Monday, December 15, 2008

Lower markets, awaiting developments

Asian/Australian markets rose sharply last night on expectations of an auto bailout which should help their auto makers & exports in general. US markets don't share that optimism. In nervous markets, Dow is down 62, decliners over advancrs 2-1 & NAZ is down 31. S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX dropped on the uncertainty ahead of the expected auto bailout, not to mention the important Federal Reserve meeting announcement tomorrow on interest rate cuts.

Value
156.05
Change
-5.48
% Change
-3.4%

The Alerian MLP index is flat, the Dow Jones REIT Index dropped 4 & Lehman High Yield Bond (JNK) is up pennies (for no special reason other than the extraordinary high yields) & VIX, volatility index, is up 3 to 57 on increased market nervousness.

Oil rose ahead of the OPEC meeting,. They are calling for a sizable cut, sending oil prices higher (over 50 for a time):

CLF09.NYM..Crude Oil Jan 09...48.75 ..Up 2.47
......(5.3%)


Oil Rises to $50 as OPEC's El-Badri Says Sizable Cut Is Needed at Meeting


Output at factories, mines, etc fell 0.6% last month, less than feared but still a solid negative. This is to be be expected during a recession.

U.S. Industrial Production Falls 0.6% as Automakers Struggle for Survival


The Madoff scandal is growing in seriousness. They are trying to figure out who invested in his schemes & how much. Investors reach to the biggest banks around the world & hedge funds. The numbers involved are huge, nobody is sure where the bleeding will spread.

Madoff Said to Have Managed Hedge-Fund Money in Unregistered Side Business


With so much up in the air, markets will probably bide their time today away before announcements tomorrow.

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