Monday, January 12, 2009

Prospects on earnings sinks stocks

Dow dropped 75, decliners ahead of advancers 5-2 & NAZ dropped 24. The anticipation of negative earnings announcements is frightening away buyers.

Banks are very weak. The S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX dropped to 150, heading for their 125 low just 6 weeks ago:

Value
150.31
Change
-5.48
% Change
-3.5%


The Alerian MLP Index pulled back 4 to 191½, retreating from the 200 ceiling, The Dow Jones REIT Index pulled back 4 while Barclays Capital High Yield Bond ETF was even (junk bonds still have a few fans). However, the VIX is up 1½ to over 44 as fears are resurfacing on expectations of bad earnings reports.

Oil slipped back into the 30's , it's a tough time for all markets.

CLG09.NYM...Crude Oil Feb 09....37.91 ...Down 2.92
.......(7.1%)



Earnings reports will start with Aloca (AA), a Dow stock, tonight. They are expected to be very dreadful after last week's announcement which previewed a terrible report. Expectations are for a div cut on Fri to only 1¢. Already the stock is down 83¢, taking it under 10. Bank of America (BAC), another Dow stock & until recently an S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrat, is feared to be reporting awful earnings which may require slashing the div again (after a 50% cut last qtr), down 98¢. It's very important for companies to continue paying divs since many pension & other funds will only invest in stocks paying divs.

The president will ask congress to release the 2nd half of the the $700B TARP money. Congress will have to mull that over while they are gearing up for a stimulus package approximating $1T.

Bush Asks Congress to Release $350 Billion at Obama's Request-

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