Thursday, April 4, 2013

Markets waver after weekly unemployment claims rise

Dow went up 34, advancers ahead of decliners 3-2 & NAZ fell 5.  The Financial Index advanced 1¾ to 243.  The MLP index hardly budged but the REIT index rose 2+ to the 289s, a new multi year high.  Junk bond funds were a little lower & Treasuries rose.  Oil fell for a 2nd day as more Americans than projected filed applications for unemployment claims last week.  Gold also pulled back.

AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)

stock chart

Treasury yields:

U.S. 3-month

0.063%

U.S. 2-year

0.228%

U.S. 10-year

1.787%

CLK13.NYM...Crude Oil May 13...93.02 Down ...1.43  (1.5%)

GCJ13.CMX....Gold Apr 13.......1,549.10 Down ...3.70  (0.2%)












Photo:   Bloomberg

The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose to its highest level in 4 months last week, suggesting the labor market recovery lost some steam in Mar.  Initial claims for unemployment benefits increased 28K to 385K, the highest level since Nov, according to the Labor Dep.  This was the 3rd straight week of gains in claims.  Coming on the heels of data on yesterday showing private employers added the fewest jobs in 5 months in Mar, the report implied some weakening in job growth after hiring accelerated in Feb.  The forecast called for a decline to 350K.  The 4-week moving average for new claims rose a substantial 11K to 354K.  While the claims report has no bearing on tomorrow's payrolls data for Mar, it hinted at some weakness in hiring.  Employers are expected to have added 200K jobs to their payrolls last month, slowing from a brisk pace of 236K in Feb.  The jobless rate is seen unchanged at 7.7%.




Photo:   Bloomberg

ECB head Mario Draghi is sticking to his forecast that the recession-bound euro area economy will recover later this year, but cautions the hoped-for rebound could be delayed.  Draghi predicted a "gradual recovery" for the 17 EU countries that use the € in H2, but added that his outlook was "subject to downside risk."  The ECB projects the 17-country eurozone economy will shrink 0.5% this year.  Weak economic indicators have suggested that its economy shrank in Q1 for the 6th straight qtr.  He made his comment after the ECB left its benchmark interest rate unchanged at a record low 0.75%.  Bank officials have said that an additional cut might not offer much additional stimulus.


<p> Family Nurse Practitioner Ruth Wiley examines Elizabeth Knowles at a Walgreens Take Care Clinic Wednesday, April 3, 2013, in Indianapolis. Walgreens Take Care Clinics are expanding the scope of health care services offered. The new services, now available at the more than 330 Take Care Clinics located at select Walgreens, include assessment, treatment and management for chronic conditions such as hypertension, diabetes, high cholesterol, asthma and others, as well as additional preventive health services. (AP Photo/Darron Cummings)

Photo:  Bloomberg

Walgreen, a Dividend Aristocrat, has stretched the reach of its drugstore clinics beyond treating ankle sprains & sinus infections to handling chronic diseases such as diabetes, asthma & high blood pressure.  The company said that most of its 370 in-store Take Care Clinics now will diagnose, treat & monitor patients with some chronic conditions that are typically handled by doctors.  Drugstore clinics, which are run by nurse practitioners or physician assistants, have grown popular in recent years as a convenient & less expensive way to treat relatively minor illnesses when a patient doesn't have a doctor or if their physician isn't available.  But the clinics have been broadening their scope of care:  The decision follows a move by competitor CVS Caremark (CVS) to start monitoring chronic conditions at most of its 640 MinuteClinics.  Drugstores say they don't aim to replace doctors, but rather to provide more people with access to health care & to work with physicians as part of a team treating patients.  But the move to provide more complex care draws concern from doctors who say that can disrupt their relationships with patients & lead to fragmented care.  After a good run recently, the stock slipped pennies today.

Walgreen (WAG)



Stocks are digesting the rise in unemployment claims & fuzzier outlook from the euro area fairly well.  The jobs report tomorrow is bigger in influence & has the potential for bring a negative surprise based on initial economic signals.  The MLP index took a tumble yesterday but is holding steady today.  REITs continue strong with their index up 23 YTD.  Strength in the Dow today comes from Alcoa (AA), Pfizer (PFE) & Disney (DIS).  

Dow Jones Industrials









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