Monday, November 17, 2008

Stocks little changed on dreary economic news

Economies around the world are reporting recessionary conditions. Last week, the European block registered a recession & last night Japan & Hong Kong reported they were in recessions. Singapore & New Zealand began reporting recessions a month ago (or so). Japan, 2nd largest economy in the world, is highly dependent on exports. There was a report last night (Monday their time) that a string of the bluest chips of Japanese companies starting with Toyata (TM) would announce this week negative guidance. So far no announcements, keep an eye out for them.

Meanwhile among all the dreary economic news Dow is flattish (rallying from a 150 loss an hour ago), decliners are ahead of advancers 2-1 while NAZ is also flat. S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX set another multi year year, banks will probably be sold thru 2008:

Value
165.25
Change
-4.30
% Change
-2.5%


The Alerian MLP Index dropped 2 to 192 (it's been hanging in there better than other averages in recent days) & the Dow Jones REIT Index dropped 1 to 129. Meanwhile VIX, the fear index, rose another 1½ to 68 as it soars for the heavens. Hard to remember that a couple of months ago, this level was difficult to imagine.

Oil was flat after a report of favorable industrial output in Oct, which rose 1.3% largely related to normal operations at oil facilities following hurricane damage in prior weeks. Global economic issues are the prime driver for oil prices, the main reason it's down $90 in only 4 months:

CLZ08.NYM...Crude Oil Dec 08....57.12 ....Up 0.08 (0.1%)


There was a G-20 meeting in DC over the weekend, but, as usual, little was decided other than the worldwide economies need a lot of help.

Citigroup (C), one of the Dow stocks under 10, announced they will lay off 53K or 14% of their staff following layoffs earlier this year.

Citigroup's Pandit Will Reduce Headcount by 50,000, Lower Expenses by20%

Target (TGT) reported lower EPS in Q3 but beat expectation by a penny, the stock is down only 18¢ as weak sales & lower results in its credit card division hurt. For guidance, they talked about many challenges going forward. Lowe's (LOW) reported EPS declined 24% but that beat expectations sending the stock up 1.44. They expect Q4 EPS of only 8-16¢ bringing full year totals to 1.46-1.54.


Amidst all the problems & chaos out there, the fate of the 3 auto makers is center stage. Instead of the markets, politicians in DC will decide their future.

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