Friday, July 17, 2009

Exhausted markets take a breather

Stocks are catching their breaths after one the best weekly gains in history. Dow is down 6, decliners over advancers 3-2 & NAZ fell 3. Banks slipped a little, not greatly affected by disappointing earnings from Bank of America (BAC), General Electric (GE) & Citigroup (C).

S&P 500 FINANCIALS INDEX

Value
162.25
Change
-2.42
% Change
-1.5%


Gloomy earnings from BAC, GE & (C) appear to have been already discounted. The 2 banks were essentially even while GE tumbled 76¢. The most worrisome statement was from BAC. They predicted the recession will drone on into next year & they are setting aside even more money to cover bad loans. Times are tough. Only $28 is needed to buy one share of each company (13 +12 +3).

Bank of America Earnings Drop as More Money Is Set Aside for Credit Losses
Citigroup Posts $4.28 Billion Profit on Gain From Smith Barney Stake Sale
GE Falls After Second-Quarter Sales Decline More Than Analysts Estimated


MLPs continue on a roll, up .83 to the 237s, another 2009 high. To keep it in perspective, the record high for the index was 342 reached 2 years ago this month. REITs were weak (the index dropped 3), junk bonds were soft & VIX pulled back a fraction, taking it below 25 (a low since the Lehman collapse last year). Treasuries are selling off again. The 10 year Treasury yield is up 8 basis points to 3.63%.

Alerian MLP Index --- 2 weeks




10-year Treasury Yld Index - 1 month




After everybody was counting oil out, it has had a nice bounce back this week taking it above 63.

CLQ09.NYM...Crude Oil Aug 09...63.11...Up 1.09
.......(1.8%)


After an outstanding week, Dow is resting. Successful traders are probably taking a long holiday weekend.

Dow Jones Industrials --- YTD

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