Friday, December 30, 2011

Mixed markets of the last day of trading

Dow fell 22, advancers over decliners 3-2 & NAZ slipped a fraction on very light year end volume.  Bank stocks were lower & the Financial Index is down about 40 in 2011.

S&P 500 Financials Sector Index


Value 175.65 One-Year Chart for S&P 500 Financials Sector Index GICS Level 1 (S5FINL:IND)
Change    -0.67     (-0.4%)


The MLP index was down fractionally to the 388s, staying close to the 390 record, & the REIT index gained 1+ to the 234s.  Junk bond funds are mixed & generally up modestly in 2011.  Treasuries gained for a 4th day, poised for the biggest annual return since 2008, as investors sought the relative safety of US gov bonds on concern Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis will worsen.  Oil inched up towards $100 as the US economy improves.  Gold rebounded after having a bad 4 months.

Gold Rebounds

Photo:   Bloomberg

Gold rose for the first time in more than a week, leading a rally in precious metals, on speculation that the lowest prices in five months will spur demand from jewelers and investors.

ALERIAN MLP Index



DJ REIT INDEXDJR



Treasury yields:

U.S. 3-month

0.010%

U.S. 2-year

0.255%

U.S. 10-year

1.868%

CLG12.NYM...Crude Oil Feb 12..99.41 ....Down 0.24  (0.2%)

GCF12.CMX...Gold Jan 12.....1,570.90 ...Up 31.00  (2.0%)

Get the latest market update below:




Growth in U.S. May Accelerate Even as Europe Shrinks

Photo:   Bloomberg

Rising confidence, fewer layoffs & gains in holiday sales show the US economy is picking up, defying a slowdown in Europe & much of the rest of the world.  The divergence could become even starker in 2012 as the world’s largest economy accelerates, the 17-member euro area sinks into a recession & growth in emerging markets cools.  An improving job market & freer credit may underpin American household sentiment & spending just as the debt crisis in Europe prompts additional belt-tightening overseas.  Stabilization in housing will erase a source of weakness at the same time vehicle replacement demand benefits companies like the automakers.  Of course the goings on in DC can be a negative.  An extension of the payroll tax cuts & emergency unemployment benefits is up for renewal in less than 60 days & the 2 sides are far apart.

Growth in U.S. May Accelerate Even as Europe Shrinks


There is not a lot happening with many away on holiday.  MLPs had a good year while REITs & Junk bonds were about even, allowing investors to collect relatively high income.  The slow pace of trading should be even slower in the PM

Dow Industrials


stock chart







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