Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Higher markets ahead of Federal Reserve meeting

After falling for 3 straight days, Dow gained 103, advancers ahead of decliners better than 5-1 & NAZ rose 41. Banks are having a nice rebound after recent selling.

S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX

Value
158.39
Change
3.38
% Change
2.2%


Oversold MLPs found buyers, the index is up 4. Yield buyers have returned, REITs & junk bond funds are also higher but oil is down pennies. MLPs have enjoyed a nice climb lately while REITs have had to endure a very bumpy time of it. I've attached a discussion forecasting uglier times ahead for retailers & by extension their leaseholder REITs. It reminds us that the rising out of this recession could take time & can be painful.


Alerian MLP Index --- 2 months





Dow Jones REIT Index --- 2 months






This PM, The Federal Reserve will issue their statement. There's little they can do with interest rates but they have other tools to influence economic activity. The FED has been buying Treasuries & mortgages, now that program is on hold. The markets are trying to guess their next moves if the economy has bottomed. The obvious changes could include cutting back stimulus programs they have undertaken.

Treasuries are little changed, awaiting results from the auction at lunch time & the FED's announcement. The 10 year bond yield rose 2 basis points to 3.66%.

10-Year Treasury Yld Index - 2 months






Economic data continues muddled, what should be expected coming out of the deepest recession since the Depression. New home sales slipped 0.6% in Apr, as they have to compete with foreclosures. The FED's statement should be unusually interesting for market watchers.

New-Home Sales in U.S. Unexpectedly Fall as Foreclosures Give Resales Edge

Dow Jones Industrials --- 2 months

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