Thursday, March 15, 2012

S&P 500 closes at 1402, a 4 year high

Dow rose 58 (closing at the highs), advancers over decliners a mild 4-3 & NAZ was up 15 (with no  help from Apple).  As has been the case recently, bank stocks led the way taking the Financial Index up almost 4 to the 211s.  

The MLP index fell a fraction in the 396s (off its lows) & the REIT index was off pocket change in the 249s.  Junk bond funds were mixed to lower while Treasuries had limited losses.  Crude trimmed losses as the administration denied a report that the US & UK had agreed to release oil from strategic reserves.  Gold, the green line in its graph, found buyers after its recent sell-off.

JPMorgan Chase Capital XVI (AMJ)


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Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month

0.076%

U.S. 2-year

0.362%

U.S. 10-year

2.276%

CLJ12.NYM...Crude Oil Apr 12...105.35 ...Down 0.08  (0.1%)

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]




Apple Passes $600 a Share for First Time on IPad

Photo:   Bloomberg

With a 45% move already in 2012, it's neither heresy nor bearish to suggest Apple shares may need a bit of a pause at some point.  A baby dip may be upon us.  Its shares, getting a boost from anticipation of the new iPad3, rose past $600 (another new record) today for the first time.  However we may see a dip after iPad3 hits the shelves tomorrow, but it would come on the heels of the 6% gain the stock has had since the product was announced on Mar 7.  Someday AAPL is going to slip up & the stock will suffer.  From all appearances, its fans say that day of reckoning is well over the horizon.  Profit taking finally reached the stock today, dropping 3 to 586.

Apple Passes $600 a Share for First Time Ahead of New IPad’s Sales Debut

Apple Inc. (AAPL)


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Foreclosure filings fell 8% in February, the smallest year-over-year decrease since Oct 2010, as lenders began working through a backlog of seized properties, according to RealtyTrac.  207K homes received notices of default, auction or repossession last month, down 2% from Jan (one in every 637 households).  Filings climbed in the 26 states where courts oversee foreclosures, rising 2% from Jan & 24% from a year earlier.  Half of the 20 largest metropolitan areas had gains, led by Tampa & Miami.  In the 24 states where seizures can proceed without court approval, filings declined 5% from Jan & 23% from Feb 2011.  Default filings, a lender’s first notice of serious delinquency, were sent to 59K properties, up 1% from Jan & down 7% from a year earlier.  Auctions were scheduled on 84K homes, down 2% from the previous month & 13% from a year earlier.  Repossessions, the final stage of foreclosure, were completed on 64K properties, down 4% from Jan & 1% from Feb 2011.  This dark cloud overhangs any housing recovery.

Foreclosure Filings Decline 8% in U.S. With Increase in Seizures to Come


Treasuries erased losses, pushing benchmark 10-year note yields down from the highest level in more than 4 months, as technical indicators suggested gov securities may have plunged too far, too fast.  10-year yields climbed for a 7th day, the longest stretch since 2006.  The rate rose to as high as 2.35%, the most since Oct 28.  While yields are rising, the 10-year rate is about 1.5 percentage points less than last year’s high of 3.77% reached on Feb 9.  The yield has averaged 3.87% in the past decade.



The S&P 500 closed above 1400, a 4 year high, & chart people like to see that.  Markets are feeling good after Dow broke thru the 13K barrier convincingly earlier this week.  European debt issues have been put on a back burner, those problems will take care of themselves.  One interesting diversion is with the MLPs which have been market leaders over the last 3 years.  The fundamental business of MLPS, adding to pipelines & terminals for (mainly) oil & gas, has gone on thru the recession & the post recession period.  So far, their recent lagging performance can be chalked up to as just one of those things & the increase in competitive Treasury yields.

Dow Industrials


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