Dow rose 368 closing at the highs, advancers over decliners about 5-1 & NAZ went up 190. The MLP index was even at 229 & the REIT index jumped 8 to the 406s. Junk bond funds fluctuated & Treasuries continued in demand, lowering yields. Oil was up 1+ to 79 & gold added 5 to 1944 (more on both below).
AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)
McDonald's (MCD), a Dow stock & Dividend Aristocrat, doesn't expect inflation to cool this year despite beating predictions for Q4 earnings, CEO Chris Kempczinski said, the fast food chain's
accelerating the Arches strategy helped drive over 10% comparable sales
growth & 5% in comparable guest count growth globally in 2022. "While we expect short-term inflationary pressures
to continue in 2023, we remain highly confident in Accelerating the
Arches, which now includes a greater emphasis on new restaurant
openings," Kempczinski added. The Accelerating the Arches project
will work alongside the recently announced Accelerating the Organization
initiative, enabling the restaurant to be faster, more innovative &
efficient. MCD recorded Q4 EPS
of $2.59 on $5.93B in sales, after a
prediction of EPS for $2.46 on revenue of $5.72B. Meanwhile, global comparable sales ballooned 12.6% & reflected
improvements in all areas including a 10.3% pop in US sales & a 5%
jump in systemwide sales. In 2022, global comparable sales went up 10.9%, including a 5.9%
increase in the US & a 13.3% jump in intl operated market
segments. Systemwide sales also moved 5% higher on the year, while consolidated revenues were flat. The stock fell 4.90.
If you would like to learn more about MCD, click on this link:
club.ino.com/trend/analysis/stock/MCD_aid=CD3289&a_bid=6ae5b6f7
Why McDonald's doesn't expect inflation to cool anytime soon
The ongoing Covid-19 pandemic propelled pharmaceutical company
Pfizer's (PFE) earnings to a record $100B last year, almost $57B
of which was driven by its vaccine & antiviral pill Paxlovid. The vaccine accounted for $37.8B,
up just 3% from 2021, of total sales as demand for the shots
slowed. But sales of its blockbuster antiviral treatment made up for
that softening, surging to $18.9B in 2022, the first full year
that Paxlovid was on the market. Combined sales from its Covid vaccine & antiviral treatment
generated more revenue last year than it had in total sales in 2019,
before the pandemic became a global crisis that killed more than 6.8M people & upended world markets. Those results won't be
repeated this year. PFE expects revenue to decline in 2023 by as much
as 33% to $67-71B as the world emerges from
the pandemic & demand for its blockbuster Covid drugs slows. Covid
vaccines sales are projected to plummet by 64% this year to $13.5B from $37.8B in 2022. Paxlovid sales are expected to drop
58% to $8B in 2023 from $18.9B in 2022. PFE is
also forecasting that its full-year EPS will drop by as
much as 50%, to $3.25 - $3.45, from a record EPS of $6.58 in
2022. CEO Albert Bourla last qtr laid out a 2030 growth plan for the company
that looks beyond the pandemic. He sees future revenue
growth from RSV vaccines & medications for migraines & ulcerative
colitis, among other drug products. The stock rose 30¢.
If you would like to learn more about PFE, click on this link:
club.ino.com/trend/analysis/stock/PFE_aid=CD3289&a_bid=6ae5b6f7
The Covid pandemic drives Pfizer’s 2022 revenue to a record $100 billion
UPS (UPS) reported Q4 revenue that missed expectations & declined from last year, as the company continues to
see volume fall amid cooling demand. The shipping & delivery
company offered full-year guidance that fell below expectations. It is projecting revenue $97B-$99.4B, versus estimates of $100B. Still, it
expects the 2nd half of the year to be better than the first. For Q4, the company reported EPS $3.62 compared with $3.59 a year earlier. “We expect 2023 to be a bumpy year,” CFO Brian Newman said. Yet
Newman also said that UPS expects about 56% of its profit to come in
during H2, counting on US & intl
challenges easing during the later months of 2023. Compa’s shares
fell over 10% in 2022 as consumer spending adjusted to inflation &
came down from Covid pandemic highs. Since taking the helm in 2020, CEO Carol Tomé has been championing a
“Better not Bigger” business strategy, which it adjusted to “Better and
Bolder” in last qtr's earnings announcement, focusing on high-margin
shipments rather than just boosting volume. It also aims to use
automation to optimize capacity during periods of shifting volumes. That
strategy was put to the test last qtr as volume declines weighed on
revenue. UPS also forecast adjusted operating margin of 12.8% - 13.6% for the year. The company expects capital expenditures to come
in at about $5.3B, after tightening spending to $5B last year. The stock gained 8.03 (5%).
If you would like to learn more about UPS, click on this link:
club.ino.com/trend/analysis/stock/UPS_aid=CD3289&a_bid=6ae5b6f7
UPS revenue falls short of expectations despite growth in U.S. business
Gold futures ended with a gain & tallied a 3rd consecutive monthly gain. Gold rose for the session after another round of economic data showed the labor market is cooling & the outlook for the economy remains weak. Bad economic news is once again good news for gold as it will continue to cement bets that a Federal Reserve pivot, a change in its monetary policy, could happen by the end of the year. Gold for Apr rose $6 to settle at $1945 an ounce. Based on prices for the most-active contract, gold tacked on more than 6% for the month.
Gold settles higher, posts a third-monthly gain ahead of an expected Fed interest rate hike
Oil futures climbed,
but US benchmark prices posted a loss for the month ahead Federal
Reserve monetary policy decision & a committee meeting of the
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries & their allies (OPEC+),
which are both scheduled for tomorrow. The
main driver for oil lately has been the potential for a resurgence of
oil demand out of China, which may continue into Feb considering
how Chinese economic momentum picked up in the overnight PMI reports. US
benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude for Mar rose
97¢ (1.3%) to settle at $78.87 a barrel. Based on the front-month contract, prices lost 1.7%
for the month.
U.S. oil prices gain for the session, fall for the month
Jan was a choppy month after a brutal year in 2022. But most investors are happy with the gain. Dow finished up 940 in Jan.
Dow Jones Industrials
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