Friday, November 23, 2012

Markets rise at the start of Black Friday

Dow shot up 114, advancers over decliners 4-1 & NAZ rose 30.  The Financial Index added 1+ to 212.  The MLP index continued strong, gaining 1+ to the 393s & the REIT index rose 2 to the 258s.  Junk bond funds were higher & Treasuries.  Oil was higher & gold was also strong.

AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)

stock chart


CLF13.NYM...Crude Oil Jan 13...87.66 ...Up 0.28  (0.3%)

GCX12.CMX...Gold Nov 12...1,735.00 ...Up 7.10 (0.4%)







German Chancellor Angela Merkel

Photo:   Bloomberg

EU leaders deadlocked over the bloc’s next 7-year budget, adding to the quarrels between rich & poor countries that have stymied the response to the € debt crisis.  France defended its farm sbsiddies.  Britain clung to a rebate & Denmark demanded its own cash-back guarantee, while eastern & southern countries said reduced financing for public-works projects would condemn them to lag behind the wealthier north.  The conflicts at a Brussels summit offered a 27-nation re- enactment of the fury & acrimony that has marked the fiscal crisis in the euro region, & predictions abounded that it would take another summit next year to clinch a deal.  “The positions are still quite far apart,” Angela Merkel said as the meeting resumed today.  “And if we need a second stage, then we will take the time for it.”  At stake is a spending plan for the years 2014-2020 that would total about 1% of EU-wide GDP.  While that sum is small compared to the average 50% of GDP that each country spends inside its borders, the political resonance is far larger.  Wealthier countries such as Germany, the UK, Denmark, Sweden & the Netherlands have banded together to cut what they pay in to the budget, pounding away at the original proposal of €1.033T ($1.3T) that came out in mid-2011.  By the time the summit started yesterday, the figure on the table was €973B.  Overnight talks shaved the number to the neighborhood of €950B & triggered a battle to allocate the cuts among the host of subsidy programs.  This is the same group that is supposed to solve the euro debt mess?  I don't know!

EU Deadlocks Over Budget in Echo of Debt-Crisis Stalemate


Black Friday Draws Millions to Stores in Holiday Season Kickoff

Photo:   Bloomberg

Some shoppers began standing in line before 4:30 PM (Thurs) at Macy's (M) flagship store in Manhattan for its midnight opening.  Millions of shoppers who went to stores last night & this morning (I was one) as the unofficial start to the holiday shopping season got under way.  With consumers facing a sluggish economy & the threat of tax increases over the fiscal cliff, this weekend will serve as a barometer of what’s to come for retailers in the next 5 weeks.  To get shoppers to spend more than last year, retailers have continued to turn Black Friday, originally a 1-day event after Thanksgiving, into a week’s worth of deals & discounts. Some opened at 8PM. on Thanksgiving.  Other chains began offering Black Friday deals online as early as last weekend.   Success is measured in same store sales increase & gross margin.

Black Friday Draws Millions to Stores in Holiday Season Kickoff


The strength in the markets overstates reality.  This is a semi-holiday & trading ends at lunchtime.  Many traders are away, enjoying their profits earned this year.  But rising stock prices feel good to all investors owning stocks & Dow is within striking distance of 13K which has become its new ceiling..

Dow Jones Industrials


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