Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Markets gain on European bailout hopes

Dow was up 44, advancers ahead of decliners 3-1 & NAZ rose 37.  Bank stocks had a modest gain, uncertain whether to climb higher or react to the confusing debt situation in Greece (among their many problems).

S&P 500 Financials Sector Index


Value167.27One-Year Chart for S&P 500 Financials Sector Index GICS Level 1 (S5FINL:IND)
Change    1.05     (0.6%)

The MLP index rose & the REIT index gained a fraction to 220.  Junk bond funds were up, typically around 1%, but Treasuries fell.  There was an auction of 10 year Treasury notes today & the yield was 2%, low by historical standards but a little above where it has been in the last week.  Oil climbed, rising above $90, on speculation tomorrow's inventory report will show stockpiles dropped.  Gold has had a choppy time of it after reaching its $1900+ record last month.  But its still up over $400 YTD!

Alerian MLP Index


Value348.33One-Year Chart for Alerian MLP Index (AMZ:IND)
Change    1.32   (0.4%)


Get the latest market update below:




Treasury yields:


U.S. 3-month

0.005%

U.S. 2-year

0.205%

U.S. 10-year

1.989%

CLV11.NYM...Crude Oil Oct 11...90.01 ...Up 1.82  (2.1%)

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]





The Treasury Dept reported the deficit federal grew $134B in Aug. At that rate, the CBO projects the deficit will total $1.28T when the budget year ends in 2 weeks.  That would nearly match last year's $1.29B imbalance & come in below the record $1.41B in fiscal 2009. A congressional panel is seeking agreement on $1.5T  ($1T = 1,000,000,000,000)  in savings over the next decade.  CBO Director Douglas Elmendorf warned that spiraling interest payments could swamp the ability by the gov to pay for its operations & could spark a financial crisis if nothing is done.  Interest on the debt is the fastest growing category.  Payments totaled $233B through Aug, up 15% from the same period a year ago. And that's in a low interest rate environment!  Revenues for Oct-Aug totaled $2.06T, up 7.6% from a year ago.  Tax receipts have increased as more people have gone back to work.  Spending totaled $3.3T, an increase of 3.8% from 2010. Before 2009, the deficit had never come close to $1T in a single year!!

Budget Deficit in U.S. Grew to $134.2 Billion in August on Calendar Effect


    <p>The Windows 8 home screen is shown in this publicity photo released to Reuters September 13, 2011. REUTERS/Microsoft/Handout</p>
          The  new Windows 8
          Photo:   Yahoo

Microsoft, a Dow stock, handed out 5K tablet computers running a test version of Windows 8 to stoke excitement over its new operating system.  The devices, are powered by Intel, another Dow stock,  i5 chips.  It includes features tailored for touchscreens & tablets as MSFT is aimed at the iPad.  Tablet makers are expected to start selling products with Windows 8 by the middle of next year at the earliest.  The new system boots up in seconds & features a home page filled with colorful tiles taking the user directly into applications such as Facebook, messaging or news feeds.  MSFT has sold 450M Windows 7 licenses in 2 years, but it still accounts for less than one-third of global Windows users. Tablets running Windows 8 will be able to connect easily to printers, cameras & other devices (i.e. mouse & keyboards).  Separately MSFT is likely to raise its quarterly div to 19¢ from 16¢, possibly later this week.  The stock rose 15¢ & will yield almost 3% if the div increase is approved.


Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)


stock chart


While stocks gained, very little was decided as was the case yesterday.  Markets have had a rough summer, shown below in the chart.  Dow is down 460 YTD & the negative performance came in the last 2 months.  Refinancing Greek bonds is going nowhere, despite reassurances by officials,  The federal deficit drones on, $4B every day.  The Congressional super committee will try to figure out how to stop the bleeding.  It has just 2 months, or mandated budget cuts will kick in.  There will be a very ugly fight, not good for stocks.

Dow Industrials (INDU)


stock chart


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1 comment:

Kevin12345 said...

One more bailout....
Euro zone has reached on such a stage where it will eat up whole world by being bailed out by every country . Franc and UK has already
started feeling heat due to huge bail out of greece and portugal...
To avoid the risks, I follow http://www.forecastfortomorrow.com/ they give an accurate predictions about the market and other happenings.