Tuesday, April 17, 2012

Markets rise on good earnings

Dow roared out of the gate & kept charging forward.  Dow shot up 168, advancers ahead of decliners 5-1 & NAZ jumped 43.  Bank stocks had only modest gains, taking the Financial Index up 2 to the 207s.  MLPs rebounded, taking the index up 3+ to the 389s & the REIT index added 1 to the 252s.  Junk bond funds edged higher while Treasuries were weak, taking the yield on the 10 year Treasury back up to 2%.  Oil had a good day along with higher stock markets & gold was little changed.

JPMorgan Chase Capital XVI (AMJ)


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Treasury yields:

U.S. 3-month

0.076%

U.S. 2-year

0.270%

U.S. 10-year

1.996%

CLK12.NYM...Crude Oil May 12...104.78 ...Up 1.85  (1.8%)

GCJ12.CMX....Gold Apr 12.........1,652.40 ....Up 3.70  (0.2%)



Get the latest daily market update below:



IMF Raises Global Economic Growth Forecast to 3.5% From 3.3%

Photo:   Bloomberg

The IMF is more optimistic about the global economy after seeing faster US growth & a co-ordinated effort in Europe to address its debt crisis.  It forecasts the US economy should expand 2.1% this year.  Europe will likely shrink 0.3% & the world economy should grow 3.5%.  All 3 estimates are slightly better than the Jan forecast.  The IMF praised European leaders for bulking up its bailout fund & taking other steps to address the crisis.  But it said the crisis continues to loom as the biggest threat to the global economy.  The report comes as the 187-nation IMF & its sister lending institution, the World Bank, prepare to hold their spring meetings in DC this week.

IMF Raises Global Economic Growth Forecast to 3.5% From 3.3%

  • A newly constructed home available for sale is pictured in a new housing development area in Vista, California March 20, 2012. REUTERS/Mike Blake
Photo:   Yahoo

Groundbreaking on homes fell unexpectedly in Mar, but permits for future construction rose to their highest level in 3½ years according to the Commerce Dept.  Housing starts slipped 5.8% to an annual rate of 654K units (under the forecasted rate of 705K).  Feb starts were revised down to a 694K-unit pace from a previously reported 698K unit rate.  The Mar decline was the biggest percentage drop in a year, although most of the fall was in the volatile multi-unit category, which declined 16.9%.  Starts for single-family homes eased only 0.2%.  Brightening the report's message on the economy, new permits for home construction surged.  Permits rose 4.5% to a 747K-unit pace last month, the highest since Sep 2008 (Lehman collapse) & beat expectations for a 710K-unit pace.  Depressed housing has showed signs of an recovery in recent months, & homebuilding could add to economic growth this year for the first time since 2005.  However, an oversupply of unsold homes, which is depressing prices, remains a major hurdle.  Sentiment among home builders ebbed in Apr for the first time in 7 months.  Housing is on the mend but returning to the good old days remains a distant goal.

U.S. Housing Starts Unexpectedly Drop to Five-Month Low


Coca-Cola Profit Tops Analysts’ Estimates

Photo:   Bloomberg

Coca Cola, a Dow stock & Dividend Aristocrat, net income rose 8% in Q1 as it sold more drinks around the world.  EPS was 89¢, above 82¢ last year & was slightly ahead the 88¢ forecast.  Higher profit was driven by a 5% increase in global volume, with growth across all regions.  Smaller packages were introduced to attract price-conscious consumers as part of an effort to spur sales in North America, where the soft drink industry is in a 7-year decline.  Beverage sales volume for the unit climbed 2%, driven by demand for Powerade energy drinks & Dasani water.  The stock rose $1.78 to the $74s, not seen since the late 1990s.

Coca-Cola First-Quarter Profit Beats Estimates as North America Sales Jump

Coca-Cola Company (The) (KO)


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The stock markets are feeling better after earnings reports brought out buyers.  Dow is back over 13K but the S&P 500 is under 1400.  The European debt mess is back on the back burners, getting little attention even though Spain has become shaky.  The € is a proxy for the European economy & sovereign debt problems.  It's above $1.31 & has not changed much in 5 months.  Even with today's rise, Dow has returned to where it was 2 months ago.  But the bulls want to take over again.  Maybe they'll succeed this time.

Dow Industrials (INDU)


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