Thursday, August 20, 2009

Markets higher after weak unemployment data

Stocks gained out of the gate but were not able to make significant headway in the face of fairly negative news. Dow is up 35, advancers almost 3-1 over decliners & NAZ was up 13. Banks are having a very good day, remaining near their 193 recent high.

S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX

Value
191.08
Change
4.23
% Change
2.3%


The Alerian MLP Index is up pennies while The Dow Jones REIT Index rose almost 4. Junk bond funds were off a little & the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond was essentially even at 3.46%


Alerian MLP Index --- 2 weeks




Dow Jones REIT Index --- 2 weeks




Oil hovers near its high for the year.

CLU09.NYM...Crude Oil Sep 09..72.59 ...Up 0.17
.......(0.2%)


Claims for unemployment benefits rose 15K to 576K last week, up from 561K in the prior week. Analysts forecasted new claims slipping to 550K. The number collecting long-term unemployment benefits edged up to 6.24M in the week ended August 8. However, the 4-week moving average declined slightly to 6.27M.


Homeowner delinquencies on mortgages reached a record 9.24% in Q2. The problem has expanded beyond sub-prime to include prime mortgages. This is the aftermath of higher unemployment, people lose jobs forcing them to miss payments. Housing problems will be a drag on the economy for years.

Mortgage Delinquencies Rise to Record as U.S. Home Prices Fall in Slowdown



Sears (SHLD) was down 8.56 on a dreary earnings report. They lost money vs an expected profit & same-store-sales were down a very big 13%. Sears is the biggest department store chain in the US.

Sears Falls After Posting Unexpected Loss as Demand for Appliances Drops

Sears --- 1 year




Heinz (HNZ), in a more stable business, reported a profit decline of 7% partially due to a stronger dollar. However EPS of 67¢ beat estimates by a nickel, stock up 60¢. That's the key driver for higher stocks prices in 2009, lower earnings that beat expectations bringing out buyers.

Heinz --- 1 year




Negative news is not bothering the markets very much. Cash-for-Clunkers program hit a snag, dealers aren't getting rebate checks form the gov. What a surprise! They are cutting back ads, another kick in the head the auto makers don't need.

Dow Jones Industrials --- 2 weeks

No comments: