Wednesday, July 25, 2012

Markets edge higher on rising earnings

Dow rose 58 (after losing some steam in the last hour), advancers barely ahead of decliners & NAZ lost 8 from selling in Apple (AAPL).  The Financial Index was up a fraction in the 191s.  The MLP index fell 4 to the 389s & the REIT index was off pocket change in the 261s.  Junk bond funds were mixed (at or near yearly highs) & Treasuries retreated after a long rally bringing record low yields.  Oil was flat & gold finally had a rally, taking it above $1600. 

AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)


stock chart




Click below for the latest market update below:


Treasury yields:

U.S. 3-month

0.096%

U.S. 2-year

0.215%

U.S. 10-year

1.408%

CLU12.NYM...Crude Oil Sep 12...88.43 .....Down 0.07  (0.08%)

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]




IMF Says China Downside Risks Significant as Growth Pace Slows

Photo:   Bloomberg

China may refrain from stepping up its monetary stimulus or increasing spending because measures now in place are sufficient to support growth, the IMF said.  Authorities will probably maintain the “status quo” after already shifting their monetary stance to a “more neutral or accommodating one” & may forgo expanding this year’s budget, the IMF’s senior resident representative in China.  His comments reflect confidence at the IMF, which last week cut its China growth forecasts 3 months after releasing updated projections, that the pace of expansion will accelerate in H2.  The gov enacted 2 interest-rate cuts in a month & accelerated approval of investment plans to stem 6 qtrs of deceleration in the world’s #2 economy.  The IMF official didn’t rule out another rate cut, saying a drop in the inflation rate could prompt such a move.  Meantime, the gov sees “adequate space in the existing budget to continue to adjust policies to support growth,” assuming Euope's debt crisis doesn’t worsen, he said.  Revenue may come in above projections, allowing higher spending, he said.

 China May Refrain From More Easing, IMF Official Says

  • <p>               Spain's Economy Minister Luis De Guindos gestures during a parliamentary hearing  at the Spanish Parliament, in Madrid, Spain, Monday, July 23, 2012. Economy Minister Luis de Guindos told reporters Monday before going into Parliament to discuss the rescue package for the banks that Spain would not need a bailout and said the intense market pressure was due to uncertainty over the future of the single euro currency. Financial pressure on recession-hit Spain ratcheted up further Monday to a level that has seen other European countries needing financial bailouts. (AP Photo/Andres Kudacki)
Spain's Economy Minister Luis De Guindos
Photo:   Yahoo

France & Spain called for swift implementation of the rescue plan for Spanish banks to ease concern that the country may need a full-blown sovereign bailout.  In Jun, the eurozone agreed to lend Spain up to €100B ($121B) to save the banks laden with soured investments following a property sector collapse in 2008.  But the deal only intensified concerns about Spain's debt levels, since the gov initially will have to repay those loans if the banks cannot.  In response, investors have since been demanding exorbitantly high interest rates to lend to the country.  To solve that problem, eurozone ministers agreed to give the loans directly to the Spanish banks, but only after a Europe-wide banking regulator is set up which could take months (if not years).  France & Spain said this step should be sped up & completed by the end of the year.  The swift implementation of the financial assistance program is essential to restore confidence & recreate conditions for growth," French Finance Minister Pierre Moscovici & Spanish Economy Minister Luis de Guindos said.  The ministers said they did not think Spain's borrowing costs, which this week touched a euro-era record, reflect the country's financial position.  "We believe that the current level of interest rates prevailing in the sovereign debt markets does not reflect the fundamentals of the Spanish economy, its growth potential and the sustainability of its public debt," they said.  Both are confident the rates would fall back once investors were confident that the country's banks were getting the support they need.

France, Spain: Bank rescue needs to come fast AP

  • Men talk at the Ford exhibition as they attend the Washington Auto Show in this file photo taken January 27, 2012. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque/Files
Photo:   Yahoo

Ford forecast a smaller operating profit for 2012 compared with last year, due in part to wider losses in Europe, where the automaker expects to lose more than $1B as the deepening economic crisis hits auto sales.  Ford, which also posted a better-than-expected Q2 profit said profits in North America & at Ford's finance arm, Ford Motor Credit, would offset losses in Europe, Asia & reduce profits in South America this year.  The #2 US. automaker's new outlook for Europe falls in line with other estimates & is nearly double its previous forecast for an annual loss of $500M-$600M.  CEO Alan Mulally said that Ford is reviewing all aspects of its business in Europe.  Ford earlier said its pretax profit would be on par with the levels seen in 2011, when it earned $8.8B.  In addition to steeper losses in Europe, Ford also expects profits in South America to be "substantially lower" this year.  "As we look over the next five years and lay out all of our plans for our business, we just think the situation in Europe is going to be challenging," CFO Bob Shanks said.  Ford relied entirely on North America & its financing arm to turn a profit in Q2.  Ford commanded higher vehicle prices in its home market, boosting operating profit in North America to just over $2B.  Mulally said Ford now expects US auto sales to be at the lower end of its forecast of 14.5M-15M, due to weaker-than-expected sales in recent months.  Excluding one-time items, Ford earned 30¢, beating forecasted EPS of 28¢.  The automaker reported Q2 EPS of 26¢, down from 59¢ a year ago.  Net income fell partly due to an accounting change this year that raised its effective tax rate to 37.3% from 8.4% in 2011.  Quarterly revenue fell 6.2% to $33.3B.  Ford lost $404M in Europe in Q2, reported a $5M profit in South America & lost $66M in Asia.  Its troubles give a flavor of business around the globe.  The stock lost 9¢.

Ford Lowers 2012 Outlook as European Losses Cut Profit

Ford (F)


stock chart


Markets were mixed at best today.  The advances in the Dow was related primarily to Boeing (BA), AT&T (T) & Cisco (CSCO).  The rest of the Dow had only modest gains or losses.  S&P 500 slipped 1, hurt by the $26 plunge for AAPL stock.  The € climbed back over $1.21, hardly an accomplishment with all the gloomy news coming from that region.  Dow kept above the 12.5K level, which is turning out to be an important floor.  But with fluid economic conditions all over the world, anything is possible.

Dow Jones Industrials


stock chart




Get your favorite symbols' Trend Analysis TODAY!  





No comments: