Friday, January 27, 2012

Mixed markets in listless trading

Dow fell 65, advancers barely ahead of decliners & NAZ gained 5.  Bank stocks hardly budged.

S&P 500 Financials Sector Index


Value 189.56 One-Year Chart for S&P 500 Financials Sector Index GICS Level 1 (S5FINL:IND)
Change    -0.07    (-0.0%)

MLPs were hit with profit taking & the REIT index slipped 1 to the 245s.  But both are coming off a strong Jan.  Junk bond funds were mixed as were Treasuries.  Oil is headed for its first weekly gain in 3 on signs Greece is near an agreement with its creditors & growing tensions with Iran. Gold is having a quiet day.

Alerian MLP Index


Value 395.35 One-Year Chart for Alerian MLP Index (AMZ:IND)
Change    -5.39     (-1.4%)

Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month

0.051%

U.S. 2-year

0.211%

U.S. 10-year

1.926%

CLH12.NYM...Crude Oil Mar 12...100.03 ...Up 0.33  (0.3%)

GCF12.CMX...Gold Jan 12.........1,721.00 ...Down 5.30  (0.3%)



Get the latest daily market update below:



The US economy grew at a 2.8% annual rate in Q4, the fastest growth in 2011.  More was spent on cars & trucks, & companies restocked inventories at the strongest pace in nearly 2 years.  But growth in Q4 & for all of 2011 was held back by the biggest annual gov spending cuts in 4 decades.  The Commerce Dept said the economy grew just 1.7% last year, roughly half of the growth in 2010 & the worst since the recession.  Businesses are expected to ease up on restocking in Q1 which should slow GDP growth.  In addition, consumers may cut back on spending if their wages continue to lag inflation or tax cuts are not extended.  In Q4, consumer spending grew at a 2% annual rate, up modestly from Q3.  Much of the growth was powered by a 14.8% surge in sales of autos & other long-lasting manufactured goods.  Incomes, which have been weak all year because of high unemployment, grew at a modest 0.8% annual rate (following 2 straight qtrs of declining incomes).  Consumer spending is important because it makes up 70% of economic activity.  This data is muddy showing no clear indication off a strong recovery.

U.S. Economy Grows 2.8%, Less Than Forecast


The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan final index of consumer sentiment for January rose to 75.0 from 69.9 at the end of Dec.  It was projected to hold at the preliminary January reading of 74.  Estimates ranged from 72.5-76.  The measure averaged 89 in the 5 years leading up to the recession that began in Dec 2007 & ended in Jun 2009.  Consumer confidence remains less than rosy.

U.S. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Rises

  • <p>               This Jan. 23, 2012 photo, shows a travel-size tube of Crest toothpaste and toothbrush in a Moreland Hills, Ohio home. Procter & Gamble Co. said Friday Jan. 27, 2012 its net income fell 49 percent in the fiscal second quarter, hobbled by higher materials costs and a writedown in the value of some of its businesses. P&G also lowered its earnings predictions for the year. (AP Photo/Amy Sancetta)
 Photo:   Yahoo

Procter & Gamble, a Dow stock & Dividend Aristocrat, net income fell 49% in its fiscal Q2, hobbled by higher materials costs & a writedown in the value of some of its businesses.  It also lowered its earnings predictions for the year. But adjusted EPS of $1.10 beat estimates of $1.07.  Including one-time charges, EPS was 57¢.  PG is the world's largest consumer-products company.  The bulk of the one-time charges stemmed from the company's decision to write down the value of the appliances unit, where the biggest seller is electric shavers, & the salon professional unit.  Those items tend to be discretionary purchases, & it can be hard to persuade shoppers to buy in a weak economy.  Western Europe, where concerns about a debt crisis are crimping the economy, accounts for about half the sales for both units.  Revenue grew 4% to $22B, helped by higher prices & was roughly in line with the expectations.  But PG cautioned that sales volume slowed in the US as it grew in developing countries. That is similar to trends that many companies are noticing.  PG downgraded its earnings estimate for the fiscal year, to $4-$4.10 from $4.15-$4.33 previously given.  The stock was down 22¢.

P&G Cuts Full-Year Profit Forecast on Unfavorable Currency Exchange Rates

Procter & Gamble Company (The) (PG)


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Markets were mixed in listless trading, as has been the case this week.  Earnings may be good enough, but not inspiring.  Greek debt talks resumed (have heard that many times before), but all talk with no action is no help for the markets.  The MLP index had a large pullback after gaining 25% to a new record in the last 4 months.  Lower yields may be prompting this selling.  There was also an article that western North Dakota, which is booming from expansion in shale oil & gas, has boom problems.  Of  course, plenty of states would like to exchange places.

Dow Industrials

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