Friday, March 28, 2008

Stocks pull back again

Markets declined on weak economic news. Dow was down 86 (putting it more than 1000 points lower than it started on Jan 1), decliners ahead of advancers 2-1 & NAZ down 20 (putting it 385 points lower than it started at on Jan 1). Instead of focusing on credit crunch problems today, a report showing personal spending at its weakest growth in 17 months & a profit warning from JC Penney (JCP), down 3.04, raising concerns about a US recession weighed on the markets. The FED announced it will auction off $100B in April, it's way of helping banks get thru the credit crisis. This is after they have already provided $260B to commercial banks. Oil pulled back to under 106 as concerns about the Basra situation subsided & on strength of the dollar. Analysts don't agree on the future of oil prices, but these levels have to hurt a struggling economy.

I just came from a meeting with a top money manager who sees junk bonds as offering value. The yields are triple the 3.47% rate on the Treasury bond. They feel the default rates will be less severe than some are forecasting. As a result, present yields offer value for those willing to assume a little extra risk.

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