Wednesday, January 20, 2021

Markets reach records as Biden is sworn in

Dow climbed 257 to a new record, advancers over decliners better than 3-2 & NAZ jumped 260 (another record).  The MLP index gave back 1+ to 157 & the REIT index soared 7+ to the 376s.  Junk bond funds crawled higher & Treasuries were up a tad.  Oil remained strong in the 53s & gold leaped 27 to 1867 (more on both below).

AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]




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The coronavirus vaccine developed by Pfizer ,.(PFE) & BioNTech (BNTX) is likely to be just as effective against a highly transmissible mutant strain of the virus that was discovered in the UK, according to a study by the 2 companies.  The variant was estimated to have first emerged in the UK in Sep.  It has an unusually high number of mutations & is associated with more efficient & rapid transmission.  The characteristics of the variant had led to concerns about the effectiveness of Covid vaccines against it.  However, research published on preprint server bioRxiv showed “no biologically significant difference in neutralization activity” between the laboratory tests on B.1.1.7 & the original strain of the coronavirus.  The study, which has not yet been peer-reviewed, found that all of the mutations associated with the newly discovered variant were neutralized by antibodies in the blood of 16 participants who had previously been given the vaccine.  Half of the participants were ages 18-55 & the other ½ were 56-85.  Authors of the study warned that the rapid spread of Covid variants worldwide required “continuous monitoring of the significance of changes for maintained protection by currently authorized vaccines.”  It is the first paper of its kind to be completed by a major Covid vaccine maker.  Other drug companies are scrambling to conduct tests on the effectiveness of their own respective inoculations.

Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine found to be effective against Covid variant found in 

Health insurer UnitedHealth (UNH) beat quarterly profit estimates for Q4, helped partly by lower medical costs due to fewer elective surgeries as hospitals made room for Covid-19 patients.  For the most part of last year, health insurers gained as people afraid of contracting the virus also avoided hospital visits for routine & elective medical procedures during the height of the pandemic.  UNH reported a medical loss ratio — the percentage of premiums paid out for medical services — of 79.1% in Q4, improving from 82.5% a year earlier, capped by Covid-19 testing, treatment & vaccine costs.  Its profit was impacted by a recovery in demand for health-care services & rise in costs related to its programs to make Covid-19 testing & treatment more accessible for its customers.  UNH maintained its 2021 profit forecast from Dec & said it expected adjusted EPS of $17.75-18.25, including a $1.80 hit due to treatment & testing costs related to Covid-19.  Adjusted EPS were $2.52 in Q4, beating estimates of $2.41.  The stock was off 1.85.
If you would like to learn more about UNH, click on this link:
club.ino.com/trend/analysis/stock/UNH?a_aid=CD3289&a_bid=6ae5b6f7  

UnitedHealth profit beats on lower medical costs due to deferred care

Gold futures climbed, notching their highest finish in nearly 2 weeks, as expectations for further fiscal stimulus measures under the Biden administration pressured the $, boosting prices for the $-denominated precious metal.  More gov spending would create more debt, which would lead to a weaker $, which can boost prices for gold.  The greenback was little changed today, but traded lower for the week so far.  Even so, Yellen said the US “does not seek a weaker currency to gain competitive advantage,” as the Biden administration attempts to extricate the country from a virus-induced recession.  Feb gold climbed by $26 (1.4%) to settle at $1866 an ounce — the highest finish for a most-active contract since Jan 7.  Bullish gold investors made the case that accommodative central banks across the globe & Biden's legislative agenda, highlighted by an ambitious $1.9T coronavirus relief proposal, will ultimately provide support for gold & weaken the greenback.  The ECB tomorrow is expected to emphasize its intention to maintain easy-money policies as the viral outbreak continues to hobble the eurozone economy & cause fresh lockdowns. 

Gold ends at a nearly 2-week high on talk of further U.S. fiscal stimulus

Oil futures ended higher for a 2nd straight session, as traders penciled in expectations for aggressive pandemic aid spending by the administration of Pres Biden.  West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for Feb rose 26¢ (0.5%) to settle at $53.24 a barrel. March WTI, which became the front-month contract at the day’s settlement, climbed by 33 (0.6%) to finish at $53.31 a barrel.  Mar Brent crude , the global benchmark, rose 18¢ (0.3%) at $56.08 a barrel.

Oil prices rise for 2nd session in a row as President Biden takes office

Markets rose, extending yesterday's advances as investors looked ahead to the first actions of the incoming Biden administration.  Biden is set to quickly begin pushing to get more virus relief aid into the economy, after having unveiled a $1.9T proposal last week that would include increased stimulus checks, extended unemployment benefits & aid to state & local govs, among other measures.  The popular averages also rose on hopes for healing in the country.       

Dow Jones Industrials








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