Tuesday, July 21, 2009

Dow tries for 7 consecutive up days

Dow gained 53, advancers over decliners by 25% but NAZ fell 3. Banks were soft, digesting their recent run-up in prices.

S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX

Value
163.85
Change
-0.88
% Change
-0.5%


MLPs continue on their roll. The Alerian MLP Index is up .80 to the 242s (only 100 below the peak 2 years ago in Jul). REITs & junk bond funds were down slightly & the 10 year Treasury bond yield slipped 2 basis points to 3.54%.


Alerian MLP Index --- 1 month




Oil continues on its winning ways.

CLQ09.NYM...Crude Oil Aug 09...64.70 ...Up 0.72
.......(1.1%)


Martin Feldstein, professor of economics at Harvard & former head of the National Bureau of Economic Research, says that the stimulus package may give a short term boost to the economy but will fade, bringing a 2nd leg down for the recession.

Obama’s Stimulus Plan Slow to Trickle Through Economy


The CIT (CIT) drama plays on. After the excitement yesterday about saving CIT from bankruptcy, they are saying that didn't solve their financial problems. They need more than the $3B arranged for yesterday. Their first hurdle is paying off $1B of debt on Aug 17. They are proposing giving the bondholders 82½¢ on the dollar & they need 90% approval.

CIT Group Says Existing Liquidity Not Enough to Make August Debt Payment


5 Dow stocks reported earnings with mixed results. Caterpillar (CAT) was the best performer, raising EPS guidance for 2009 from 1.25 to a range of 1.15 to 2.25 (a very wide range!). The 1.68 div is under review.

SymbolLast TradeChangeVolumeIntradayRelated Info
MRK
29.29Up 1.35Up 4.83%5,438,926Chart, Messages, Key Stats, More
UTX
54.17Down 0.80Down 1.46%2,159,364Chart, Messages, Key Stats, More
DD
28.15Down 0.18Down 0.64%2,842,150Chart, Messages, Key Stats, More
CAT
40.82Up 4.17Up 11.38%20,913,315Chart, Messages, Key Stats, More
KO
50.46Down 0.57Down 1.12%3,622,390Chart, Messages, Key Stats, More


Caterpillar --- 2 weeks




Dow is trying to extend its winning streak to 7 days. It's up, but only 15 are gainers in what is clearly an overbought market. Ben Bernanke is testifying before Congress, telling them that there are tentative signs of stabilization & rates will remain low for some time. A key problem is that low rates can not last, they will have to be brought back to traditional levels.


DOW JONES INDUS. AVG SNAPSHOT

1 YEAR



Dow Jones Industrials --- 2 months

No comments: