Tuesday, January 14, 2014

Higher markets after JPMorgan earnings

Dow rose 52, advancers over decliners 5-2 & NAZ added 37.   The MLP index slipped a fraction to the 451s (continuing the downward slide this year) & the REIT index climbed 1+ to 270.  Junk bond funds were mixed to lower & Treasuries were weak.  Oil advanced as US retail sales rose more than forecast & on estimates that crude inventories dropped for a 7th week.  Gold pulled back again.

AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)

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Treasury yields:

U.S. 3-month

0.04%

U.S. 2-year

0.36%

U.S. 10-year

2.85%

CLG14.NYM...Crude Oil Feb 14...92.68 Up ...0.88 (1.0%)

GCF14.CMX...Gold Jan 14...1,246.70 Down ...4.20  
(0.3%)








Shopping in N.Y.
Photo:   Bloomberg

Retail sales rose more than forecast in Dec as consumers snapped up holiday gifts amid year-end discounting, giving the US economy a lift at the end of 2013.  This is the first report, more data is coming.



House & Senate lawmakers agreed to a bipartisan compromise to fund the gov thru Sep 30, unveiling the measure days before financing for federal agencies is scheduled to lapse.  The $1.01T measure would fund Obamacare & individual agencies, plus add separate war financing.  Rep efforts to derail some regulatory initiatives were left out of the measure to ensure passage & avoid a repeat of the gov shutdown in Oct.  “Not everyone will like everything in this bill, but in this divided government a critical bill such as this simply cannot reflect the wants of only one party,” the lawmakers said in a statement.  “We believe this is a good, workable measure.”  Negotiators had agreed on the $1.1T base spending in Dec as part of a 2 year, bipartisan budget agreement.  Funding runs out tomorrow, so they also plan to pass a separate 3-day bill at current funding levels to push the deadline to Jan 18, give lawmakers enough time to enact the comprehensive legislation without risking a gov shutdown.  The House plans to vote on the stopgap measure today.

Congress Unveils $1.1 Trillion Plan to Fund Government


JPMorgan, a Dow stock, quarterly profit fell 7.3% on $2.6B.  Settlements tied to Madoff's scheme & rising legal costs ended the firm’s 3-year streak of record annual earnings.  Q4 EPS fell to $1.30 from $1.39 a year earlier.  Results excluding the Madoff settlement & other one-time items were $1.40 a share.  Analysts estimated $1.37.  CEO Jamie Dimon is whittling down the list of legal woes that include allegations it misled buyers of mortgage bonds, rigged markets & turned a blind eye to suspicious activity by customers.  The Madoff agreement, reduced Q4 profit by $850M, capped a year in which the company spent more than $23B on legal settlements.  Revenue dropped 1.1% to $24.1B while expenses declined 3.1% to $15.6B.  Full-year profit fell 16% to $17.9B.  Earnings at the corp & investment bank tumbled 57% to $858M, hurt by a $1.5B charge from changing the valuation of some over-the-counter derivatives to incorporate funding costs.  Revenue at the unit fell 21% from a year earlier to $6B.  Net income from consumer & community banking climbed 19% to $2.37B as provisions for credit losses fell & expenses declined.  Revenue was $11.3B, down 8% from a year earlier.  JPM, which has said it’s severing ties with foreign banks & individuals to tighten anti-money laundering controls, said last week it’s weighing options including a sale of its prepaid-card business.  The bank was the 4th biggest prepaid-card issuer in 2012, with $9.8B of volume.  The stock rose 51¢ on the good, but muddy, news.

JPMorgan Fourth-Quarter Profit Declines 7.3% on Cost of Madoff Settlements

J P Morgan Chase (JPM)


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JPM earnings were well received, even though a lot of one time items made for a blurry picture.  As has become common in earnings reports, sales declined & that's not good.  Dow is down 250 in Jan.  If it remains under water, that would be the last major signal (after down on he first day & in the first week) for a down year

Dow Jones Industrials

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