Showing posts with label Hormel. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Hormel. Show all posts

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Lower markets after GDP growth was reduced

Dow dropped 82, decliners over advancers 2-1 & NAZ fell 16.  Bank stocks led the selling with the Financial Index down 1½ to 162. 

The MLP idndex fell 1+ to 364 & the REIT index was off 1+ to 213.  Junk bond funds & Treasuries were also lower. Oil rose for the first time in 4 days as new sanctions against Iran & protests in Egypt raised concern that supplies will be disrupted.  Gold was little changed despite the debt chaos in Europe.

AMZ  Alerian MLP Index



DJR  Dow Jones Equity REIT Index



Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month

0.015%

U.S. 2-year

0.266%

U.S. 10-year

1.961%
CLF12.NYM....Crude Oil Jan 12...98.20 ...Up 1.28  (1.3%)

GCX11.CMX...Gold Nov 11....1,675.40 ...Down 2.90  (0.2%)

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Hewlett-Packard Co Chief Executive Officer Meg Whitman

Photo:   Bloomberg

Hewlett-Packard, a Dow stock, first earnings report with Meg Whitman as CEO highlights the troubles she faces in setting a new course for the company.  The numbers beat subdued expectations, but the forecast for fiscal 2012 left something to be desired.  Net income fell 91%, mostly because of write-downs & charges for the decision to kill off HP's fledgling tablet & smartphone lines.  EPS was 12¢, down from $1.10 last year.  Excluding one-time items, EPS was $1.17, more than the $1.13 expected.  Revenue fell 3% to $32.1B, beating the $32B expected.   The profit decline in the latest qtr was caused in large part by $3.3B in charges for the decision to kill its tablet & smartphone businesses, as well as other write-downs & acquisition costs. But revenue in 3 of the biggest divisions, personal computers, printers & ink, & servers & networking — fell as well.  The stock fell about $1.

Hewlett-Packard’s Whitman Aims to Rebuild

HPQ   Hewlett-Packard Co



Germany's Chancellor Angela Merkel


Photo:   Bloomberg

German Chancellor Merkel slapped down a new European Union push for bonds issued jointly by the 17 euro nations, saying they wouldn't resolve the debt crisis & now is the wrong time to discuss them.  She dug in on her resistance to calls for an instant solution to the crisis hours after the EU's top economic official tried to sell a skeptical Germany a drive for so-called "eurobonds," which the EU's executive Commission is now calling "stability bonds."  Merkel has staunchly opposed anything resembling eurobonds, which the Commission's head argues would be an effective way to avoid disaster as many countries' borrowing costs spiral higher in the debt crisis.  The chancellor noted in a speech that eurobonds "have just come very much back into fashion."  But she was unbending in her opposition, saying that what's important is to address shortcomings in the construction of the eurozone.  "If at all, this discussion belongs at the end — so I don't find it particularly fitting that we are now once again conducting it in the middle of the crisis, as if it were the answer to this crisis," Merkel said. "In the long term, it isn't."  Germany, Europe's biggest economy, fears that pooling debt would drive up its own borrowing costs, expose its taxpayers to the bad debt of weaker countries, & remove incentives for struggling nations to get their finances in order.  The European debt mess is droning on, bad for the markets.



  • <p>               This Nov. 18, 2011 photo, shows Hormel food products, in Barre, Vt. Hormel Foods Corp.'s fiscal fourth-quarter net income fell 3 percent Tuesday, Nov. 22, 2011, as sales at its grocery products segment declined. (AP Photo/Toby Talbot)
Photo:   Yahoo

Hormel, a Dividend Aristocrat,  EPS was 43¢ for its Q4, down from 45¢ a year earlier but ahead of 42¢ expected (with one less week in the current qtr).  Revenue edged up 2% to $2.1B, slightly below the $2.13B estimate.  The biggest drag came from the refrigerated foods division, where operating profit fell 19% because of declining pork operating margins & increased commodity costs.  But other segments reported sales increases, the biggest at Hormel Foods International, with a 12% sales increase.  Full-year EPS was $1.74, above $1.46 in the prior year.  Revenue increased 9% to $7.9B from $7.2B. The company anticipates 2012 EPS of $1.79-$1.89 (analysts expect $1.77).  CEO Jeffrey Ettinger said that HRL expects its grocery products, specialty foods & the division with the intl business to drive fiscal 2012 profit growth.  He cautioned that comparisons will likely be more difficult in the first half of the year, getting more favorable later in the year.  The annual div was increased 18% to 60¢ from 51¢.  The stock gained 37¢.

Hormel Foods 4Q net income falls, revenue risesAP

HRL  Hormel Foods Corp.




The GDP growth rate for Q3 was reduced to 2%, lower than an initial 2.5% estimate made last month.  In addition, after-tax incomes fell by the largest amount in 2 years, reflecting high unemployment & lower pay raises.  This is more gloomy news, reinforcing that the economic recovery is sluggish at best.  Greece, Italy & Spain have new govs trying to deal with their debt messes.  Meanwhile, implications for looming federal budget cuts are adding to uncertainties for investors.  Dow is below 11½K & looks like it wants to test the recent low at 10½K with more selling.  It's increasingly difficult to make a bullish case for the market given the uninspiring macro economic factors.

Dow Jones Industrial Average








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Thursday, August 25, 2011

Lower markets ahead of Bernanke speech tommorrow

Dow fell 170 (finishing near the lows), decliners over advancers 3-1 & NAZ was down 48.  Bank stocks sold off after the excitement about Buffett buying into a major bank wore off.  On the plus side, it was encouraging to see his substantial investment in the largest US bank.  However fundamental problems relating to sovereign debt issues, a slowing economy & more bank layoffs after Labor Day brought out sellers

S&P 500 Financials Sector Index


Value170.11One-Year Chart for S&P 500 Financials Sector Index GICS Level 1 (S5FINL:IND)
Change   -0.78    (-0.5%)

MLPs & REIT tagged along with the market decline.  The REIT index fell a fairly large 4½ to the 215s.  Junk bond funds were slightly weaker but buyers were attracted to Treasuries.  Oil was flattish with mixed news on the oil front.  Gold rose after 2 days of sharp declines, as tumbling European & US equity markets sparked by talk that Germany might enact a short-sale ban prompted investors to buy gold as a safe haven.

Alerian MLP Index


Value
339.03
One-Year Chart for Alerian MLP Index (AMZ:IND)
Change   -1.59    (-0.5%)


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Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month

-0.005%

U.S. 2-year

0.207%

U.S. 10-year

2.227%

CLV11.NYM...Crude Oil Oct 11...85.03 ...Down 0.13  (0.2%)

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]


Homes nearing foreclosure accounted for 12% of sales in Q2 as banks agreed to more transactions at prices below the outstanding mortgage balance.  The proportion of sales of homes in default or scheduled for auction rose from 10% a year earlier & was little changed from Q1.  Most of those were short sales (transactions for less than the mortgage debt).  Total pre-foreclosure deals rose 19% from Q1, while slipping 12% from a year earlier, when a federal tax credit pumped up demand.  Pre-foreclosure homes took an average of 245 days to sell after receiving the initial foreclosure notice, down from 256 days in Q1 & the average sale price was $192K, a discount of 21% relative to non-distressed homes.  Discounts averaged 17% in Q1 & 14% a year earlier.  Sales of distressed properties, which also include homes seized by banks, totaled 265K, down 11% from Q2 2010 & up 6% from Q1. The average price of all distressed homes sold in Q2 was $164K, essentially even with Q1 & almost 5% below a year earlier. Such properties sold at an average 32% discount, compared with a 27% discount in Q1.  It looks like small improvement, but another reminder of the sorry state of the housing industry.

Home Short Sales Jump in U.S. as Banks ‘More Realistic’ on Property Market




Photo:   Yahoo

Hormel, a Dividend Aristocrat, fiscal Q3 net income climbed 15% as it charged more & overseas revenue rose, allowing it to beat expectations.  The outlook for the full year was raised, but there were concerns because unit volume was roughly the same as last year. EPS was 36¢, up from 32¢ last year & revenue rose 10% to $1.9B, beating expectations of 34¢ on revenue of $1.87B.  HRL, like most food makers, raised prices to cope with higher costs for ingredients & packaging.  That produced higher revenue, but sales volume was flat as some shoppers resisted the price hikes.  Revenue from grocery products segment, 13% of total revenue, rose 4% thanks to strong sales of SPAM & Mexican products from its MegaMex Foods joint venture & higher sales of Hormel Compleats microwave meals.  Jennie-O Turkey revenue rose 11% & the unit that includes Hormel Foods Intl reported 35% higher revenue.  Refrigerated foods, more than half of revenue, performed more poorly as revenue rose 10%, but operating profit fell from lower pork margins.  HRL now expects fiscal 2011 EPS of $1.70-$1.75, up from $1.67-$1.73 & analysts predict EPS of $1.71.  The shares fell $2.08, or 7%, to $26.36. 

Hormel Foods 3Q profit up, lifts full-year outlook AP

Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL)


stock chart


Bank of America stock fell back after the stock market adjusted to the news about Warren Buffett making a large investment in BAC.  The stock gained 66¢ to $7.65 (9%), but closed $1.15 below the AM high:

Bank of America Corp. (BAC)



Steve Jobs & Warrren Buffett brought excitement to today's markets.  BAC had a good gain & Apple (AAPL) pared its losses to only 2½ (6 above the AM lows).  There's not much else to say as the markets are panting, waiting to hear Ben's words tomorrow.  Today's sell-off indicates they are not expecting any significant new announcement (like QE2 last year).  Dow bounced off the 10.7K lows, that is holding.  But longer term, the chart is frustrating.

Dow Industrials (INDU)


stock chart


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Wednesday, May 25, 2011

Markets edge higher after a decline in durable goods orders

After starting lower, markets went into the black.  Dow is up 26, advancers ahead of decliners 3-2 & NAZ gained 9.  The Financial Index also pulled into the black.

S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX


Value 208.84 One-Year Chart for S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX (S5FINL:IND)
Change   0.60    (0.3%)

The MLP Index was up 1+ to the 363s & the REIT fell a fraction to below 241.  Junk bond funds rose to near or at their best levels in a few years & Treasuries were flattish although the yield on the 10 year Treasury bond slipped under 3.1%.  Oil is stil pushing on $100 resistance & gold was strong on the financial turmoil coming from Europe.

JPMorgan Chase Capital XVI (AMJ)


stock chart

Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month


0.046%

U.S. 2-year


0.531%

U.S. 10-year


3.098%

CLN11.NYM...Crude Oil Jul 11...99.33 ...Down 0.26  (0.3%)

GCK11.CMX...Gold May 11...1,527.20 ...Up 4.00  (0.3%)


Durable Goods Orders in U.S. Probably Fell on Aircraft

Photo:   Bloomberg

New orders for long-lasting US manufactured goods recorded their largest decline in 6 months in Apr as aircraft & motor vehicle bookings tumbled. The economy remained stuck in a soft patch.  The Commerce Dept reported durable goods orders dropped 3.6%, worse than expectations of a 2.2% decline. Part of the decline was related to rising Mar orders were revised up to a 4.4% rise from a 4.1% increase.  While durable goods orders are extremely volatile, details of the report pointed to some cooling in factory activity.  It was also the latest in a series of reports to suggest that the loss of growth momentum encountered as the year started persisted into the early part of Q2. The weak durable goods report could prompt economists to lower forecasts for Q2 growth.  So far, data ranging from retail sales to industrial production have been generally lackluster.

U.S. Durable Goods Orders Fall 3.6%, Most in Six Months




Photo:   Yahoo

Hormel, a Dividend Aristocrat, Q2 profit climbed 41% despite facing rising food costs, helped by strong performance from refrigerated foods like deli meats & Jennie-O Turkey.  Like many food makers, HRL has been dealing with higher ingredient costs & has raised prices to help cope. It expects to face higher costs for the rest of the year & will continue to raise prices & cut costs to offset this.  "We believe our strong portfolio of brands and our balanced model will allow us to overcome those obstacles," said CEO Jeffrey Ettinger.  EPS rose to 40¢ (ended May 1), up from 29¢ last year but just under expectations of 41¢.  Revenue increased 15% to $1.96B, better than the $1.82B predicted (but this includes price increases). The company now expects EPS for 2011 of $1.67-$1.73, up from prior guidance of $1.62-$1.68 & compares with analyst expectations of $1.71.  The stock was punished, down 2.35, after a nice run in the last year.

Hormel 2Q profit rises, boosts full-year outlook AP

Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL)


stock chart



Polo Ralph Lauren Falls, Profit Misses Analysts’ Estimates

Photo:   Bloomberg

Polo Ralph Lauren fiscal Q4 net income fell 36%, partly dragged down by higher operating expenses & a calendar shift.  The clothing company had EPS of 74¢ for the qtr ended April 2, down from $1.13 last year & below forecasted 79¢.  An extra week in last year's qtr contributed about 13¢ to EPS & approximately $70M to revenue. Plus a shift of the Easter holiday & the week between Christmas & New Year had an effect on comparisons.  Revenue increased 7% to $1.38B from $1.29B, mostly helped by better retail sales.  Revenue at stores open at least a year climbed 7% in Q4.  For the fiscal 2011,EPS climbed 18% to $5.75 from $4.73.  RL anticipates Q1 revenue climbing in the mid-20 percent range. Revenue at stores open at least a year is expected to rise at a low double-digit rate.  Fiscal 2012 revenue si predicted to rise by a percentage in the mid-teens.  The stock dropped $9+.

Polo Ralph Lauren Falls After Retailer’s Profit Misses Analysts’ Estimates

Polo Ralph Lauren Corporation (RL)


stock chart

Markets continue to mark time.  Earnings releases are coming in soft which hurt individual stocks, but buyers are snapping up other stocks.  Volume is low.  NYSE floor volume will probably come in under 1 B shares.  The rebound for MLPs may be part of the ordinary bobbing around.  This could be another sleepy day as the markets are going into a long weekend.

Dow Industrials (INDU)


stock chart




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