Thursday, September 11, 2008

Financial worries continue to drag down markets

Dow is down 83, decliners over advancers a big 5-1 & NAX is down a more mild 9. Financials are leading the way down on more worries about Lehman (LEH), now at $4, & its ability to survive. The vultures keep circling:

Lehman Plummets as Goldman, Merrill, Citigroup Analysts Cite Credit Risks

S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX

Value...273.00___Change.. (8.39)___ %Change ... (3.0%)

Washington Mutual (WM), the largest S&L in the country is down to 1.90, fearing they may need to raise a lot more capital to help cover $19B in losses from mortgage writedowns.

WaMu Plunges on Concern It May Have to Raise Capital; Short Positions Rise

Do you want more headaches? American International Group (AIG), a Dow stock & until recently the largest insurer in the world, is down over 3 to 14 (a 15 year low). The stock's decline has been reviewed here & it looks like their financial condition is going from bad to worse. They get credit for knowing the insurance business, but wandered far afield which has brought them billions in losses. Now there are increasing doubts about their ability to recovery.

American International Group



The US is not alone in stock market suffering. Markets are falling around the world. Asian markets are taking big beatings. They worry about weaker demand from customers, with the US being their biggest customer. Strength in the dollar is making matters worse bringing up more talk about demand destruction.

Back to routine economic news, while jobless claims fell slightly to 445K last week, the number on jobless rolls climbed to 3½MM, highest number in 5 years. Times remain tough.

Jobless Benefit Rolls in U.S. Reach 3.52 Million, Highest Level Since 2003

A back-burner news story is oil, down pennies to the 102s as the hurricane approaches Texas. Once again, demand destruction is reducing demand for oil & related fuel products limiting worries about potential storm damage.

S&P 500 declines are becoming very serious. Earlier this year, many were talking about 1270 being a key support level. It's been living under that for a few months. Now they are watching the Jul 15 low, 1200. We're just inches away at 1223 (as with Dow retesting the 10,962 closing low). Markets are all playing defense & it looks like dreary results will continue.

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