Showing posts with label iPad. Show all posts
Showing posts with label iPad. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 19, 2012

Markets rise to a one month high on hopes for Federal Reserve easing

Dow added 95, advancers over decliners 5-1 & NAZ rose 34.  The Financial Index was up 3+ to the 195s.  The MLP index roared ahead 6+ (one of its biggest gains in history) to the 368s & the REIT index was up a more mild 1 to the 256s.  Junk bond funds were higher & Treasuries fell back.  Higher stock prices brought buyers out for oil, but gold continued to plod along with a loss of $6.

AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking Fund)


stock chart


Click below for the latest market update:


Treasur yields:

U.S. 3-month

0.086%

U.S. 2-year

0.282%

U.S. 10-year

1.609%

CLN12.NYM...Crude Oil Jul 12...84.12 ...Up 0.85  (1.0%)

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]




  • <p>               Greek Socialist PASOK party leader Evangelos Venizelos speaks to reporters after a meeting with Democratic Left leader Fotis Kouvelis in the Parliament in Athens, on Tuesday, June 19, 2012. Greek Socialist PASOK party leader Evangelos Venizelos, right, welcomes Democratic Left leader Fotis Kouvelis in his office at the Parliament in Athens, on Tuesday, June 19, 2012. Rival Greek party leaders launched a second day of talks on Tuesday in an attempt to quickly form a pro-bailout coalition government, after the debt-crippled country's second inconclusive election in six weeks. Antonis Samaras' New Democracy party came first in Sunday's vote, winning 129 of Parliament's 300 seats — not enough for him to govern alone. He is seeking an alliance with the third-placed Socialist PASOK and the smaller Democratic Left party. (AP Photo/Kostas Tsironis)
Photo:   Yahoo

A coalition gov could be formed by tomorrow in Greece according to the head of the country's socialist party, easing the nation out of a political limbo as it struggles to deal with a financial crisis that is already affecting markets around the world.  Evangelos Venizelos' socialist PASOK party came 3rd in the elections.  At the core of any administration will be Antonis Samaras' conservative New Democracy party, which came first & won 129 of Parliament's 300 seats, short of the 151 needed to govern alone.  The radical left Syriza party in 2nd place, with 71 seats, has refused to join any gov that will implement the terms of Greece's bailout.  Venizelos, who handled Greece's negotiations with its intl creditors for several months last year as finance minister, said the gov would have the support of the election winner, PASOK & the small Democratic Left party of Fotis Kouvelis, which won 17 seats.  "With Syriza's refusal, the only practical solution now is the creation of a government with the support of New Democracy, PASOK, and the Democratic Left," he said after several hours of negotiations. "I repeat that this government must be formed as soon as possible. As now things stand, this can be achieved by mid-day tomorrow."  His party, he said, "will support this government sincerely and will participate in it in the most beneficial way in order to make it effective and credible."  "The most important issue is not the government's composition, but the national negotiating team that will strive to achieve the best possible revision of the loan agreement so that we can keep all the positives and to counter the recession and unemployment and to bring positive growth and jobs," Venizelos said.  This is still far from a done deal.

Greek Coalition Government May Be Ready Tomorrow, Venizelos Says


  • <p>               In this Friday, May 11, 2012, file photo, a FedEx worker sorts boxes for delivery as they are unloaded from a FedEx truck in New York. FedEx Corp. said Tuesday, June 19, 2012, that slow global growth will crimp its earnings results over the next 12 months, but it’s vowing to make significant cost cuts to make up for any shortfall.(AP Photo/Mark Lennihan)
Photo:   Yahoo

FedEx expects slow global economic growth will crimp its earnings over the next 12 months & the company is making significant cost cuts to counter any drop in package shipments.  FDX is closely watched for signs about the health of the economy.  It forecast moderate growth for both the US & global economies, citing the debt crisis in Europe & slowing growth in Asia.  It forecast for fiscal Q1 fell below expectations & its range for the year fell mostly below forecasts.  FDX faces a number of speed bumps, including higher salaries & pension costs, as well a shift by customers to cheaper shipping options to save money.  The company predicts fiscal year 2013 EPS of $6.90-$7.40.  That excludes the major cost reductions it plans to announce in the fall.  Analysts expect EPS of $7.39.  FDX is calling for 2.2% economic growth in the US for a calendar 2012, slightly above the 2.1% it predicted 3 months ago, & it sees that rising to 2.4%.  In the latest qtr, EPS was $1.73, compared with $1.75 a year earlier.  Revenue rose to $11B from $10.55B a year ago.  Without the charge to retire planes, FedEx earned $1.99 per share, 4¢ better than the estimate.  FDX earned 6% more per package in the US despite a 5% decline in total shipments.  It credited that to growth in its overnight service & higher customer charges for fuel. Intl priority shipment revenue rose 3%, while volume fell 3% as growth in Asia slowed.  The stock rose 2.50.

FedEx Climbs After Pledging Expense Cuts as Economy Pressures Profits

FedEx (FDX)


stock chart


Microsoft Unveils Surface Tablet Computer, Taking on IPad

Photo:   Bloomberg

Microsoft, a Dow stock, unveiled its own Windows-powered tablet computer called Surface, altering its strategy of focusing on software & relying on partners to make the machines in a renewed attempt to take on the Apple (AAPL) iPad.  The tablet has a 10.6" display & will run the new version of Microsoft’s operating system.  The device’s cover serves as a full keyboard with a track pad. Surface will be available later this year.  The new strategy by MSFT threatens to sour its relationship with some PC makers, many of which have been investing to develop their own Windows 8 tablets & may not want to compete directly with Microsoft.  The stock was up 86¢.

Microsoft’s Ballmer Takes On Apple IPad With Windows Tablet Called Surface

Microsoft (MSFT)


stock chart


The € slipped back a fraction to under $1.27, but has a modest gain in Jun as financial tensions in Europe have been reduced.  Greece is trying to get its act together, although even if it seemingly does, this is only a first step in solving major problems.  The Federal Reserve is meeting with the bulls hoping it will pull a rabbit out to the hat to help the US economy.  Haven't heard much about the G-20 meeting, but it has a lot on its plate.  Dow had another good day, but sellers took over in the last 2 hours, pulling it down 63 from its intra day highs.

Dow Jones Industrials


stock chart





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Wednesday, March 14, 2012

Markets slide after recent gains

Dow eked out a gain of 16, decliners over advancer 3-1 & NAZ was up 1 in spite of another binge by Apple.  Bank stocks held up, with the Financial Index flat at 207.

The MLP index fell 5½ to the 397s (14 below its recent record high) & the REIT index was down 1 to 250.  Junk bond funds were off a tad while Treasury prices plunged on improved economic outlook from the Federal Reserve.  Oil was flattish & gold plunged, like Treasuries, as risk averse thoughts have evaporated.  It's at a key technical point, further damage could bring more selling.  However, the long term outlook for gold is for much higher prices.

JPMorgan Chase Capital XVI (AMJ)


stock chart




Click below for the latest market update:


Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month

0.081%

U.S. 2-year

0.386%

U.S. 10-year

2.272%

CLJ12.NYM...Crude Oil Apr 12....105.45 ...Down 1.26  (1.2%)

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]




Ben Bernanke

Photo:   Bloomberg

Ben Bernanke said the weak economy impedes efforts by banks to make profitable loans.  “Despite some recent signs of improvement, the recovery has been frustratingly slow, constraining opportunities for profitable lending,” Bernanke said.  The FOMC said yesterday that economic conditions would still warrant holding the benchmark interest rates near zero at least through late 2014.  But community banks are “facing difficult challenges,” Bernanke said.  “Their close ties to local economies are, on balance, a source of strength, but a drawback of those ties is that the fortunes of communities and their banks tend to rise and fall together.”  The best 6-month streak of job growth since 2006 caused him to acknowledge an improved path for the economy, even as policy makers repeated that unemployment is “elevated” & that strains in global markets “continue to pose significant downside risks to the economic outlook.”  Bernanke said that “together with economic conditions, regulation and supervision are among the top concerns for community banks.”   Banks face higher costs under tougher supervision including the Dodd-Frank Act.  The gap has shrink between interest earned & interest paid as the Fed pushed down long-term interest rates by purchasing $2.3T in bonds & lengthened the average duration of the securities in its portfolio.

Bernanke Says U.S. Growth Impedes Lending


Gasoline is now over $4 per gallon in 4 states & DC, as a 3-month surge in pump prices continues & prices in several other states are almost there.  Nationwide, gasoline has soared 54¢ in 2012 to an average of $3.81 per gallon.  Prices are rising as service stations pass along the higher cost of crude.  Pump prices also tend to jump this time of year as gasoline suppliers sell off their remaining stocks of winter gasoline to make room for a different grade of gasoline required in the summer.  The seasonal switch causes a temporary supply dip that pushes prices even higher.  The gov indicated that the switch was under way & gasoline supplies fell 1.4M barrels last week.  The report also noted that energy demand remains weak in the US.  Oil demand dropped 5.4% while wholesale gasoline demand fell 7.2% below last year.  Earlier, the International Energy Agency said global oil supplies fell 200K barrels per day in Feb, even as members of OPEC increased production & global supplies are predicted to fall later this year.  Tighter supplies could push oil & gasoline prices higher.

Gasoline tops $4 a gallon in more states AP


12onth Average
State's Graph
Source:   AAA


Samsung Supplies Apple With New IPad

Photo:    Bloomberg

Apple stock is getting a boost from anticipation of the new iPad3 & some analysts predict it could climb to $700.  At least 4 have increased price targets to $700 or higher in the past 2 weeks, 23% above yesterday’s closing price of $568 (after the stock had previously gained 40%).  The new iPad3, set to go on sale Mar 16, has been upgraded with a sharper screen & faster chip as CEO Cook seeks to widen the company’s lead in tablets.  AAPL is also cutting the price of the older iPad by $100 to help gain market share.  The stock shot up $21 to $589, giving it a market cap of $550B.

Apple May Climb Above $700 on New IPad: Analysts

Apple Inc. (AAPL)


stock chart


Dow just manged to make it 6 up days in a row.  It's difficult to avoid the obvious thought that the markets are overbought with that kind of run.   Excitement over European debts has quieted down, but the recession lumbers on.  The US economy is doing reasonable well even though dark clouds of higher gas prices are moving in.  MLP fans have found out in the last month that securities don't keep going up forever.  Today the index had a major drop (over 5).  The sharp rise in Treasury yields may have prompted MLP holders to demand higher yields.   A 5 year chart for the Dow shows its fall & spectacular recovery.

Dow Industrials


stock chart





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Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Markets remained lower on growing international tensions

Stocks dropped at the opening & were never able to get ahead.  Dow ended down 142, decliners ahead of advancers better than 3-1 (the spread narrowed in late trading) & NAZ fell 37.  Banks led the way down.  The Financial Index is where it was at 6 months ago when the markets took a spill from their yearly highs.

S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX

Value193.47One-Year Chart for S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX (S5FINL:IND)
Change  -3.18  (-1.6%)


The Alerian MLP Index was up pocket change in the 359s (that's called outperforming) but the REIT index was down 2 to the 212s.  Junk bond funds were mixed, helped by a buying in Treasuries.  Treasuries had a good day, but it should have been better considering all the intl problems.  The yield on the 10 year Treasury bond fell a relatively modest 5 basis points to 2.76%.


Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month
0.12%
U.S. 2-year
0.45%
U.S. 10-year
2.76%


Alerian MLP Index   ---   3 months



Dow Jones REIT Index   ---   3 months



10 Year Treasury Yield Index   ---   3 months




Crude oil futures declined in the last half-hour of trading.  However, 80+ is solidly ahead of where it was for most of last year.  As expected, gold had a good day with growing intl tensions.

CLF11.NYM....Crude Oil Jan 11..................81.36 ....Down 0.34 (0.4%)

GCX10.CMX...Gold Futures,Nov-2010...1,364.50 ...Up 6.80  (0.5%)

+++ Gold Super Cycle +++ 



U.S. Chairman of the Federal Reserve
Ben S. Bernanke
Photo:  Bloomberg


Federal Reserve (FED) policymakers clashed over the benefits & risks of launching a $600B program to rejuvenate the economy, but voted for it anyway.  Despite a 10-1 vote in support of the program, the minutes from the Nov 3 meeting show that some FED officials had concerns about embarking on a 2nd round of stimulus. The minutes also reveal that the FED held a secret meeting in mid-Oct to talk about its communications strategy.  Some officials thought the additional purchases of gov debt would have limited effect in revving up the economy. Some also worried about risks, unleashing inflation or causing a destabilizing slide in the value of the U.S. dollar. But in the end, Chairman Ben Bernanke persuaded all but one to back the plan. Explaining the need for more stimulus, the FED said that progress on its key dual mission of maximizing employment & making sure prices are on an even keel had been "disappointingly slow."  The Fed also downgraded its forecasts for this year & next, saying that economic growth would be weaker & unemployment higher than previously estimated in Jun.  FED officials also weighed at the Oct meeting whether it needed to adopt an explicit inflation target.  Inflation has been running below the Fed's comfort zone of between 1½-2%. That spurred concerns of deflation, a prolonged & dangerous drop in prices, wages & in the values of homes & stocks.

Fed Officials Disagreed Over Benefits of $600 Billion Stimulus


Acer, the Taiwanese laptop maker (including the one I use to write this blog), debuted its first tablet computers, becoming the latest company to challenge the market-leading iPad from Apple (AAPL).  2 tablets will have 7" & 10.1"screens & be based on Android software platform from Google (GOOG). A 3rd tablet, also with a 10.1" screen, will be based on Windows software. Acer expects 40-50M tablets will be sold worldwide next year with Acer hoping to take 10% of the market.  The 2 Android tablets will be available in Apr & the Microsoft device will go on sale in Feb. All 3 will offer Wi-Fi connectivity & allow users to surf the Internet using a 3G connection. The tablets would likely be priced at $299-699.  Acer also today released a smartphone with a 4.8" screen based on Android that they touted as a phone with the “soul of a tablet.”  The competition for the iPad is growing & it's coming from big companies.  AAPL may have to learn how to live with increased competition on its profitable products.  AAPL fell almost 4+ to the 308s (in a down market) & has lost its upward momentum since announcing the latest round of new products last month.

Acer Seeks Piece of IPad Market With Introduction of Three Tablet Devices

Apple ---   3 months




A holiday trading mood is in the air.  Volume was light (1B shares on the NYSE floor) & should be even lighter on Wed & Fri, so market swings have less meaning than usual.  Nov is turning into a difficult month.  Dow is down 1% this month.  Meanwhile, dreary housing numbers keep coming with the unemployment rate stuck in a rut near 10%.  The chart shows Dow is back where it was 5 weeks ago.  Its challenge for the rest of the week will be to hold above 11K.

Dow Jones Industrials   ---   3 months




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