Thursday, October 22, 2020

Markets rise as Pelosi signals progress in stimulus talks

Dow climbed 152, advancers over decliners better than 2-1 & NAZ went up 21.  The MLP index shot up 5+ to the 121s & the REIT index was steady near 351.  Junk bond funds fluctuated & Treasuries drifted lower.  Oil was higher, going over 40, while gold dropped 22 to 1906 (more on both below).

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said that Dems & White House officials are drawing closer to striking a coronavirus relief deal, but negotiators have still not solved 2 of the most contentious issues: state & local funding & liability protections for businesses.  "They still haven't completely signed off on it," Pelosi said.  "But I think we're just about there."  After months of negotiations, both sides have indicated they would like to finalize a deal by the end of the week, although it's unclear whether it could be passed before the Nov election.  Pelosi spoke with Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin, the top negotiator for the Trump administration, 3 times this week & is slated to do so again today.  "I’m pleased at where we are now. If we can resolve some of these things in the next few days, it’ll take a while to write the bill," Pelosi said.  "I’d hope that we could be writing starting now, and we are putting pen to paper, sort of easier parts of the bill. It’s close."  But major obstacles remain, including aid for state & local govs, liability protections for businesses & growing dissent among Senate Reps, who have balked at passing a multitrillion-dollar aid package.  Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has also emerged as a hurdle in negotiations, privately urging the White House not to settle with Pelosi before the election amid concerns it could interfere with the confirmation of Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court. 

Pelosi says 'we're just about there' on coronavirus relief deal

Verizon (VZ), a Dow stock, beat estimates for 3rd-qtr profit, helped by strong demand for its phone & internet services as offices & schools continued to operate virtually amid the COVID-19 pandemic.  The health crisis has brought global economies to a halt, but the telecom sector has been relatively less affected.  With lockdowns easing, VZ gradually reopened all of its company-operated retail stores in the qtr, implementing touch-less retail, appointments & curbside pickups.  VZ added 283K postpaid phone subscribers, above the estimate of 268K.  Total operating revenue fell 4.1% to $31.54B, which the company attributed to lower customer activity & the timing of certain device launches.  Revenue in the media unit, which includes Yahoo, HuffPost & TechCrunch, declined 7.4% in the qtr to $1.7B from a year earlier as companies cut down on advertising to rein in expenses.  VZ stock rose 57¢.
If you would like to learn more about VZ, click on this link:
club.ino.com/trend/analysis/stock/VZ?a_aid=CD3289&a_bid=6ae5b6f7

Verizon profit beats estimates on remote working boost

Coca-Cola (KO), a Dow stock & Dividend Aristocrat, reported that Q3 revenuee fell 9% as the coronavirus pandemic weighed on demand for fountain soft drinks, Powerade & Dasani.  But the company topped earnings.  EPS was 40¢, down from 60¢ a year earlier.  Excluding asset impairments, severance costs related to its restructuring plan & other items, EPS was 55¢, topping the 46¢ expected.  Net sales dropped 9% to $8.65B, beating expectations of $8.36B.  Organic sales fell 6% & unit case volume, which helps measure demand without the impact of pricing or foreign currency, declined 4%.  All 4 categories reported declines in unit case volume.  Sparkling soft drinks was the least affected, with its volume falling only 1%.  Demand for Coke Zero Sugar & trademark Coke drinks lifted the category, although overall it was hurt by the decline in the North American fountain business.  Juice, dairy & plant-based drinks saw volumes shrink by 6%, hurt by pressure in Asia Pacific & Latin America.  Unit case volume of water, enhanced water & sports drinks fell by 11%.  The company noted qtr-over-qtr improvements in demand.  While the pandemic continues to limit drink purchases at movie theaters, restaurants & office buildings, KO said at-home demand is still elevated.  Away-from-home volume fell by the mid-teens, an improvement from its nadir of 50%, helped by higher sales at fast-food restaurants & convenience stores.  As it navigates the crisis, KO is undergoing a transformation.  It is slimming its portfolio, cutting drinks like Tab that haven't sold well & don't have much opportunity for growth.  KO stock was up 67¢.
If you would like to learn more about KO, click on this link:
club.ino.com/trend/analysis/stock/KO?a_aid=CD3289&a_bid=6ae5b6f7

Coca-Cola earnings top estimates, despite 9% decline in revenue

Gold settled lower, but comments from House Speaker Nancy Pelosi raised hopes for a deal on another round of coronavirus aid, prompting prices to hold ground above the key $1900-an-ounce mark.  Analysts, however, attributed overall weakness in prices for the precious metal to strength in the $ & a continued push higher in Treasury yields, which can dull the luster of gold & other commodities, which are non-yielding assets.  Gold for Dec fell $24 (1.3%) to settle at $1904 an ounce after touching an intraday low of $1894.  Prices settled at $1929 in the previous session, the highest most-active contract finish since Sep 18.

Gold settles lower, but holds above $1,900 on signs of fiscal stimulus bill progress

Oil futures ended higher, as a fall in US weekly jobless claims to a new pandemic low & progress toward a fresh coronavirus aid package boosted prospects for energy demand.  Prices also found support after Russia’s Pres Vladimir Putin said his country has not ruled out delaying production increases by OPEC & their allies that are set to be implemented in Jan.  The group of producers, collectively known as OPEC+, includes Russia.  West Texas Intermediate crude for Dec delivery rose 61¢ (1.5%) to settle at $40.64 a barrel.  Dec Brent crude, the global benchmark, added 73¢ (1.8%) at $42.46 a barrel.  Some analysts said upside for oil was likely to remain limited after an unexpected rise in US gasoline inventories in weekly data that underlined concerns over fuel demand.

Oil prices end higher as some signs point to demand recovery

Pelosi claims they are close to a deal, whatever that means.  However the 2 big issues: (1) state & local funding & (2) liability protections for businesses remain.  From the start, they have been the biggest impediments to a deal.   Negotiations drone on.

Dow Jones Industrials








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