Tuesday, August 23, 2022

Markets meander, looking for direction

Dow dropped 113, advancers over decliners 3-2 & NAZ was off 15.  The MLP index rose 6+ to the 225s & the REIT index was off another 4+ to the 428s.  Junk bond funds crawled higher after recent selling & Treasuries saw buying, taking the yield on the 10 year Treasury back down to 3%.  Oil jumped 3+ to the 93s & gold gained 14 to 1763.

AMJ (Alerian MLP index tracking fund)

 

 

 




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Macy's (M) cut its full-year sales & profit forecasts as decades-high inflation saps consumer spending power for apparel & other discretionary products, especially among lower-income shoppers.  The department store chain saw its sales squeezed by a slump in demand for casual & athleisure apparel, & steeper discounts to get rid of excess inventories.  It expects fiscal 2022 adjusted EPS of $4.00-4.20, compared with its previous forecast of $4.53-4.95   The company forecast 2022 net sales of $24.3-24.5B, compared with its previous outlook of $24.4-24.7B.  Comparable sales at its owned stores fell 1.5% in Q2, compared with an estimate of a 2.2% fall.  The stock rose 1.18 (6%).
If you would like to learn more about
Macy's, click on this link:
club.ino.com/trend/analysis/stock/M?a_aid=CD3289&a_bid=6ae5b6f7

Macy's cuts full-year forecasts as inflation hits department store spending

The 10-year Treasury yield continued to rise above 3% as investors monitored a fresh batch of economic data & looked ahead to the Jackson Hole economic symposium later in the week.  The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note traded roughly 3 basis points higher at 3.068%, holding above the 3% level after surpassing it for the first time in a month in the previous session.  The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond added nearly 4 basis points on the day to 3.279%, while the yield on the short-term 2-year Treasury note was 2 basis points lower, trading at about 3.325%.  Yields move inversely to prices & a basis point is equal to 0.01%.  The market moves come ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's comments on Fri at the central bank's annual Jackson Hole economic symposium.  Powell is expected to deliver a speech addressing the central bank's approach to taming inflation.  The Fed has previously indicated it would continue hiking rates until inflation starts falling back to a healthy level, although it is thought the central bank could soon decrease its pace of tightening.

10-year Treasury yield holds above 3% as investors await economic data

Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) delivered solid quarterly results & raised its financial forecasts for the full year.  DKS reported adjusted Q2 EPS of $3.68, higher than the estimate for $3.59.  Same-store sales, which measure revenue at stores open for at least 12 months, declined 5.1%, better than expectations for a 6.9% drop.  Q2 net sales of $3.1B matched expectations.  DKS expects adjusted EPS to be $10-12 for the full fiscal year, ending in Jan 2023.  That is better than management's previous forecast of  $9.15-11.70.  And the midpoint of the new range is a touch higher than the consensus call for $10.92.  Same-store sales are now estimated to be negative 6% to negative 2% versus 2021, compared with management's prior estimate of a drop of as much as 8%.  Analysts expected a decline of 4.4%.  The stock went up 1.81.
If you would like to learn more about
DKS, click on this link:
club.ino.com/trend/analysis/stock/DKS?a_aid=CD3289&a_bid=6ae5b6f7

Dick's Sporting Goods stock gains as management lifts earnings forecast

Earnings reports from retailers continue to be underwhelming.  A sluggish economy is crimping purchases by consumers.  And the inverted curve (the 2 yield on Treasuries is above the 10 year yield), a sign of a coming recession, is still in effect. 

Dow Jones Industrials

 






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