Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Dow remained down after weak opening

Stocks tumbled at the start of trading, remaining at low levels for rest of the day. Dow closed down 184, decliners over advancers 7-1 (widest disparity in a long time) & NAZ was off 51.

Banks have seen a lot of weakness in the last 2 weeks. The Financial Index started this week at 176, but has fallen 24 (13%).

S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX

Value
152.50
Change
-8.36
% Change
-5.2%


Bank of America (BAC) had become a high flier, more than tripling from its low at 4. But enthusiasm has been waning, coming after it announced plans to sell stock & assets. This story is being repeated at most of the other big banks.


Bank of America --- 1 month





This has been a very tough week for high yield stocks. The Alerian MLP Index dropped 7½ today to the 208s. The floor of 210 lasted 2 weeks. The Dow Jones REIT Index fell 9, bringing its weekly loss to 17, the lowest level in almost 4 weeks. Junk bonds funds have also been pulling back this week.

The 10 year Treasury bond had an advance, taking the yield back down to 3.10%. The rally was based on the gloomy retail sales news, making Treasuries look like a better investment (i.e. money flowed out of stocks into bonds).

Treasuries Rise as Retail Sales Drop Renews Recession Concern



Oil is having a tough time assaulting 60, although one trader talked about 62 being a more important barrier..

CLM09.NYM..Crude Oil Jun 09..57.89 ..Down 0.96
......(1.6%)



Yesterday General Motors (GM), still a Dow stock, fell to 1.09, a 76 year low. The last time it traded at that price was April 22, 1933. GM said that 6 execs sold stock, aggravating the growing pessimism that bankruptcy is around the corner. It's not a confidence builder to find GM execs bailing out, even if the stock is only 1+. Today the stock rallied, up 6¢.

GM Falls to 76-Year Low After Executives Sell Stock


The gloomy news on retail sales was a kick in the head that the markets couldn't handle. They had been getting upbeat news on the economy bottoming out, bringing a sense of confidence about the future. This jolt brought back reality. A few days ago the S&P 500 broke into the black for 2009, going above 903.25. Today it's 883. Dow has been not able to advance after breaking thru the 8K ceiling, making it a new floor.


Dow Jones Industrials ---- 2 weeks

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