Tuesday, November 18, 2008

Relief rally helps stocks

Markets are still trying to figure out what is going on in this confusing financial mess. Dow rose 93 but decliners are barely ahead of advancers & NAZ was about even despite the 1.35 pop for Yahoo (YHOO) on growing speculation Microsoft (MSFT), a Dow stock, might buy them. The averages I follow are only modestly changed, even VIX is down 1½ (small change in comparison to recent times). Oil is also flattish.

Wholesale prices plunged 2.8% in Oct, the biggest drop in 60 years. While a major decline was expected, this beat expectations & follows the sharp drops in prices for oil & just about every other commodity. However, core inflation, prices excluding energy & food, rose 0.4%, higher than expected. The drop in prices is what is called "demand destruction" in Asian trading, further declines in the next few months are expected.

U.S. Producer Prices Plunge 2.8%, Most on Record, as Global Demand Shrinks


Ben Bernanke & Henry Paulson are defending to congress that they really know what they are doing in a make it up as we go along world. I suppose they are doing the best anybody can with these seemingly unsolvable financial problems, but cures remain in the distant future.

Paulson, Bernanke Defend $700 Billion Bailout on Capitol Hill- AP


Better news on the corp front, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), a Dow stock, gave glowing guidance for the qtr just ending Oct 31 sending the stock up 3.38. Home Depot (HD), another Dow stock, gave a common story, earnings were down but beat analysts forecasts, stock up 1.32


Time for a break. Last night we saw "Second Chance Harvey" with Dustin Hoffman & Emma Thompson. My friend liked it a little more than me, she always goes for the romance films. After the movie, Dustin & Emma told us how they made the film & what it was like working with each other & the director. It should be out soon for those who want to see it.

Unless there is a major news announcement today, markets may continue to muddle along with the the downward bias. The Dow is close to 8K, looks like it is ready to be tested again.

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