S. 2-year

0.211%

U.S. 10-year

1.895%

CLH12.NYM...Crude Oil Mar 12...99.61 ...Down 0.09  (0.1%)

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]




Fitch cut the credit ratings for Italy, Spain & 3 other euro countries, saying they lack financing flexibility in the face of the regional debt crisis.  Italy's ratng was cut 2 levels to A- from A+.  The rating on Spain was also lowered 2 notches, to A from AA-.  Ratings on Belgium, Slovenia & Cyprus were also reduced, while Ireland’s rating was maintained.  “The divergence in monetary and credit conditions across the euro zone and near-term economic outlook highlight the greater vulnerability” these nations face in the event of financing shocks, Fitch said.  All the countries were removed from “ratings watch negative,” though they retain a “negative outlook,” which implies the possibility of a downgrade within 2 years.  No great surprise, but hearing the news is always painful.

Fitch Cuts Italian, Spanish Ratings by Two Notches


Greece is locked in a twin effort to placate its creditors, seeking to secure a crucial debt relief deal with private investors while also tackling pressing demands from its European partners & the IMF for deeper reforms.  Failure on either front would force the country to default by Mar, adding to Europe's debt crisis.  If Greece left the eurozone, it could bring disaster on the country & destabilize the rest of the eurozone.  Sources said there was progress on legal & technical issues withthe IMF (whatever that means).  A Greek gov spokesman said it was "obvious" that progress has been made.  "We hope to conclude as soon as possible."  The  lack of progress in  the talks is mainly due to disagreements on the interest rate cut private investors must accept on the new lower-value Greek bonds with longer maturities that will replace the ones they own.  The writedown is meant to reduce the country's debt-to-GDP ratio from 160% last year to 120% in 2020.  The Greek drama just drags on.

Greece locked in parallel talks over debt AP

  • A man pumps fuel into his truck at a Chevron gas station in Buckeye, Arizona October 27, 2011. REUTERS/Joshua Lott
Photo:   Yahoo

Chevron, a Dow stock, reported lower Q4 earnings, as rising spending on oil & gas projects, & losses at its US refinery business offset gains from higher crude oil prices.  Oil & gas production at the #2 US energy company declined to 2.6M barrels per day (BPD) from 2.8M BPD a year-before, while average oil prices rose about 25%.  The major factors behind the output shortfall were the effect of higher prices on production sharing contracts, lower-than-expected performance at large new offshore projects in the Gulf of Mexico & Angola, & a 3rd-party pipeline rupture & decreased demand in Thailand.  Still, CVX added 1.7B barrels of oil equivalent to its reserves last year,almost double its 2011 output.  Q4 EPS slipped to $2.58 from $2.64 a year earlier & fell short of the $2.84 expected.  Its $9B Angola LNG project is due to start up later this year.  The stock dropped 2.63.

Chevron profit falls as refineries, output sufferReuters

Chevron Corporation (CVX)


stock chart


DR Horton, the top US homebuilder, posted a Q1 profit that beat expectations, helped by a surge in orders indicating & said it was looking at spring selling season with "cautious optimism."  The meltdown in the housing market triggered the 2007-09 recession, but home building has seen growth in the last few qtrs & building permits jumped to a 1 year high in Nov.  DHI, which focuses on lower-end homes for first-time homebuyers, had been hurt as a massive overhang of used & foreclosed homes.  Orders, a leading indicator for builders, rose 17% to $706M.  Q1 EPS was 9¢, compared with a net loss of 6¢ in the prior year period.  Revenue rose 15% to $886M.  Forecasts were for EPS of 4¢ on revenue of $897M.  The stock was up 27¢.

D.R. Horton Reports First-Quarter Profit as Homebuilding Revenue Increases

D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI)


stock chart


The € is over $1.32, up a nickel form the lows earlier this month, on hopes that bondholders of Geek debts can agree on a fair haircut for their investments.  That could have been said last month or the prior month.  Maybe, who knows?  But that kind of thinking is not encouraging for the markets.  Earnings reports are inconsistent, some better than others.  The idea is that higher sales are supposed to bring higher profits.  That is blurred with multi-nationals giving excusees why earnings are not as healthy as they should be.  We hear a lot about the Rep race in FL, but almost nothing about extending lower taxes next month for workers.  That will be a nasty fight, something the markets do not like.  Facebook is said to be coming out with its IPO next week.  Perhaps that will encourage buyers to return.

Dow Industrials


stock chart



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Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Early strength in stock market pared in the last hour

Stocks were soaring until selling into the close.  Dow rose 146 (but 180 below its highs), advancers over decliners 4-1 & NAZ was up 30.  Bank stocks led the way up but were sold off in the PM.  The modest gain for the Financial Index was 4 below its earlier highs.

S&P 500 Financials Sector Index


Value165.10One-Year Chart for S&P 500 Financials Sector Index GICS Level 1 (S5FINL:IND)
Change   0.67   (0.4%)

MLPs & REITs had strong gains during the rally, although some was given back in late day trading.  Junk bond funds were up around 1% while Treasuries gave up recent gains.  The yield on the benchmark 10 year Treasury went back over 2%.  Oil rose more than 5% on hopes that European leaders are closer to drafting a plan to contain the region's debt crisis.  Gold has had an unusually volatile 2 months (shown in the graph below), but bulls returned for a $62 gain. 

Alerian MLP Index


Value348.08One-Year Chart for Alerian MLP Index (AMZ:IND)
Change   5.19   (1.5%)


Get the latest market update below:




Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month

0.010%

U.S. 2-year

0.239%

U.S. 10-year

2.002%

CLX11.NYM...Crude Oil Nov 11...84.46 ...Up 4.22  (5.36%)

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]





Greek lawmakers approved a new property tax that aims to boost revenue as the country struggles to obtain a critical installment of intl bailout loans to prevent it from default.  The financial inspectors are expected to return to Athens this week.  Greece must receive an €8B ($11B) rescue loan before mid-Oct to stave off bankruptcy.  But creditors have demanded more efforts to raise revenue.  The new tax will be charged through electricity bills to make it easier for the state to collect, instead of going through the unwieldy & inefficient tax system. Those who refuse to pay risk having their power cut off.  The extra charge has deeply angered Greeks, who have already been through more than a year of sharp austerity that has seen salary & pension cuts & increased taxes.  State electricity company unionists have threatened not to collect the tax.  Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos acknowledged the new tax was harsh on some, but stressed the gov had no choice but to impose it as it fought to reduce its budget deficit.  "Clearly there will be categories of people who will not be able to pay this housing charge and this is a situation that will be resolved," he said.  "But the most important thing is that we achieve the targets agreed to in 2011 and 2012."  This is only one more step in a long journey for Greece.

Papandreou Wins Vote on Property Tax


Apple to Introduce New IPhone at Oct. 4 Event in California

Photo:   Bloomberg

Apple, with the largest market cap in the world, will unveil its much-awaited new iPhone, which which is expected to have a bigger screen & work better with remote computing services.  AAPL invited media to a "special event" called "Let's talk iPhone" on Oct 4 at its headquarters.  No additional details about the event were mentioned but it is assumed to be the launch of iPhone 5,  This would be the first major launch under Tim Cook, who took over full-time as CEO after Steve Jobs resigned last month.  It was unclear if Jobs will take the stage at the event.  It has been reported that suppliers were told to gear up capacity for up to 45M units.  But investors are nervous.  The stock dropped 3.91, going below 400.


Apple Inc. (AAPL)


stock chart


Chevron, a Dow stock, rose as investors cheered progress on a huge Australian natural gas project.  Yesterday CVX said it will build the Wheatstone field platform 140 miles off the Australian coast & pipe 8.9M tons of gas & liquid a year to a processing plant on shore.  The first phase will cost $29B & the first gas is expected to be shipped in 2016.  Capacity could expand to 25M tons a year.  This is expected to position CVX to supply the growing energy demand in the Asia-Pacific region.  Wheatstone is a joint venture operated by Chevron, which has a 73.6% stake & other partners which include Apache (APA) with 13%; Kuwait Foreign Petroleum Exploration (7%) & Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) with 6.4%.  CVX rose 2.05.

Chevron shares rise on project progress AP

Chevron Corporation (CVX)


stock chart


When the markets were rising, it seemed like European financial problems were going to vanish.  But now so fast!  Greece remains a long way away from resolving its messy situation & other countries which are getting less attention, remain fragile.  Reality hit the overbought markets in late day trading.  The VIX, volatility index, was improving (going lower) until selling in the last hour.  At the end of the day, the VIX was a little lower than where it started & the trend was for higher values.  Investors were growing more nervous, not good for the markets.

Volatility Index (^VIX)





Dow Industrials (INDU)


stock chart


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