Friday, November 26, 2010

Markets slide on foreign worries

Stocks dropped amid mounting concern about the sovereign-debt crisis, steps by China to cool inflation & escalating tensions between North & South Korea.  Dow fell 81, decliners over advancers 2-1 & NAZ was down 7.  Bank stocks led markets lower.


S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX

Value 194.79 One-Year Chart for S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX (S5FINL:IND)
Change   -1.84  (-0.9%)



The MLP index was down a fraction in the 358s & the REIT index fell 1½ to 217, little changed in recent months.  Junk bond funds slipped fractionally.  Treasuries rallied help by increased tensions overseas.  The yield on the 10 year Treasury bond fell 5 basis points to 2.87%, still in its upper levels in the last 4 months.

Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month
0.15%
U.S. 2-year
0.52%
U.S. 10-year
2.87%


Alerian MLP Index   ---   2 weeks



Dow Jones REIT Index   ---   2 weeks



10-Year Treasury Yield Index   ---   2 weeks




Oil fell on concern Ireland’s debt crisis will spread to Portugal & Spain, reducing economic growth & fuel demand while tensions in Korea mounted.  Gold declined the most a week as demand in China may slow & the dollar’s rally reduced the appeal of the metal.

CLF11.NYM....Crude Oil Jan 11....83.61 ...Down 0.25  (0.3%)

GCX10.CMX...Gold Nov 10.....1,372.10 ...Down 0.80  (0.1%)

Gold Super Cycle Link! Click Here



Standard & Poor's downgraded Ireland's banks as speculation mounts that an EU-IMF bailout of Ireland could require senior bondholders to help cover the losses.  S&P said it was lowering Anglo Irish Bank a very big 6 notches to a junk-bond B grade. It also cut the ratings on Bank of Ireland & Allied Irish Banks one notch each to BBB+ and BBB, respectively.  The agency says bonds issued by Anglo are particularly at risk of being discounted as part of the EU-IMF rescue mission to Dublin & Ireland "may be forced to reconsider its current supportive stance toward Anglo's unguaranteed debt."  Junior bondholders at Anglo already have been forced to accept losses of 80-95% on their loans.  Concerns are growing that Ireland’s capitulation in accepting a bailout of its banking industry stokes concern that other countries also will have to seek aid.  The € fell another penny to $1.32½.


The YTD charts for 3 Dow stocks are shown below.  The companies are doing well, the stocks have yields of 2½-4% but stock prices are just muddling along.  Dow is up 5% YTD, these are not helping with the advance.  That's the kind of year it is, tough to follow after last year's spectacular gains.

Intel   ---   YTD



Microsoft   ---   YTD



Pfizer   ---   YTD





This is a sleepy day for stocks.  Intl concerns grow, but many traders are taking a long holiday weekend.  Markets close early, very little will be decided by the shortened day's end.  Hope everybody has a happy weekend!

Dow Jones Industrials   ---   2 weeks




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