Showing posts with label CVS. Show all posts
Showing posts with label CVS. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 7, 2012

Higher markets on hopes for more monetary easing

Dow gained 55, advancers over decliners 5-2 & NAZ added 21.  The Financial Index rose 1+ to the 201s, a new 3 month high.  The MLP index was off 1 to the 391s & the REIT index fell 2½ to the 265s.  Junk bond funds were mixed again & Treasuries sold off, taking the yield on the10 year Treasury up a very big 8 basis points to 1.63%.  Crude climbed to the highest level in more than 2 months after better-than-estimated corp earnings bolstered optimism that the economy will expand.  Gold trading was flattish.

AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)

stock chart

Treasury yields:

U.S. 3-month

0.096%

U.S. 2-year

0.252%

U.S. 10-year

1.623%

CLU12.NYM...Crude Oil Sep 12...92.81 ...Up 0.61  (0.7%)

GCQ12.CMX...Gold Aug 12....1,610.30 ...Down 2.60  (0.2%)



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  • <p>               FILE - In this July 4, 2012 file photo Italian Premier Mario Monti gestures as he speaks during a joint press conference with German Chancellor Angela Merkel, unseen, during a bilateral meeting at Villa Madama in Rome. German news magazine Der Spiegel on Sunday, Aug. 5, 2012, quoted Monti as saying in an interview that "the tensions accompanying the eurozone over the past years already bear the signs of a psychological dissolution of Europe." He further told the magazine that the euro's disintegration would "destroy the founding of the European project."  (AP Photo/Riccardo De Luca)
Photo:   Yahoo

Italy's recession deepened in Q2, when the economy shrank for the 4th qtr in a row.  The economy contracted 0.7% compared with Q1, more than the 0.6% drop expected.  The ISTAT statistics agency said activity fell in all sectors: industry, services & agriculture.  The gov, which is trying to reduce debt, has made spending cuts & tax increases that are hurting businesses & households.  Fear that Italy will need a sovereign bailout if its borrowing rates rise further has created economic uncertainty.  Compared with Q2 of 2011, the economy shrank 2.5%, the worst year-on-year contraction since Q4 2009, when the economy shrank 3.5%.  Car production alone was down 22.5% in Jun compared with a year earlier.  Premier Mario Monti has recently been courting other European leaders seeking permission to slow down the pace of Italy's promised budget cuts, which tend to hurt the economy.  Experts say growth is a key element in bringing down the country's high public debt, which stands at 123% of GDP.  The gov expects the economy will contract 1.2% this year.  More negative news from the eurozone.

Italy Economy Shrinks for a Fourth Quarter as Slump Deepens


Job Openings in the U.S. Increased in June, Hiring Dropped

Photo:   Bloomberg

US. employers posted the most job openings in 4 years in Jun, a positive sign that hiring may pick up.  The Labor Dept said job openings rose to 3.8M in Jun, up from 3.7M in May, the most since May 2008.  Layoffs also fell.  The data follow Fri's report that said employers in Jul added the most jobs in 5 months.  A rise in openings could signal better hiring in the coming months.  It typically takes 1-3 months to fill a job.  But even with the increase, hiring is competitive.  There were 12.7M unemployed in Jun, or an average of 3.4 unemployed people for each job.  In a healthy job market, the ratio is usually around 2 to 1.

Job Openings in the U.S. Increased in June, Hiring Dropped

  • <p>               In a July 17, 2012 photo, a CVS drug store is lit up in Doral, Fla.  CVS Caremark said Tuesday Aug. 7, 2012, its second-quarter net income jumped more than 18 percent, as new business and an expansion of its pharmacy benefits management business pushed revenue higher.   (AP Photo/J Pat Carter)
Photo:  Yahoo

CVS Caremark Q2 net income jumped 18%, as new business for its drugstore chain & expansion of its pharmacy benefits management segment pushed revenue higher.  Adjusted earnings topped estimates & the company raised its forecast for 2012.  The company said a recently settled split between rival drugstore chain Walgreen (WAG) & Express Scripts Holding (ESRX) sent customers to CVS drugstores, & it aims to keep them.  The split added 6½-7M prescriptions in Q2 & contributed about 3.5¢ to EPS.  CVS is forecasting a gain of about 5¢ to EPS in Q3 & Q4.  In this year's Q4, it expects to keep at least 50% of the business it gained since the split began.  CEO Merlo said, "We've had the better part of nine months now to introduce these new customers to the CVS brand."  In Q2, EPS was 75¢, up from 60¢ a year ago.  Adjusted EPS came to 81¢, topping expectations of 79¢.  Revenue grew 16% to $30.7B from $26.4B last year & above the forecast of $31B.  Revenue from its PBM business climbed 28% to $18.4B, helped in part by the acquisition of Universal American's Medicare prescription drug coverage business.  Retail pharmacy revenue rose 7% to $15.8B, despite taking a hit from some generic drug introductions.  CVS expects 2012 adjusted EPS of $3.32-$3.38, up from its previous guidance of $3.23-$3.33 & analysts expect $3.33.  The stock fell 28¢.

CVS Caremark (CVS)


stock chart


This is shaping up as the 3rd consecutive days of gains for stocks.  Dow is up 300 in 3 days & NAZ went over 3K, a 3 month high.  Dow is up 1K off its lows at the start of Jun, a very nice run.  Earnings are viewed as good, although they are only beating lowered forecasts.  The € is over $1.24, a 1 month high on easing concerns about euro debts.  With reduced tensions in Europe, stocks look to be headed higher.

Dow Jones Industrials


stock chart







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Wednesday, February 8, 2012

Mixed markets keep their eyes on European debt negotiations

Dow was up 5, advancers ahead of decliners 4-3 & NAZ rose 11.  The Financial Index added 1½ to the 198s (another high since late Jul) as buyers of bank stocks are not greatly worried about the Greek debt mess.

The MLP index fell 1 to the 386s & the REIT index was even.  Junk bond funds were mixed as were Treasuries.  Oil gave up much the gains early in the day & gold fell 12.

JPMorgan Chase Capital XVI (AMJ)


stock chart




Click below for the latest market update:


Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month

0.076%

U.S. 2-year

0.250%

U.S. 10-year

1.973%

CLH12.NYM...Crude Oil Mar 12...98.85 ...Up 0.44  (0.5%)

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]




Greece protest

Athens, Greece
Photo:   Bloomberg

Greek PM Papademos began negotiating with leaders of the political parties supporting his gov as he tried to make up for lost time to secure the bailout II package.  He met with the chiefs today after delaying the gathering for a 2nd time in as many days as Greek officials & creditors haggled over terms.  An unscheduled meeting was held late last night with the troika to put final touches on a €130B ($172B) rescue plan.  Yesterday’s delay was just  another hitch in completing a package that’s been on the table since Jul.  That's more than 6 months with NOTHING to show for all the work!  “The situation is getting more problematic for Greece day by day,” an assistant to Chancellor Merkel said today.  “A day wasted in failing to tackle Greece’s administrative, budget and competitive problems is a bad day.”  Greeks need to reform “not for Brussels, Berlin or the IMF, but for their own sake.”  This tussle threatens to hold up a critical element of the plan: a debt swap to slice €100B off more than €200B of privately-held debt.  Don't worry, more meetings will be held tomorrow.   Bet money, nothing will be resolved as has been the case for sooo long. 




  • <p>               A sign at a CVS Pharmacy welcomes Express Script Customers on its sign at a store in Indianapolis, Wednesday, Feb. 8, 2012. CVS Caremark says its fourth-quarter earnings climbed nearly 4 percent, as the drugstore operator's pharmacy services revenue swelled because of a long-term contract and new business. (AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
Photo:   Yahoo

A contract squabble between Walgreen (WAG & a Dividend Aristocrat) & Express Scripts (ESRX) has driven more customers to CVS, prompting that company to raise its 2012 EPSs forecast by 3¢.  CVS had said it would gain business because of the dispute & CEO Merlo said the company is seeing more prescription transfers than it expected.  CVS chances of retaining those customers improve the longer the impasse continues, especially once people refill their prescriptions a few times.  "As I have said in the past, we know that that pharmacy customer is the hardest person to lose, but once you lose them, it's the hardest person to get back," he said.  Q4 EPS rose nearly 4% to 81¢, above 75¢ in the prior year.  Adjusted EPS was 89¢, in line with expectations.  Revenue rose 15% to $28.3B, above the $28.1B expected.  Revenue from the PBM side jumped 32% to $15.9B.  For the full year, the company had EPS of $2.59 on $107.1B in revenue.  CVS forecasts 2012 EPS of $3.18-$3.28 which doesn't reflect a benefit from the WAG-ESRX dispute beyond Q1.  CVS gained 49¢.

CVS Caremark 4Q profit rises, 2012 outlook climbs AP

CVS Corporation (CVS)


stock chart


  • <p>               FILE - In this Jan. 3, 2008 file photo, the Time Warner Center is shown in New York. Time Warner said Wednesday, Feb. 8, 2012, its fourth-quarter earnings grew slightly as revenue jumped 8 percent on strong performance at its Warner Bros. movie studio and its cable television networks. (AP Photo/Mark Lennihan, file)
Photo:   Yahoo

Time Warner got a boost from its movie studio & cable TV networks in Q4 & the company expects growth to continue in 2012 even with the end of its Harry Potter franchise.  Q4 EPS grew slightly as revenue increased 5%.  Adjusted EPS & the growth forecast for 2012 topped expectations.  TWX also raised its dividend 11% & plans to expand a stock buyback program.  The company said growth in adjusted EPS should be in the low double-digit percentages this year (above adjusted EPS of $2.89 in 2011).  Q4 EPS was 76¢, compared with 68¢ a year earlier.  Adjusted for one-time items EPS was 94¢, beating expectations of 87¢.  Revenue grew to $8.2B from $7.8B a year earlier.  The div was raise to 26¢.  The company also announced plans to buy back up to $4B in stock, on top of the nearly $5B it had already repurchased since the beginning of 2011.  The stock was up a penny.  

Time Warner Profit Beats Estimates as Ad Revenue Improves at TV Networks

Time Warner Inc. (TWX)


stock chart


Markets continue to mark time, but that's a very impressive showing given the lack of progress for soooo long on bailout II for Greece.  The promise of low yields for another couple of years keeps high yielding sectors (MLPs, REITs, junk bond funds, etc.) in high demand.  All are at or near post recession highs & MLPs are just below the records reached 2 weeks ago.  Central banks are ready to do whatever is required to support the € which has been strong in the last month (currently about $1.32½, up from $1.27 last month).  But there is still a strong possibility, that despite the best intentions, this can quickly come unglued with protests & the contagion effect.  They are throwing around €100Bs which is scary to watch from the sidelines.

Dow Industrials


stock chart





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Tuesday, December 20, 2011

Markets soar on European hopes

Dow soared 337 to go over 12K & closed near the highs, advancers over decliners 7-1 & NAZ was up 80.  Bank stocks & materials (such as oils) led the way, although it was tough to find a loser.

S&P 500 Financials Sector Index


Value171.99One-Year Chart for S&P 500 Financials Sector Index GICS Level 1 (S5FINL:IND)
Change      6.62    (4.0%)

The MLP index rose 2+ to the 377s & the REIT index jumped 7+ to the 228s.  Junk bond funds were mixed & Treasuries sold off in this market rally.  Oil rose for a 2nd day as US builders broke ground on more houses than at any time in the past 19 months & on speculation that further sanctions against Iran will curb supply.  Gold joined in the rally, although it's only back where it was 6 months ago.

AMZ    Alerian MLP Index



DJR   Dow Jones Equity REIT Index



Click below for the latest market update:


Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month

0.005%

U.S. 2-year

0.255%

U.S. 10-year

1.923%


CLF12.NYM...Crude Oil Jan 12...97.12 ...Up 3.24  (3.5%)


Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]




Ireland’s benefactors should take steps to create a firewall around the nation, as its prospects remain “fragile” amid the escalating euro-region debt crisis, according to the IMF.   The crisis may hamper Irish economic growth, increase the cost of re-entering bond markets & make it harder for the country’s banks to sell off assets.  “Stronger European support for Ireland’s recovery would help sustain fiscal consolidation efforts and reinforce prospects for program success, with positive spillovers for European stability,” the IMF said.  “By enhancing the robustness of Ireland’s program, these and other potential steps would also provide a firewall protecting the euro area against potential shocks.”  Ireland sought a €67.5B ($88.5B) rescue last year, amid concern that the nation’s banking woes would push it into bankruptcy.  With the state seeking to test bond markets in 2012 after a 2-year hiatus, Ireland’s partners should consider a range of extra measures, the IMF said.  “The main thing that would be desirable would be to break this link between the sovereign and the financial system more effectively than has been done so far,” said Craig Beaumont, IMF’s mission chief for Ireland. “The prospects for the program’s success remain positive.”  This situation remains touchy.

IMF Urges European Firewall Around Ireland


CVS Caremark estimated that 2012 adjusted earnings would rise 13-17% & lifted the quarterly div 30%.  The company pegs 2012 adjusted EPS at $3.15-$3.25.   Continuing operations should generate $2.93-$3.03.  Analysts are estimating $3.20.   In 2012, the company expects to buy back the remaining $3B of stock already authorized.  The quarterly div was raised to 16¼¢ (65¢ annualized) & the stock rose 3.24 (9%).

CVS Sees 2012 Profit Bump, Lifts Dividend (Update 1)at TheStreet

CVS       CVS Caremark 



  • Republicans plan House OK of payroll tax cut bill
Photo:   Yahoo

The GOP-run House rejected the Senate plan to renew the payroll tax cut & extend unemployment benefits.  It wants to start bargaining now with the Senate, but leader Reid said he won't negotiate until the House approves the Senate's 2-month package.  The problem is the House does not want to have to go thru these negotiations again in Feb, insisting households should know tax obligations for the next 12 months - not just 2.  House Speaker Boehner says it's time for the president to help the impasse by calling on the Senate to return to DC & bargain with the House over a compromise plan.  The Senate had passed a bipartisan plan to extend expiring tax cuts & unemployment benefits for 2 months, hoping to give negotiators time to agree to a year-long plan.  Today's stock market was not concerned about the goings on in DC.

Boehner: Obama Should Make Senate Bargain on Taxes AP


Italy Sells EU3 Billion of 5-Year Bonds, Highest Since 1997

Photo:   Bloomberg

Italy paid the most in 14 years to sell 5-year bonds as Parliament rushes to pass a €30B ($39B) budget plan that Prime Ministe Monti says will bring down record borrowing costs.  The Treasury sold €3B of the bonds, the maximum, to yield 6.47%, the most since 1997 & up from 6.29% in Nov.  Demand was 1.42X times the amount on offer, compared with 1.47X times last month.  The yield on the benchmark 10-year bond was 6.69% after the auction.   Call this one more fluid debt situation.

Italy Sells Debt at Record Yields as Monti Rushes to Get Budget Approved


Maybe this was an overreaction to oversold  markets.  Markets are hoping that financial difficulties will vanish.  The rejection by the House to extend tax tax cuts & unemployment benefits received zero attention, hard to believe.  Even after the rally, the chart below shows the Dow has not recovered after the big sell-off in Aug.  Dow is knocking on the 12.2K ceiling once again & tomorrow will tell us if it has the strength to blast thru.

Dow Jones Industrial Average




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