Thursday, January 23, 2014

Lower markets as investors weigh earnings

Dow lost 175, decliners over advancers 2-1 & NAZ dropped 24.  The MLP index slid pocket change in the 463s & the REIT index slipped 1+ to the 273s.  Junk bond funds inched higher & Treasuries soared, with the yield on the 10 year bond falling 9 basis points.  Oil rose to a 3 week high after a report showed that US distillate supplies tumbled as cold weather bolstered heating demand & gold jumped $24 as stocks declined.

AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)

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Treasury yields:

U.S. 3-month

0.04%

U.S. 2-year

0.36%

U.S. 10-year

2.78%

CLH14.NYM...Crude Oil Mar 14....97.51 Up ...0.78 (0.8%)

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]




Home for Sale in Wheat Ridge, Colorado
Photo:   Bloomberg

In Dec, sales of previously owned homes went up for the first time in 5 months, capping the best year since 2006 & indicating the real-estate market is starting to adjust to higher borrowing costs.  Purchases rose 1% to a 4.87M annual pace, according to the National Association of Realtors.  Faster employment growth, rising property values & a decline in consumer debt are giving would-be buyers the confidence to take the plunge into homeownership.  Growing demand will also spur new construction & home improvements that will boost GDP in 2014.  5.09M previously owned houses were sold in 2013 compared with 4.66M the prior year & the most since 2006.  Purchases reached a 5.39M annualized pace in Jul & Aug, a 4 year high, before a jump in mortgage rates crimped demand.



Baxter Labs Q4 profit that beat estimates on demand for hemophilia therapies.   EPS, excluding one-time items, was $1.26, beating by a penny the estimate.  Sales rose 16% to $4.4B, boosted by the Advate & Feiba hemophilia treatments & the acquisition of Sweden's Gambro.  EPS excluding one-time items for 2014 will probably be $5.05-$5.25, the company said, which excludes 25¢ in amortization expenses.  But EPS in Q4 fell to 59¢ from 89¢ last year.  The results were weighed down by $366M in one-time items that included the cost of acquiring Gambro.  In Dec 2012 it agreed to acquire Gambro for 18.3B kronor ($2.8B), adding about $1.6B in annual sales.  The stock fell 74¢.
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Baxter’s Profit Beats Analysts’ Estimates on Sales of Hemophilia Products

Baxter International (BAX)


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McDonalds, a Dow stock, Q4 profit was little changed from a year earlier as US same-store sales fell amid shaky consumer confidence & increased competition.  EPS was $1.40, above $1.38 a year earlier & analysts' estimates of $1.39.  CEO Don Thompson has been advertising the chain’s new Dollar Menu & More, which has items priced at $1 & $2, to lure customers amid falling consumer confidence.  The company, which in 2012 got 32% of revenue in the US, is also facing heightened competition selling more lower-priced sandwiches.  Sales at the US locations open at least 13 months fell 1.4% in Q4.  Analysts estimated a drop of 0.2%.  Jan comparable-store sales are expected to be unchanged globally, Thompson said.  Same-store sales fell 0.1% globally in Q4 versus an estimate of a 0.5% increase by analysts.  Comparable-store sales advanced 1% in Europe & declined 2.4% in the Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa region.  Same-store sales are considered an indicator of a company’s growth because they include only older, established locations.  Revenue rose 2% to $7.09B, trailing the estimate of $7.11B.  The company has almost 35K restaurants worldwide & 81% of those are franchised.  MCD plans to open as many as 1600 new stores this year & remodel more than 1K.  The stock rose 44¢.
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McDonald’s Quarterly Profit Is Little Changed as U.S. Store Sales Decline

McDonald's (MCD)


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Stocks are having a tough time finding friends in Jan.  Dow has fallen nearly 400 this month & it's increasingly likely that it will extend its decline to the entire month, a negative indicator for the balance of the year.  Earnings season has not been greeted with a warm reception by investors.  Maybe it reflects the cold weather around much of the US.  Whatever, the overbought market will need a lot of help if it wants another winning year.

Dow Jones Industrials

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