Showing posts with label Avon. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Avon. Show all posts

Monday, April 2, 2012

Higher markets on strong manufacturing data

Dow gained 52, advancers over decliners 3-1 & NAZ jumped 28 propelled by a 19 gain for Apple (AAPL).  Bank stocks rose, taking the Financial index to the 214s, just below its 215 high last week.

The MLP index rose 1+ to the 393s & the REIT index was up 1+ to the 255s, a new yearly high.  Junk bond funds went higher as did Treasuries.  The price of oil is climbing on reports that US factories have cranked into a higher gear, suggesting greater demand for oil.  Gold went up $9, but hasn't done much in Mar.

JPMorgan Chase Capital XVI (AMJ)


stock chart



Click below for the latest market update:


Treasury yields:

U.S. 3-month

0.061%

U.S. 2-year

0.325%

U.S. 10-year

2.203%

CLK12.NYM...Crude Oil May 12...105.22 ...Up 2.20  (2.1%)

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]




General Motors will suspend production of the Chevrolet Volt for an extra week this summer as it tries to control the car's inventory.  But GM said sales picked up in Mar to a record of more than 2K, & it may cancel the extra week if sales remain strong.  Most auto factories close for 2 weeks starting in early Jul to get updated for the new model year but GM added a 3rd week at the Volt factory.  The plant was already closed from Mar 19-Apr 23, as the supply of Volts grew on dealer lots.  About 1300 workers at the factory have been idled.  Until Mar, sales of the car were disappointing.  Volts in its inventory at the end of Feb were enough to supply dealers for 154 days (a 60-day supply is considered optimal).  The Volt has a starting price of just under $40K, but it is eligible for a $7500 federal tax credit, as well as other credits in some states.  Auto retail sales for Mar are expected tomorrow.  GM rose 1.11.

GM adds week to Volt plant's usual summer closureAP

General Motors Company (GM)


stock chart


Avon Products Inc. Chief Executive Officer Andrea Jung
AVP CEO  Andrea Jung
Photo:   Bloomberg

Coty's offer to buy Avon Products thrust the perfume maker into the spotlight.  The $10B bid, rejected by AVP, could be raised, Coty said.  It has the backing of Germany's Benckiser group & Warren Buffett's favorite banker in its bid for the world's largest direct seller of cosmetics.  Its $800M purchase of Unilever's fragrance unit in 2005 made Coty the largest maker of perfumes & colognes in the world, giving it the licenses for prestige perfume brands such as Calvin Klein.  Coty offered $23.25 per share for AVP which was swiftly rejected.  AVP continues to search for a new CEO & deal with issues including US gov investigations into possible bribery in China & elsewhere.  AVP stockholders liked the news & the stock jumped 3.34 to 22.70 (17%).

Avon rejects $10 billion takeover bid from CotyReuter

Avon Products, Inc. (AVP)


stock chart


The price of gas at the pump is almost $3.93 & headed to top the record $4.11 reached in 2008.

National Unleaded Average
RegularMidPremiumDiesel85**E85
MPG/BTU
adjusted
price
Current Avg.$3.925$4.068$4.197$4.164$3.366$4.429
Yesterday Avg.$3.925$4.066$4.197$4.164$3.367$4.431
Week Ago Avg. $3.897$4.043$4.173$4.159$3.304$4.348
Month Ago Avg. $3.757$3.899$4.032$4.071$3.205$4.218
Year Ago Avg. $3.645$3.782$3.912$3.978$3.074$4.045

source:    AAA


Buyers returned at lunchtime to bid up the markets.  Late Fri, Groupon (GRPN), which went public last year, said it needed to slash its Q4 revenue outlook & raised its net loss view due to higher-than-expected refunds.  The stock plunged $3.11 (17%), but that did not disturb the markets.  Auto sales tomorrow should be more of the same fairly good news & the jobs report on Fri could be a plus for the markets.  However, the absolute number will be less important than whether it beats the estimates which are optimistic.  With return of the bulls, markets should have a good week.  But the high price of gas is a dark cloud moving over the stock  market.

Dow Industrials


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Tuesday, February 8, 2011

Dow edges higher, trying fo extend its winning streak

Markets were flatish, but Dow wants to make it 8 days in a row for gains.  Dow was up 16 to a new high since mid 2008, advancers & decliners were equal while NAZ fell 4. Bank stocks rose, taking the Financial Index near its highs last Apr.

S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX

Value 227.99 One-Year Chart for S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX (S5FINL:IND)
Change   0.99  (0.4%)


The Alerian MLP Index was down pennies in the 371s & the Dow Jones REIT Index edged up a fraction to a 2½ year high.  Junk bond funds inched higher.  Treasuries fell, with 3-year notes declining for a 7th straight day, as the Treasury prepared to sell $32B of these securities shortly.

Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month
0.14%
U.S. 2-year
0.78%
U.S. 10-year
3.66%

Alerian MLP Index   ---   2 weeks



Dow Jones REIT Index   ---   2 weeks



10-Year Treasury Yield Index   ---   2 weeks




Oil fell for a 4th day as China raised key interest rates for the 3rd time since Oct, sparking concern that fuel demand will be curtailed in the world’s biggest energy-consuming country.  Gold prices were shrugged off another rate hike from China as investors bought gold on inflation concerns.

CLH11.NYM...Crude Oil Mar 11...87.42 .....Down 0.06  (0.1%)

GCG11.CMX...Gold Feb 11......1,364.60 ...Up 16.00  (1.29%)

Gold Super Cycle Link! Click Here


Job openings fell for the 2nd straight month in Dec, another sign that hiring is still weak even as the economy is gaining strength.  The Labor Dept said employers advertised nearly 3.1M jobs, a drop of almost 140K from Nov (the lowest total since Sept).  Openings have risen by more than 700K (31%) since they bottomed out in Jul 2009, one month after the recession ended but are still far below the 4.4M that were advertised in Dec 2007, when the recession began.  Job openings dropped sharply in professional & business services, a category that includes temporary help agencies. They also fell in construction, manufacturing, & in education & health services.  This is why the unemployment picture is not getting better in a meaningful way.

Job Openings in U.S. Decrease by 139,000 to 3.06 Million


McDonald’s January Store Sales Top Analysts’ Estimates

Photo: Bloomberg

McDonald's (MCD), a Dow stock & Dividend Aristocrat, reported a 5.3% rise in Jan sales at locations open more than a year (beating estimates of 4½%), giving credit to its McCafe hot chocolate, Chicken McNuggets & the addition of oatmeal to the menu.  But US sales growth was weaker than the rest of the world, up 3.1%, Europe 7% & Asia/Pacific, Middle East & Africa 5.2%.  Sales at locations open at least a year is an important gauge because it measures revenue from the company's existing restaurants rather than growth that came from opening new locations.  The stock rose 2.43 to the 75s.

McDonald's January Same-Store Sales Beat Estimates

McDonald's   ---   1 year





Avon Products (AVP) posted a steeper-than-expected drop in quarterly profit, hurt by weak sales & restructuring charges.  Results suffered from service disruptions in Brazil, weak results in Russia & a sharp drop in the number of women selling its goods in China. Even sales growth in Latin America, Avon's biggest market, was weaker than in the previous three qtrs.  AVP expects revenue, in constant dollars, to rise in a mid-single digit range this year after increasing 6% in 2010 & expects improving operating margins in  mid-teens by 2013.  Operating margin fell 1.8 percentage points to 11.2% in Q4.  EPS was 53¢ in Q4, down from 62¢ in 2009.  Restructuring charges (9¢ per share) were in line with what it said last week.  Adjusted EPS fell to 59¢ from 68¢ a year earlier & below 67¢ forecasted by analysts.  Revenue rose 1.3% to $3.18B led by an 8% rise in Latin America (13% in constant currency).  The  stock dropped 1.29 to the 28s.

Avon Drops After Fourth-Quarter Sales, Profit Trail Estimates

Avon   ---   1 year




This is the heavy part of earnings season.  Early results are mixed between earnings & guidance for 2011.  The Treasury yields are at 9 month highs, today's auction will give an indication about buyer acceptance for more Treasury debt.  Junk bond funds are near their multi year highs.  REITs are doing well & the MLP index is just below its recent record high (few can make that statement).  But a higher level of interest rates are new to this market & they can do damage.  In the meantime, earnings reports will be the major driver as Egypt is quieting down.

Dow Jones Industrials   ---   2 weeks






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