Showing posts with label computer sales. Show all posts
Showing posts with label computer sales. Show all posts

Monday, September 10, 2012

Markets decline on nervousness over Greek bailout

Dow fell 52 with most of the selling in the last hour, decliners over advancers 3-2 & NAZ dropped 32 led by Apple (AAPL) falling almost 18.  The Financial Index was down 2 to the 208s.  The MLP index was off 1+ to the 395s & the REIT index fell 2+ to the 267s.  Junk bond funds were a little lower & Treasuries were mixed.  Oil & gold barely moved, but oil is pushing on $100 & gold is well over $1700.

AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)

stock chart



Click below for the latest market update:


Treeasury yields:

U.S. 3-month

0.096%

U.S. 2-year

0.246%

U.S. 10-year

1.683%

CLV12.NYM...Crude Oil Oct 12...96.56 ...Up 0.14 (0.2%)

GCU12.CMX...Gold Sep 12....1,732.20 ...Down 5.30  (0.3%)

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]




Americans cut back on credit card use in Jul for the 2nd straight month, suggesting many remain cautious in the face of high unemployment and slow growth.  The Federal Reserve said total borrowing dipped $3.3B in Jul from Jun, to $2.705T.  A drop in credit card debt offset a small rise in a measure of auto & student loans.  Americans have borrowed much more than previously estimated after consumer borrowing data was revised back to Dec 2010.  The Jun figure was increased to $2.708T, or $130B higher than initially thought.  It's also well above pre-recession borrowing levels.  Consumers have been using credit cards much less since the 2008 credit crisis while student loans have increased dramatically during that time.

US consumers cut credit card use for 2nd month AP

  • <p>               In this  Thursday, July 19, 2012, photo an Apple customer Shayan Hooshmand, 11, uses PhotoBooth on a 21.5-inch iMac at an Apple store in Palo Alto, Calif. Apple Inc. reports quarterly financial results after the market closes on Tuesday, July 24. (AP Photo/Paul Sakuma)
Photo:   Yahoo

Hewlett-Packard, a Dow stock, which announced additional job cuts, remains the largest PC maker.  According to IDC, these are the top 5 PC manufacturers in Q2.  But the numbers are estimates & do not reflect figures disclosed by the company after IDC's report came out Jul 11.

Worldwide:
(1) Hewlett-Packard, 13.4M shipped worldwide, 15.5% share
(2) Lenovo, 12.9M, 14.9%
(3) Dell, 9.6M, 11.1%
(4) Acer Group, 9M, 10.4%
(5) AsusTek, 6.1M, 7.1%
(6) Others, 35.6M, 41.1%.
Total: 86.7M

United States:
Hewlett-Packard, 4.1M shipped in US, 25.9%
Dell, 3.6M, 22.5%
Apple, 1.8M, 11.4%
Lenovo, 1.28M, 8%
Acer Group, 1.25M, 7.9%.
Others, 3.9M, 24.4%.
Total: 15.9M

Top 5 manufacturers of personal computers in 2Q AP


Microsoft, a Dow stock, may announce a 15% increase to its quarterly div later this month.  The company’s board typically holds its annual meeting to set the div in Sep & has boosted the payout in each of the previous 2 years, including a 25% increase last year.  Analysts estimate it will raise the div by 3¢ to 23¢ a share.  The company had more than $63B in cash items as of Jun 30.  However, about $54B was held overseas & “would be subject to material repatriation tax effects” if the company were to shift it back to the US for uses such as the div, MSFT said.  Some analysts expect a smaller increase.  It began paying divs in 2003 & has been increasing the annual amounts since then (ignoring special divs).  The stock slipped 23¢ & the expected div would provide a yield of 3%.

Microsoft May Raise Dividend by 15 Percent This Month

Microsoft (MSFT)


stock chart


Markets did little, but there was selling into the close.  Foreign stories weighed on the markets led by another indication of a slowdown in China along with worries about extending the Greek bailout.  Bulls are hoping Big Ben will announce that the Federal Reserve will throw more money at the markets later this week.  However, that thought already has been baked into the markets.  Any surprise can bring disappointment.  Dow continues at the high end of its 7 month trading range & most of the time, it has not strayed from the 13K center line.

Dow Jones Industrials


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Thursday, September 8, 2011

Markets sell off after Bernanke's speech

Dow dropped 119 (closing at the lows), decliners over advancers 3-1 & NAZ fell 19.  Banks stocks led the way lower & the Financial Index may test its 160 lows again.

S&P 500 Financials Sector Index


Value169.56One-Year Chart for S&P 500 Financials Sector Index GICS Level 1 (S5FINL:IND)
Change   -3.95      (-2.3%)

MLPs found buyers in an otherwise weak market & the REIT index fell 2 to 226 (following its huge gain yesterday).  Junk bond funds were mixed to lower while Treasuries were in demand, pushing the yield on the 10 year Treasury below 2%.  Oil fell amid concern that the global economy is struggling to recover.  Gold gained for the first time in 3 days after a rise in US jobless claims & an expected new stimulus package being announced tonight spurred demand for the metal as a haven asset.

Alerian MLP Index


Value351.15One-Year Chart for Alerian MLP Index (AMZ:IND)
Change     0.99     (0.3%)

Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month

0.010%

U.S. 2-year

0.188%

U.S. 10-year

1.980%

CLV11.NYM...Crude Oil Oct 11...89.01...Down 0.33  (0.37%)

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]






Get the latest market update below:




Bernanke Says Fed Will Weigh More Stimulus at September Meet

Photo:   Bloomberg

Ben Bernanke said the Federal Reserve (FED) would spare no effort to boost disappointingly weak growth & lower unemployment.  In addition he downplayed concerns about inflation but did not mention a further easing of monetary policy at the Sep 20-21 meeting.  Investors were disappointed when he offered no details of steps the FED might take.  "The Federal Reserve will do all it can to help restore high rates of growth and employment in a context of price stability," Bernanke said.  A widening debt crisis in Europe & collapse in consumer & business confidence in the US has raised concern the US & global economies could slide back into recession.  So stark is the recent deterioration in the global economic recovery that the political debate in DC has veered in only 6 weeks from a preoccupation with how to cut US debts to a renewed urgency on lowering unemployment.  Dow was at breakeven before he spoke!

Bernanke: Fed Will Weigh Stimulus at Next Meeting


Corning, a specialty glass maker, said that Q3 sales volumes of liquid-crystal-display (LCD) glass will be lower than originally expected, because of weak customer demand.  CFO James Flaws was set to tell investors at a conference later today that the LCD market is being "cautious."  Utilization rates remain low as the industry anticipates softer retail demand in the 2nd half of this year," Flaws said in comments released ahead of the address. "This is somewhat contrary to how retail demand has been acting to date."  Worldwide retail demand for LCD TVs rose 18% thru Jun & sales still appear to be strong, so it's possible that supply chain inventories will be much lower heading into Q4.   But GLW now expects volume to be flat sequentially, down from its previous expectation of an increase in the mid-to upper-single digit range.  Volume at Samsung Corning Precision Materials is expected to be down 30% sequentially, due to the lower-than-expected LCD panel maker utilization rates & market share loss.  GLW fell 17¢ on what is not considered surprising news.

Corning expects lower LCD sales for 3Q AP

Corning Incorporated (GLW)


stock chart


As consumer spend less, global PC shipments will increase less than previously predicted in 2011 & 2012 according to Gartner.  Shipments are expected to rise 3.8% to 364M units in 2011, below a previous projection of 9.3%.  Shipments will probably increase 10.9% next year, compared with an earlier forecast of 12.8%.  “An increasing pessimistic economic outlook is causing both consumer and business sentiment to deteriorate” in the US & Western Europe.  Younger consumers aren’t buying PCs as their first or main device.  Tablets & mobile devices have cut into PC demand, & Hewlett-Packard's (HPQ), a Dow stock, possible sale or spinoff of its PC division shows traditional business models are failing.  It also shows economies around the world are weak!

Gartner Cuts Forecast for Global PC Unit Sales in 2011


Colgate-Palmolive expects to buy back 50M shares over the next 1-2 years.  Shares will be bought on the open market or private transactions.  The 50M shares would be worth roughly $4½B.  Colgate makes a variety of consumer products including Colgate toothpaste, Irish Spring soap & Speed Stick deodorant.  The stock fell $1.35, sinking with the markets rather than responding to the encouraging message.

Colgate to buy back up to 50 million sharesat Reuters

Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL)


stock chart


Bernanke spoke & the markets were disappointed not hearing that he had a new magic trick.  Then this was mostly a waiting day, waiting for the presidential speech.   However it was leaked, so no surprises are expected.  It should call for a $300B stimulus package (sorry, not supposed to use that word this time) with some tax benefits & more gov spending.   The last one, after wasting money, only added to Treasury borrowings & did not stop unemployment (& underemployment) from rising to their worst levels since the awful days 30 years ago.  The 2 stories about sluggish demand for TVs & PCs around the world are more reminders that the world economy is sputtering.  Asian markets will respond to the speech in real time tonight.  My bet is they will sell off along with futures for the US markets.

Dow Industrials (INDU)


stock chart


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