Dow lost 115, decliners over advancers almost 2-1 & NAZ declined 63. The MLP index fell 1 to the 254s (extending its longer term sideways trend) & the REIT index was fractionally higher to the 393s (near its recent record). Junk bond funds fluctuated & Treasuries continued to be purchased, bringing higher prices. Oil was off slightly in the 57s & gold pulled back 3 to 1396.
AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)
Trump says administration preparing an executive order on drug prices
Soybean demand in China appears to be surprisingly robust despite the widespread culling of pigs due to African swine fever. That may be indicating that farmers are switching from food waste to manufactured feed, which could mean better-than-expected demand will persist. The Chinese use of soybeans is an important metric for the country's trade relationships. Since China is the world's top buyer of the oilseeds, it could give some support to American exports as shipments for the current marketing year may be on pace to top US gov forecasts. China's sustained demand for soybeans has been called into question not just by trade war tensions but also by a raging outbreak of African swine fever, which has forced farmers to cull a significant percentage of their pigs. Nevertheless, China's need for the feed material seems to be defying expectations.
China’s soybean demand is ‘surprisingly’ strong despite continued swine fever outbreak
Consumer borrowing expanded at a solid pace in May, according to the Federal Reserve. Total consumer credit increased $17.1B after an almost identical gain in the prior month. That's an annual growth rate of 5%. The forecast called for a $17B gain. Revolving credit, like credit cards, rose 8.2% just a bit above the 7.9% gain in Apr. Revolving debt had looked weaker at the start of the year & actually declined in Dec & Mar. Non-revolving credit, typically auto & student loans, rose 3.9% in the month after a 4.2% rise in the prior month. The non-revolving sector is not as volatile as the credit card sector. Consumers are the lone bright spot in the economy outlook, as business investment & manufacturing have been looking weaker. So, the continued growth in credit is seen as a positive sign for growth in coming months. For now, strong job growth, as seen in Jun, is supporting higher incomes which has led to more spending. And, at least so far, credit growth has not raised any red flags for federal regulators. Household borrowing “remains modest relative to income, & the debt growth is concentrated among borrowers with high credit scores, the Fed said, in a report to Congress on economic trends over the last 6 months.
U.S. consumer credit expands at solid pace in May for second straight month
club.ino.com/trend/analysis/stock/NKE?a_aid=CD3289&a_bid=6ae5b6f7
Nike wins big as the US women’s soccer team takes the World Cup
Stocks were sold at the start of trading & that sentiment did not change during the day. However there was a little buying in the last hour of trading. Too many investors have become addicted to low interest rates & they want to see a rate cut later this month. In a couple of days chairman Powell will give his latest thoughts on interest rates. Trade issues are more important in evaluating the economy & those talks remain stuck in the mud.
Dow Jones Industrials
AMJ (Alerian MLP Index tracking fund)
Pres Trump said he's preparing an exec order declaring a “favored
nations clause” for drug prices, where the US will pay no more than
the country with the lowest prescription drug prices. “As you
know for years and years other nations pay less for drugs than we do,”
Trump said. “We’re
working on a favored nations clause, where we pay whatever the lowest
nation’s price is. Why should other nations — like Canada — why should other nations pay less than us? ” The
Trump administration & Dems in Congress are both trying to bring
more transparency to drug prices &, ultimately, lower costs for
consumers. The Trump administration is trying to shed more light on the
health-care industry's opaque pricing practices by requiring Big Pharma
to include drug prices in TV ads starting this month. It proposed new
rules in Jan that would cut out the middlemen & force drugmakers
to pass drug rebates directly to consumers. The pres also issued an exec order last month requiring hospitals & insurers to disclose negotiated
rates for services, as well as provide patients with out-of-pocket costs
before their procedures. House Dems have proposed letting
the federal gov negotiate prices with drugmakers directly, like
other countries. The Medicare program cannot negotiate drug prices under
current law. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's latest draft of legislation allowing Medicare to negotiate lower drug prices would also apply those
discounts to private health plans across the US However, opposition
is strong among Reps who say they want prices negotiated in a
free market. It's unclear how the administration could set &
enforce drug prices. A similar idea Trump announced last year has
already faced skepticism. Under the proposal, Medicare would be allowed
to create an “international pricing index” to bring drug prices in line
with what other nations pay.
Trump says administration preparing an executive order on drug prices
Soybean demand in China appears to be surprisingly robust despite the widespread culling of pigs due to African swine fever. That may be indicating that farmers are switching from food waste to manufactured feed, which could mean better-than-expected demand will persist. The Chinese use of soybeans is an important metric for the country's trade relationships. Since China is the world's top buyer of the oilseeds, it could give some support to American exports as shipments for the current marketing year may be on pace to top US gov forecasts. China's sustained demand for soybeans has been called into question not just by trade war tensions but also by a raging outbreak of African swine fever, which has forced farmers to cull a significant percentage of their pigs. Nevertheless, China's need for the feed material seems to be defying expectations.
China’s soybean demand is ‘surprisingly’ strong despite continued swine fever outbreak
Consumer borrowing expanded at a solid pace in May, according to the Federal Reserve. Total consumer credit increased $17.1B after an almost identical gain in the prior month. That's an annual growth rate of 5%. The forecast called for a $17B gain. Revolving credit, like credit cards, rose 8.2% just a bit above the 7.9% gain in Apr. Revolving debt had looked weaker at the start of the year & actually declined in Dec & Mar. Non-revolving credit, typically auto & student loans, rose 3.9% in the month after a 4.2% rise in the prior month. The non-revolving sector is not as volatile as the credit card sector. Consumers are the lone bright spot in the economy outlook, as business investment & manufacturing have been looking weaker. So, the continued growth in credit is seen as a positive sign for growth in coming months. For now, strong job growth, as seen in Jun, is supporting higher incomes which has led to more spending. And, at least so far, credit growth has not raised any red flags for federal regulators. Household borrowing “remains modest relative to income, & the debt growth is concentrated among borrowers with high credit scores, the Fed said, in a report to Congress on economic trends over the last 6 months.
U.S. consumer credit expands at solid pace in May for second straight month
With the US women's national soccer team
defeating the Netherlands 2-0 yerterday to take the 2019 Women's World Cup,
Nike (NKE), a Dow stock, is also winning, with jerseys selling out on its website & buzz
around its latest ad campaign taking over the internet. The brand
sponsored 14 of the 2 dozen teams playing in the tournament this year,
including 3 that made it to the final 4. One of those is team
USA. Professional soccer players make up NKE's 2nd-largest group of
sponsored female athletes, behind track & field. A few hours ago, a special version dropped by NKE last night of the women's jersey with 4 stars — with each star
representing a World Cup win for the women's team: once in 1991, 1999,
2015 & this year — had already sold out in many sizes for women, men & kids. CEO Mark Parker said last month that the USA women's
home jersey, in the midst of the tournament, had already become the
top-selling soccer jersey, for both men & women, ever sold on its
website in one season. Its jersey sales have surged 200%
compared with the last tournament held 4 years ago & sales of
women's apparel related to the tournament are up more than 150% compared
with 2015. “To start the tournament nearly two-thirds of the
teams wore Nike kits and half the players wore our boots,” Parker said
in late Jun. “The exposure is driving outstanding sell-through
in kits, high performance bras and lifestyle extensions.” The stock rose 1.66.
If you would like to learn more about NKE, click on this link:club.ino.com/trend/analysis/stock/NKE?a_aid=CD3289&a_bid=6ae5b6f7
Nike wins big as the US women’s soccer team takes the World Cup
Stocks were sold at the start of trading & that sentiment did not change during the day. However there was a little buying in the last hour of trading. Too many investors have become addicted to low interest rates & they want to see a rate cut later this month. In a couple of days chairman Powell will give his latest thoughts on interest rates. Trade issues are more important in evaluating the economy & those talks remain stuck in the mud.
Dow Jones Industrials
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