Showing posts with label Hewlett-Packard. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Hewlett-Packard. Show all posts

Monday, September 10, 2012

Markets slide on weak Chinese economic data

Dow lost 2, decliners just ahead of advancers & NAZ fell 16.  The Financial Index was down a fraction, but remained above 210.  The MLP index fell a fraction to the 396s & the REIT index was off 1+ (from its 2012 high) to the 269s.  Junk bond funds were a little lower as were Treasuries.  Oil & gold pulled back after strength in the last month.

AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)


stock chart

Treasury yields:

U.S. 3-month

0.101%

U.S. 2-year

0.246%

U.S. 10-year

1.659%

CLV12.NYM....Crude Oil Oct 12...95.73 ...Down 0.69  (0.7%)

GCU12.CMX...Gold Sep 12...1,731.40 ...Down 6.10  (0.4%)



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China Import Slide Builds Stimulus Case as Output Cools

Photo:   Bloomberg

China imports unexpectedly fell & industrial output rose the least in 3 years, signaling more stimulus may be needed after the gov last week said it approved subway & road projects across the nation.  Inbound shipments slid 2.6% in Aug from a year earlier as exports rose 2.7%, the customs bureau said.  Production increased 8.9%, the National Bureau of Statistics said yesterday & inflation accelerated for the first time in 5 months.  The data underscore risks that full-year growth will slide to the lowest in more than 2 decades, undermining support for the Communist Party before a once-in-a-decade leadership transition due later this year.  The rebound in inflation, excess capacity in some industries & banks’ bad debt risks from past monetary easing highlight the potential cost of ramping up stimulus efforts.  They have financial problems even though they are far different than those faced in Europe.

China Output Growth Slows as Leadership Handover Looms


Greece's prime minister started a new negotiations with representatives of the its bailout creditors, who are demanding a fresh set of controversial austerity cuts to release the next batch of rescue loans the country desperately needs to stay afloat.  Antonis Samaras' meeting with officials from the troika of the EU, IMF & ECB comes a day ahead of his talks in Frankfurt with ECB president Mario Draghi.  Troika officials are "evaluating" Greece's proposals for the €11.5B ($14.6B) austerity package for 2013-14, Finance Minister Yannis Stournaras said.  "It's a tough discussion, because the measures are tough," he told journalists.  Asked whether Greece's creditors are insisting on job cuts in the bloated, inefficient civil service, Stournaras only commented that: "We are trying to convince them that our arguments are correct."  In talks with Stournaras yesterday, troika officials rejected part of the Greek proposals.  That leaves Samaras battling on 2 fronts:  He has to satisfy Greece's creditors, or lose the vital bailout funds, & must also keep the peace with his center-left coalition partners, who publicly reject some of the cutbacks that will cause further widespread pain.  Without their support, the gov formed in Jun would collapse, leaving the way open for the radical left main opposition to seize power.  The opposition wants Greece to tear up its bailout commitments, even at risk of its leaving the euro. The situation remains fragile.

Greek PM meets austerity inspectors on new cuts AP


HP Says Job Cuts Under Reorganization Plan Will Reach 29,000

Photo:   Bloomberg

Hewlett-Packard, the largest PC company in the world & a Dow stock, is planning to cut 2K more jobs than it had previously announced, as CEO Meg Whitman tries to turn the company around.  It said it will cut 29K jobs by Oct 2014, up from the 27K cuts announced in May.  There was no  explanation for the revision.  As before, it expects some of the job cuts to come through an early retirement program.  HPQ also expects to record charges of $3.7B, mainly for the job cuts, up from the May estimate of $3.5B.  Last month, HPQ posted the largest loss in its 73-year history after being hit by the shift in technology spending from PCs & printers towards cellphones & tablets.  The stock rose 15¢ but remains near an 8 year low.

HP Says Expands Job Cuts From Reorganizing to 29,000

Hewlett-Packard (HPQ)


stock chart


Stocks are wavering, trying to figure out what to do next.  The Chinese data was glum.  Its problems of slow growth are difficult to deal with.  Then there's Greece which looks like it may not get a passing grade for more bailout money.  But much of the attention in NY is on the FOMC meeting at midweek.  There is a lot of agreement that the Federal Reserve (FED) will be compelled to do something, but nobody (including FED officials) is clear on what can be done.  Markets may drift sideways while waiting to hear from the FED & Dow should remain above 13K.

Dow Jones Industrials


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Thursday, August 23, 2012

Markets decline on growing euro debt woes

Dow dropped 115, decliners ahead of advancers 2-1 & NAZ fell 20.  The Financial Index lost 2 to the 202s.  The MLP index fell 1+ to the 391s & the REIT index was fractionally lower to the 263s.  Junk bond funds were mixed to lower & Treasuries rallied on lower stock prices.  The yield on the 10 year bond fell 15 basis points in just 2 days as risk averse is coming back to investment thinking.  Oil fell from a 3-month high as Angela Merkel said she expects Greece to fulfill the terms of its bailout & on skepticism central banks will ease monetary policy further.  Gold advanced to the highest in more than 4 months amid speculation that the US will take additional steps to spur economic growth, boosting the appeal of bullion as an inflation hedge.

AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)

stock chart






Click below for the latest market update:


Treasury yields:

U.S. 3-month

0.096%

U.S. 2-year

0.259%

U.S. 10-year

1.668%

CLV12.NYM...Crude Oil Oct 12....96.48 ...Down 0.78  (0.8%)

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]




  • <p>               Germany's Chancellor Angela Merkel, left, and France’s President Francois Hollande brief the media prior to a meeting at the chancellery in Berlin, Thursday, Aug. 23, 2012 .The leaders of Germany and France are stressing that it's up to Greece to keep pursuing painful reforms as it strives to keep its place in the euro. Chancellor Angela Merkel and President Francois Hollande were meeting Thursday before both hold talks over the next two days with Greece's new prime minister, Antonis Samaras. (AP Photo/Markus Schreiber)
Photo:   Yahoo

The German & French leaders put the pressure firmly on Greece to keep pursuing painful reforms, suggesting they are hesitant to accept the new Greek prime minister's demand for more time to fix his country's battered economy & public finances.  Chancellor Merkel & President Hollande met to discuss how to deal with Greece before Prime Minister Antonis Samaras visits both of them over the next 2 days.  Earlier, Germany's finance minister set the stage for tough negotiations by claiming that giving Greece more time to make reforms would achieve little.  Merkel's gov is reluctant to offer significant concessions, but Hollande has generally taken a softer line in the debt crisis afflicting Greece & other countries.  In a charm offensive this week, Samaras has been arguing that his nation should have more time to complete reforms that are a condition of it continuing to receive bailout loans.  Without the help, Greece would be forced into a chaotic default on its debts and could be forced out of the eurozone.  Greece has faltered in the speed & effectiveness of implementing the reforms, irritating its creditors, notably Germany, which is the single largest contributor.  Greece's continued access to the bailout packages hinges on a favorable report next month from the EU, ECB & the IMF.  If Greece is found to have failed on key economic reforms that are conditions of the bailout loan, vital funds could be halted. "For me, it's important that we all stand by our commitments, and in particular await the (publication of) the troika report, to then see what the result is," Merkel said. "But I will encourage Greece to follow the path of reform, which demands a lot of the Greek people."  Hollande stressed: "I want Greece to remain in the eurozone. That's my wish. That's our wish."  But he added that "of course Greece must make the necessary efforts for this to happen."  The Greek drama plays on!

Merkel, Hollande press Greece to pursue reforms A


Hewlett-Packard Sales Slump Shows CEO Whitman’s Challenge

Photo:  Bloomberg

Hewlet-Packard, a Dow stock, posted a record quarterly loss & reported slumping sales for PCs & services aimed at businesses, underscoring the turnaround challenge facing CEO Meg Whitman.  The fiscal Q34 loss of $8.86B includes a writedown for the enterprise-services unit & reflects a 10% decline in PC revenue.  The company pared the high end of its full-year forecast for profit excluding some items to $4.07 a share, from $4.10, missing the average $4.08 estimate.  The PC market remains weak, & the company is in the “early stages of a turnaround,” Whitman said.  To help revive the PC division, HPQ plans to release a tablet computer running Microsoft Corp.’s (MSFT), another Dow stock, Windows 8 software later this year.  The device will be aimed mainly at businesses rather than consumers.  The company decided to design a tablet that’s “desirable” to workers while including security and durability features, rather than trying to take on Apple’s iPad directly, she said.  “Make no mistake about it, the consumer tablet market today is an Apple market,” Whitman said. “Our decision was not to just go straight at Apple with a me-too product.”  The tablet will be shipped after the Oct introduction of Windows 8, though it may land on store shelves until next year, Whitman said.  Sales in Hewlett-Packard’s PC division declined 10% to $8.6B, adding to evidence of a slump that showed up in results this week from Dell (DELL).  The stock fell $1.56 (8%) & has a very weak chart.

Hewlett-Packard’s Record Quarterly Loss Shows Challenge Facing CEO Whitman

Hewlett-Packard (HPQ)


stock chart


House Prices Rose Most Since 2005 in Second Quarter, FHFA Says

Photo:   Bloomberg

US house prices jumped 1.8% in Q2 from Q1, fueled by record-low mortgage rates & tight inventory, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency.  The increase was the biggest since Q4 of 2005 (before the housing market crashed).  But prices climbed only 3% from a year earlier.  Job gains, low borrowing costs & a limited supply of properties for sale are providing a foundation for price gains & helping homeowners gain equity.  The number of Americans who owed more than their homes were worth fell 400K in Q2.  House prices in Jun increased 0.7% from May, according to the FHFA, based on single-family houses with mortgages backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.  The FHFA report doesn’t provide a specific price for homes.  But the median price of an existing home, as measured by the National Association of Realtors, was $188K in Jun, up from $180K in May.

House Prices Rose Most Since 2005 in Second Quarter, FHFA Says


Euro leaders are meeting this week, trying to solve their debt problems & the Dow lost 225.  That's a major decline & sharp reversal from the upward momentum it had.  Of course, more talk about the US having a fiscal cliff to get over is adding to negative thinking in the markets.  Gold is up almost $100 in less than 2 weeks & Treasuries reversed their recent decline.  Money seeking safety from selling stocks is going into these contrary investments.  Dow has been struggling to get over 13K for a long time & use that for a launching pad for more gains, without luck.  This traditionally quiet time in the markets is proving to have a fair amount of excitement.

Dow Jones Industrials


stock chart




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Thursday, August 9, 2012

Markets tread water, awaiting news from Europe

Dow slid 10, advancers over decliners 5-4 & NAZ added 7.  The Financial Index was off fractionally to below 201.  The MLP index rose 1 to the 389s & the REIT was off pocket change in the 262s.  Junk bond funds were mixed & Treasuries generally declined.  Oil & gold hardly budged.

AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)


stock chart



Click below for the latest market update:


Treasury yields:

U.S. 3-month

0.106%

U.S. 2-year

0.272%

U.S. 10-year

1.688%

CLU12.NYM...Crude Oil Sep 12....93.52...Up 0.17  (0.2%)

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]




China's passenger-vehicle sales trailed estimates for the first time in 5 months, as demand slowed with the economy & some consumers held back purchases in anticipation of gov stimulus measures.  Wholesale deliveries gained 11% to 1.12M units last month according to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers.  That compares with the 1.16M estimate.  Auto sales are slowing in the world’s largest vehicle market as the economy expanded at the weakest pace in 3 years.  Consumers are postponing vehicle purchases in anticipation that the gov will introduce subsidies to encourage demand.  In the first 7 months, passenger-vehicle deliveries rose 7.5% to 8.74M units, the association said.  Sales of vehicles, including trucks & buses, increased 8.2% to 1.38M units in Jul.  Sport utility vehicle deliveries gained 30%, the best- performing segment.  General Motors (GM), the largest foreign carmaker in China, said sales in the nation gained 15% last month to 199K units, led by demand for its Wuling-branded mini commercial vehicles.  Honda's Jul vehicle sales rose 1.3% to 52k.  Toyota’s (TM) deliveries fell 5% to 78K.  Inventory is building up at carmakers in China & TM cut back on production in the country around spring.  At Nissan, sales slid 2% last month to 98K units.  Passenger-vehicle sales growth will probably accelerate in H2, rising 15% to 8.48M units, driven by demand from first-time buyers & assuming the economy rebounds.  Full-year deliveries may increase 11% to 16M units.  US deliveries are only expected to be above 14M.

China July Car Sales Trail Forecasts as Buyers Await Incentives


Home Prices Increase in Most U.S. Metropolitan Areas

Photo:   Bloomberg

Prices for single-family homes climbed in 75% of US cities & values nationally jumped the most since 2006 as real estate markets stabilized.  The median sales price increased in Q2 from a year earlier in 110 of 147 metropolitan areas measured, the National Association of Realtors.  In Q1, 74 areas had gains.  US housing prices are beginning to lift off the bottom after the worst housing slump since the 1930s as buyers compete for a tight supply of available properties.  At the end of Jun, 2.4M previously owned homes were available for sale, 24% fewer than a year earlier, the Realtors said.  But one threat to home values is the shadow inventory of delinquent properties that have yet to enter the market.  US foreclosure starts rose 6% last month from Jul 2011 RealtyTrac said.  The national median existing single-family home price was $181K in Q2, up 7.3% from the same period last year, the strongest annual increase in 6 years.  Distressed properties, including discounted foreclosures & short sales, in which the price is less than the mortgage balance, accounted for 26% of Q2 deals, down from 33% a year earlier.  The share of all-cash home purchases was 29% in Q2, down from 30% in Q2 2011.  The housing industry is mending, but slowly.

Home Prices Rise in 75% of U.S. Cities in Second Quarter


Hewlett-Packard, a Dow stock, said that it will take a massive charge against earnings for the latest qtr, leading to a record loss of nearly $9B.  The charge is the result of a writedown of the value of its services business, a bookkeeping measure reflecting that the company overpaid for when it bought Electronic Data Systems in 2008 for $13B.  CEO Meg Whitman has spent much of her first 11 months on the job cleaning up some of the mess left behind by previous management.  She said HPQ problems might not be completely fixed until 2016.  As part of the fix, HP is in the process of eliminating 27K jobs (8% of its workforce).  The latest blow will require a non-cash charge of $8B in the qtr that ended in Jul.   The company said that charges for other accounting adjustments will lead to a loss for EPS of $4.31-$4.49, the 2nd quarterly loss during the past 15 years.  An early retirement program is meeting with unexpectedly high acceptance.  As a result, the company will register a charge of $1.5-$1.7B for severance payments in Q3, rather than the $1B it expected.  The job cuts are expected to be completed by 2014.  Excluding the charges, HPQ expects to report fiscal Q3 EPS of $1, up from a previous range of 94-97¢ & near the forecast by.analysts of 97¢.  While the stock was even, it's near an 8 year low!

HP to absorb record quarterly loss of nearly $9B AP

Hewlett-Packard (HPQ)


stock chart


Markets continue to look for direction.  Economic news from China has become more important when there has been little news from Europe (still trying to manage enormous problems).  The US economy is plodding along, growing but below its recovery progress during previous recessions.  MLPs had a nice run in Jul, then went sideways.  The Index remains 21 below its 411 record, far better than almost all other indices.  REIT, while still below its record highs, remains within spitting distance of its 2012 highs.  Dow will need another 250 to reach a more than 4 year high.

Dow Jones Industrials


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