Thursday, July 24, 2008

Home sales decline again

Stocks sank on negative economic news. Dow is down 107, decliners ahead of advancers better than 3-2 & NAZ is down 17. New home sales for June fell 2.6% from the prior year, double the estimates & the median price for a home was down 6% from last year. Gloomy news in the housing sector drags on. The Labor Dept reported that new claims for unemployment benefits shot up 34K to 406K (a recession kind of number for many). The forecasted number was 375K & last year it was only 308K. Oil rebounded 1 to 125½. Gasoline demand in the US fell 2.4% from the prior year, high prices are biting the consumer. Dreary economic news drones on.

Ford (F) lost almost $9B mostly on asset write-downs, down 40¢ (a lot for a $5 stock). Southwest airlines (LUV - love that symbol) reported higher sales & higher earnings from the sales increase & hedging oil. They remain under pressure from higher costs & cut back growth plans to 4% or less this year, stock slipped 28¢.


Master Limited Partnerships

MLPs are one of my favorite investments, let me explain them for newbies. They trade like stocks but are actually limited partnerships in pipeline businesses. These pipelines move oil & gas around the US, expanding this network is a national priority. Many of the units yield 8+% which is 80-90% tax-free. However there is a fair amount of tax hassle associated with distributions, the non-taxable portion is generally reduces cost basis plus you learn more about depletion. Annual tax statements are sent on March 15. However, tax package programs are supposed to handle these numbers well. They have an excellent track record, with or without reinvested distributions (see the Alerian MLP index based only on security prices below).





One year ago, the index maxed out at 342 followed by a sharp drop taking it under 300 from which it hasn't been able to recover. It has been trading sideways this year with a downward bias. Joe has an excellent blog on MLPs, limitedpartnerships.blogspot.com, if you want to follow them more closely. The long term outlook is excellent & high yields makes it easier to wait for higher markets. Today the index is down about 1 to 267 after a one day rally of 8 last week.

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