Friday, December 18, 2009

A triple witching day which decided little

Dow was hugging break even in the PM, ending up 20 with buying at the close. Advancers were ahead of decliners by 15% but NAZ rose a very big 31 on favorable earnings news. Banks had a good day with a strong close, taking the Financial Index back above the 190 line that had served as a floor for so long.

Value
191.28
Change
2.53
% Change
1.3%






It seems like nothing can stop MLPs, but today there was selling in the last ½ hour (always tricky to predict when those witches are out). The Alerian MLP Index fell 3 to the 277s. The Dow Jones REIT Index keeps muddling along in the high 170s, unable to take out its yearly high of 181. Today it managed to gain a fraction but still in the 178s. Junk bond funds were flattish with yields near 10½%. Treasuries were weak, the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond rose 6 basis points to 3.55%.


Alerian MLP Index --- YTD




Dow Jones REIT Index --- YTD





Oil advanced on problems with Iran & the potential shutdown of its oil wells. This time they seized an oil field in Iraq. For gold bugs, gold is getting support in the low 1100s.

CLF10.NYM..Crude Oil Jan 10..73.19 ..Up 0.52
......(0.7%)


GCZ09.CMX..Gold Dec 09..1,110.20 ..Up 3.40
......(0.3%)




The dollar continued strong, particularly versus the € (Euro) which has fallen to $1.43 (down 8¢ from its recent high). Iran gave us a reminder that it is lurking in the background & can stir markets any time it wants to. Dow was flattish, S&P 500 had a modest gain while NAZ had a very good day on favorable earnings news by some of the biggies. NAZ closed almost tying its 2009 high.


Dow Jones Industrials --- YTD




Nasdaq --- YTD





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