Tuesday, January 4, 2011

Nervous markets wait for minutes from Federal Reserve meeting

Dow gained 5, decliners ahead of advancers 2-1 & NAZ fell a bigger 10.  Bank stocks were a tad lower after the Financial Index has had a nice run in the last month.

S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX

Value 219.01 One-Year Chart for S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX (S5FINL:IND)
Change   -0.70  (-0.3%)



The MLP index pulled back almost 2 to the 363s after touching a new record yesterday while the REIT index fell 3 to 225.  Junk bond funds were mixed.  The yield on the 10 year Treasury bond fell 1½ basis points to 3.33%.

Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month
0.12%
U.S. 2-year
0.59%
U.S. 10-year
3.33%


Alerian MLP Index   ---   2 weeks



Dow Jones REIT Index   ---   2 weeks



10-Year Treasury Yield Index   ---   2 weeks



Oil fell from the highest level in 27 months as commodities including precious metals tumbled.  Gold dropped the most in 7 weeks on speculation that a global recovery will curb demand for the metal as a haven asset.

CLG11.NYM....Crude Oil Feb 11...89.75 .....Down 1.80  (2.0%)

GCF11.CMX....Gold Jan 11.......1,396.40 ...Down 26.20  (1.8%)

Gold Super Cycle Link! Click Here



Sales at U.S. Retailers Increased 3.6% Last Week

Photo:   Bloomberg

Sales rose 3.6% last week from the prior week at US retailers.  Some shoppers returned to stores to take advantage of post-Christmas discounts, dodging a snowstorm that hit the East Coast.  Sales for the week ending Jan 1 rose 0.4% from the previous week, according to a chain-store sales index released by the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) & Glodman Sachs (GS) which compares with a 1% gain in the prior week.  The holidays can generate up to 40% of annual revenue & the bulk of annual profits for some retailers. With a blizzard covering parts of the Northeast, retailers lured shoppers later in the week.  Dec sales probably rose 3.5% or more, the ICSC said.  Last week, the group forecast that holiday sales will rise at least 4%, the most in 4 years.  Sales were good but came in below great. 

Sales at U.S. Retailers Increased 3.6% Last Week


Businesses ordered more factory goods in Nov, responding to stronger demand from consumers. Excluding a drop in demand for airplanes & autos, factory orders jumped by the largest amount in 8 months.  The Commerce Dept said total orders rose 0.7%, rebounding from a 0.7% drop in Oct. Excluding transportation, orders were up 2.4%.  Orders for capital goods like computers climbed 2.6%.  The Nov increase left total orders at $424.5B, considered to be a healthy level for manufacturing activity (20.4% above the recession low, hit in Mar 2009).  This is another indicator that the US economy is on the mend.

Orders to U.S. Factories Unexpectedly Increased in November



GM December Total U.S. Sales Up 7.5%

Photo:   Bloomberg


General Motors (GM) sales of cars & trucks in the US rose 6.3% last year as a strong line-up of new models helped the company make a comeback from its bankruptcy.  GM sold 2.2M vehicles, even though it got rid of 4 brands to focus on Chevrolet, Buick, Cadillac & GMC.  Total sales for the industry are expected to rise 10% for the year as consumers are buying again with an economy that is slowly recovering. Dec sales rose 7.5% (beating estimates of 4.3%) because of hot sellers such as the Chevrolet Equinox, a smaller SUV that seats about 5.  The stock is up nicely from its 33 IPO price (in a rising stock market).  Today it added 35¢.

GM December Total U.S. Sales Up 7.5%, Est. Up 4.3%

General Motors   ---   2 months



Markets are back to sloshing around in the absence of major news.  MLPs & REITs pulled back, but nothing serious for the bulls.  The markets look good for the time being.  Dow has had a superb run over the last 4 months with only one pause period in the month of Nov.  Angst about the jobs report on Fri may be holding back buyers today.

Dow Jones Industrials   ---   2 weeks




Link to the 2 week Free Trial  





Find out what's inside Trend TV  


Get your favorite symbols' Trend Analysis TODAY!  

No comments: