Monday, November 10, 2008

Early market gains fade fast

Stocks out of the gate started strong following the leads of overseas markets. Asian & European markets rose on news that China adopted a $586B stimulus spending package. Commodity & telecom stocks were strong. Leading gainers in the Dow were Alcoa (AA), AT&T (T), Verizon (VZ) plus McDonalds (MCD) on a 8.2% gain in same-store sales for Oct. Dow is now down 23 (down from a 200 gain early on), advancers equal decliners & NAZ is down 16.

Buyers pulled back on more glum economic news such as Circuit City filing chapter 11, AIG needing even more money for their bailout, Fannie Mae recording a bigger than whopper size loss & GM dropped 1 to 3.39 on predictions it may not have enough cash to last thru next month (their days as a Dow stock are numbered).

Circuit City Files for Bankruptcy Amid Competition From Best Buy, Wal-Mart
Fannie Mae Posts Record $29 Billion Quarterly Loss After Asset Writedowns
AIG Bailout Swells to $150 Billion as Insurer Reports Fourth Straight Loss
General Motors Plummets After Deutsche Analyst Cuts Price Target to Zero


S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX dropped 3, the Alerian MLP Index was even but the Dow Jones REIT Index dropped 7 to 151 (maybe heading for the recent low of 135). The VIX, Volatility index, was up 1½ to 57.60 continuing in astronomical territory.


China's plan for spending is supposed to help the world's economy as they are a big player. They will be spending on infrastructure: roads, bridges, housing & repairing damage form the earthquakes. However, they may be already spending on some of the projects in the plan. China envisions this will take a couple of years to complete. Financing the plan was not addressed. The most directly impacted will be metals. Metals were strong but oil was little changed:
CLZ08.NYMCrude Oil Dec 08....61.46 ....Up 0.42
..... (0.7%)



Retailers will be reporting Q3 earnings later in the week, expectations are bleak.

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