Monday, February 22, 2021

Markets slide lower, led by heavy selling in tech stocks

Dow was up 27, decliners slightly over advancers & NAZ tumbled 341.  The MLP index added 2+ to the 155s & the REIT index rose 2+ to the 389s.  Junk bond funds were sold & Treasuries slid a little lower in price.  Oil jumped 2+ to the 61s & gold soared 30 to 1807 following recent selling.

AMJ (Alerian MLP index tracking fund)


                




CL=FCrude Oil61.10
  +1.86+3.1%






GC=FGold 1 ,803.30
+25.90+1.5%















 

 




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The Biden administration announced plans to deliver “equitable relief” to small businesses impacted by the coronavirus outbreak, with a focus on those that may have had difficulty obtaining forgivable loans and minority-owned businesses.  The White House released a statement saying that it built upon last year's Paycheck Protection Program.  The PPP program, which started a month ago increased funding to businesses with fewer than 10 employees by 60% as well as rural businesses that have experienced a 30% increase.  The statement said that funding that has been distributed thru Community Development Financial Institutions & Minority Depository Institutions has also increased by 40%.  The administration also announced a 14-day period that begins Wed that allows businesses with fewer than 20 employees a chance to sign up for the loans.  The administration said that it is not uncommon that these businesses need more time to file the appropriate paperwork.  The statement said that self-employed individuals will also have a chance to qualify for more financial support.  Biden's team is also carving out $1B to direct toward sole proprietors, such as home contractors & beauticians, the majority of which are owned by women & people of color.

Biden administration announces reforms to PPP to assist small businesses

Divs paid out by US corps last year hit a record high, despite the havoc wrought by the COVID-19 pandemic that took hold of the country in earnest around the spring of 2020.  The US saw a 2.6% year-over-year dividend increase to $503B last year, as just over 7%, or one out of 14, of companies cut divs between Apr & Dec 2020, according to a report from Janus Henderson Investors.  The outlook for div payouts in 2021, however, remains uncertain even as successful vaccine rollouts are expected to help support a rebound in the economy domestically &d outside of the country in H2, the report finds.  The economy & stock market got rocked last Mar, with equities tumbling from all-time highs with unprecedented celerity, as the realization of the severity and scope of the deadly pandemic dawned on US investors.  From record highs in mid-Feb 2020, market indices sank to bear-market lows on Mar 23.  However, US companies were able to mostly retain divs & even boost the overall total payouts as chief execs & treasurers dialed back on stock buybacks.  Globally, div cuts & cancellations between Apr & Dec 2020 totaled approximately $220B, with banks accounting for a good chunk of those reductions, followed by oil-&-gas producers — but 2/3 of companies in the world managed to increase or hold divs steady.  Banks in particular were compelled to curtail investor payouts because regulators & execs wanted to preserve capital to guard against a possible wave of bankruptcies & loan defaults.  Globally, divs fell to $1.26T last year, down 12.2%, which was still less severe than the forecast got a fall to $1.21T.  Div cuts were the harshest in Europe & the UK, accounting for more than ½ the global total reduction for last year.

U.S. dividends hit record high $503.1 billion in 2020, despite pandemic pain

Treasury yields reversed course today & fell from recent highs as investors continue to weigh data on the pace of the economic recovery.  The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note dipped to 1.328%, while the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond fell to 2.123%.  The 10-year traded above 1.37% earlier in the day.  Yields move inversely to prices.

Treasury yields slip from recent highs

Oil futures settled at their highest in more than a year, as traders looked for a slow recovery in output following winter storms that knocked US producers & refineries offline.  West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for Mar which expired at the day's settlement, rose $2.25 (3.8%) to settle at $61.49 a barrel.  The most-active and new front-month contract Apr WTI crude contract $2.44 (4.1%) at $61.70 a barrel.  Apr Brent crude, the global benchmark, rose $2.33 (3.7%) at $65.24 a barrel, while the most active May contract gained $2.22 (3.6%) at $64.36 a barrel.  WTI & Brent crude, based on the front-month contracts, both settled at their highest since Jan 2020

Oil prices rally as U.S. output expected to see slow thaw from winter storms

Dow began the day with selling but rallied ito the black during midday trading.  However selling in the last hour trimmed the advance.  NAZ was in the red all day, with a lot of selling in the last hour.  The news for divs was encouraging to investors.

Dow Jones Industrials

 






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