Monday, November 1, 2010

Early market gains are being trimmed

Stocks started strong on good manufacturing data from around the world, but selling has cuts those gains in half.  Dow is up 54 (unable to hold onto a new yearly high), advancers ahead of decliners better than 3-1 & NAZ was up only 3.  Bank stocks are doing well, but longer term the Financial Index remains stuck in its sideways rut.

S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX

Value 197.21 One-Year Chart for S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX (S5FINL:IND)
Change   1.38  (0.7%)



MLPs keep charging ahead as the index rose 1+ to the 354s, another record.  The REIT index gained almost 3 to the 222s, only 4 below this year's high.  Junk bond funds rose, pretty much taking them to new yearly highs.  Treasuries were little changed ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting this week.  The yield on the 10 year Treasury bond went up 1 basis point to 2.62% while the yield on the 2 year Treasury at 0.34% is close to its record low reached last month.

Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month
0.11
U.S. 2-year
0.34
U.S. 10-year
2.60



Alerian MLP Index   ---   2 weeks



Dow Jones REIT Index   ---   2 weeks



10-Year Treasury Yield Index   ---   2 weeks





Crude oil increased to a 2-week high after Chinese manufacturing expanded at the quickest pace in 6 months & on expectations the Federal Reserve (FED) will announce measures this week to stimulate the US economy.  But gold fell ahead of the FED meeting.

BRENT CRUDE 84.86 +1.71 +2.06%
Gold 1352.50 -5.10 -0.38%


Gold Super Cycle Link! Click Here




The Institute for Supply Management factory index’s rose to 56.9 in Oct from 54.4 in Sep (readings greater than 50 signal growth), beating expectations of a decline to 54.In addition, manufacturing in China expanded in Oct at the fastest pace in 6 months, while UK factory growth unexpectedly accelerated as hiring & export orders improved. The China purchasing managers’ index rose to 54.7 in Oct from 53.8.  The UK gauge rose to 54.9 in Oct from 53.5 in the prior month.  Clearly China has been doing the best in the last year.

 Manufacturing in U.S. Probably Grew at Slower Pace in October

US Factory Index - 1 year


One-Year Chart for ISM PMI (NAPMPMI:IND)

China manufacturing - 1 year

One-Year Chart for Manufacturing SA (CPMINDX:IND)


UK manufacturing- 1 year

One-Year Chart for PMI Mfg UK (PMITMUK:IND)



Simon Property Group (SPG) reported that Q3 results were hurt from debt-related charges, but sales by tenants jumped more than 10% & raised its outlook & dividend.  SPG was one of several mall owners that said sales at its properties rose by double-digit percentage rates in the qtr.  Funds from operations (FFO), a key measure for real estate investment trusts, fell to 90¢ in Q3, down from $1.38 last year but that was in line with forecasts.  Excluding charges for the extinguishment of debt, FFO was $1.43.  The quarterly div was increased 20¢ to 80¢ per share.  Simon owns or has an interest in 393 retail properties comprising 264M square feet of leasable space in North America, Europe & Asia.  After falling last year, sales at its tenants' stores began to pick up in Q2. In Q3, tenant sales rose 10.6% from a year earlier.  The stock rose 2.63 to the 98s, approaching the "good old days" 3 years ago.

Simon Property Raises Earnings Forecast, Dividend as Retail Sales Increase


Simon Property   ---   3 years





The new month got off to a good start but selling in the last hour is reducing the gains.  The midterm elections, FED meeting & Oct employment report (which is not expected to show relief in dreary numbers) on Fri will be the main drivers this week.  Dow was briefly in new high territory but was not able to hold as the 11.2K ceiling is becoming a very important technical factor.. 

Dow Jones Industrials   ---   2 weeks





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1 comment:

SYHUK said...

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