Monday, July 22, 2019

Markets edge higher as earnings week begins

Dow fell 13, advancers over decliners about 5-4 & NAZ went up 36.  The MLP index gained 2+ to the 256s & the REIT index was even at 382.  Junk bond funds fluctuated & Treasuries rose in price.  Oil crawled higher in the 55s & gold was steady at 1425.

AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)


CL=FCrude Oil56.16
+0.53+1.0%

GC=FGold   1,428.50
+1.80+0.1%






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The top three US stock exchanges opened with marginal increases ahead of a jam-packed week of Q2 earnings & amid continued investor optimism that the Federal Reserve is poised to lower interest rates, though potentially less than previously thought.  79% of S&P 500 companies exceed earnings expectations, according to FactSet.  Hopes are still high that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at its upcoming Jul meeting.  Several officials at the central bank have suggested as much over the past few weeks, including Chair Jerome Powell, but more cautious wording is suggesting to investors & other experts that the Fed may lower rates by a qtr of a percentage point, less than the ½-basis point some were predicting.  A closely watched indicator of the central bank's sentiment, lists the possibility for a 25-point cut at 75.5%.

Wall Street rises ahead of jam-packed week of 2Q earnings

The White House & congressional Dems have moved close to a budget deal that would raise the US debt ceiling for 2 years, a source close to the talks said.  An agreement to prevent the US from hitting its borrowing limit & stop gov funding from lapsing is “near final,” the leaker said, & remaining talks relate to “technical language issues.”  The developing deal would suspend the debt ceiling thru Jul 31, 2021.  It would permanently end the sequester, automatic across the board spending cuts.  A sequester would have taken effect in Jan without congressional action.  The budget agreement would include parity between increases in defense spending & domestic, non-defense outlays — a priority for House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.  It would also have $75B in spending offsets, measures conservatives have backed.  Lawmakers have scrambled to strike a deal before they leave for their Aug recess.  Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin warns the US could run out of cash to pay its bills by Sep, setting up the potential for default on the federal debt.  In addition, the gov will shut down if Congress cannot pass a spending bill by Sep 30.  While a default would reverberate throughout the global economy & financial markets, a temporary gov funding lapse could drag on US economic growth.

US debt ceiling and budget deal ‘near final’; suspends ceiling for 2 years: Source

Iranian officials said that 17 people have been captured who were allegedly spies working for the US Central Intelligence Agency.  The Iranian Intelligence Ministry held a briefing today where they announced the alleged spies were Iranian citizens but trained by the CIA.  Some of those arrested have been sentenced to death, the Intelligence Ministry added.  It was not immediately clear when they were arrested.  US officials have not yet responded to the allegations.  The Iranian gov occasionally makes similar claims & it was not immediately possible to determine whether they are legitimate.  The US gov never acknowledges CIA recruitment abroad.

Iranian officials say 17 alleged US spies captured, some sentenced to death

Halliburton (HAL) reported a drop in Q2 net income to $75M.  The results were impacted by asset impairment & severance charges.  EPS was 9¢, but adjusted for asset impairment costs, was 35¢.  That beat expectations for 30¢.  "Halliburton's execution in the second quarter was outstanding and I am pleased with our results. We continue to build on the growth momentum internationally and successfully manage the market dynamics in North America," commented Jeff Miller, CEO.  "Total company revenue was $5.9 billion and adjusted operating income was $550 million, representing increases of 3% and 29%, respectively, compared to the first quarter of 2019."  The provider of drilling services to oil & gas operators posted revenue of $5.93M, falling short of forecast for $5.97B. The stock  added 1.25.
If you would like to learn more about HAL, click on this link:
club.ino.com/trend/analysis/stock/HAL?a_aid=CD3289&a_bid=6ae5b6f7

Halliburton profit slumps 85% on charges


Earnings week is just beginning.  Meanwhile tensions in the Mideast are high & rising.  Safe haven gold & Treasuries are treading water with all that is going on

Dow Jones Industrials

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