Friday, December 23, 2011

Markets edge higher on mixed reports

Dow rose 62, advancers over decliners 3-2 & NAZ was up 7.  Bank stocks are leading today's advance.

S&P 500 Financials Sector Index


Value 177.06 One-Year Chart for S&P 500 Financials Sector Index GICS Level 1 (S5FINL:IND)
Change     0.82    (0.5%)

The MLP index is up another 2½ to 383, continuing a nice year end rally.  The REIT index was a fraction lower & junk bond funds were mixed to higher.  Treasuries sold off, taking the yield on the 10 year Treasury back over 2%.  Oil rose, heading for its biggest weekly gain in 10 months. But today oil & gold are doing little in quiet trading. 

AMZ    Alerian MLP Index



DJR   Dow Jones Equity REIT Index



Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month

0.000%

U.S. 2-year

0.279%

U.S. 10-year

2.014%

CLG12.NYM...Crude Oil Feb 12....99.65 ..Up 0.12  (0.1%)

GCZ11.CMX...Gold Dec 11......1,609.20 ...Up 0.30  (0.0%)

Get the latest market update below:




U.S. November Durable Goods Orders Climb 3.8% on Aircraft

Photo:   Bloomberg

Companies' demand for long-lasting manufactured goods rose by the largest amount in 4 months in Nov, driven by a jump in orders for planes.  The Commerce Dept said orders to US factories for durable goods rose 3.8%, the biggest gain since Jul.  But core capital goods, a proxy for business investment spending, dropped for a 2nd straight month, falling 1.2%.  The declines in business capital goods excluding aircraft raise doubts about a pocket of strength for the economy this year.  For Nov, orders in the transportation category rose nearly 15% reflecting a 73% jump in demand for commercial aircraft after 2 straight declines.  Orders for military aircraft rose, but demand for motor vehicles & parts edged down after a surge in Oct.  Excluding the volatile transportation sector, orders would have risen a more modest 0.3% in Nov, the 3rd straight decline.  Factories that make primary metals, such as steel, reported a strong 5.2% increase in demand.  Again, moderately good news.

U.S. November Durable Goods Orders Climb 3.8%


  • <p>               FILE - In this Nov. 25, 2011 file photo, shoppers scramble for door buster deals at Target, in Bowling Green, Ky. U.S. consumers spent at a lackluster rate in November as their incomes barely grew, suggesting that U.S. households may struggle to sustain their spending into 2012.(AP Photo/Daily News, Joe Imel, File)
Photo:   Yahoo

Consumers spent at a lackluster rate in Nov as incomes barely grew, suggesting that Americans may struggle to keep spending more into 2012.  Consumer spending rose just 0.1% in Nov, matching the modest Oct increase according to the Commerce Dept.  Incomes also rose 0.1%, the weakest showing since a 0.1% decline in Aug.  Both spending & income gains fell below expectations.  Economists have said that solid increases in spending could boost economic growth in the final 3 months of what has been a disappointing year.  The weakness in incomes reflected a decline in wages & salaries, the biggest component of incomes.  The sluggish gain in spending was held back by a 0.3% fall in spending on non-durable goods such as food, clothing & gasoline.  Spending on durable goods jumped 0.8%, reflected the solid auto sales during the month.  More mixed signals about the economic recovery.

U.S. Personal Spending Rises Less Than Forecast


Tax cut lives on: Congress gives its approval

Photo:   Yahoo

Congress passed a 2-month payroll tax cut extension 8 days before its scheduled expiration after House Reps dropped their objections.  It would extend a 2-percentage-point payroll tax cut, continue expanded unemployment benefits & head off a reduction in Medicare payments to doctors through Feb.  But then it's off to another make it up as we go along solution for complex problems.  Politicos plan to negotiate on a longer-term extension in the new year.  Nobody should be proud of this Scotch-Tape approach!



There is nothing exciting going on in the markets.  The extension of the tax & unemployment packages was expected, but nothing was really solved since we will have to go thru this all over again in 2 months.  Little noticed are the gains by MLPs.  The index needs to reach 390 to match its prior record.  I repeat record, something very few securities can claim.

Dow Jones Industrial Average







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