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Friday, September 16, 2016
Lower markets with bank stocks under pressure
Dow dropped 88, decliners over advancers almost 2-1 & NAZ was off 5. The MLP index went up 1+ to the 299s (stuck in in sideways trend for months) & the REIT index was off fractionally to the 347s. Junk bond funds were little changed & Treasuries inched higher following recent selling. Oil (see below) fell & gold was sold again.
Oil fell to a one-month low in New York on speculation that the
resumption of shipments from Libya & Nigeria may add to the global
surplus. Libya & Nigeria, whose supplies have been reduced
by domestic conflicts, are preparing to boost exports within weeks. A tanker that’s supposed to collect crude from a key
Libyan terminal for the first time in almost 2 years should load tomorrow. The oil surplus will last longer than previously thought, the International Energy Agency said.
Oil
has fluctuated since rallying in Aug amid speculation OPEC & Russia would agree on
measures to stabilize the market at a meeting in Algiers later this
month. All 14 members will attend the Sep 27 meeting. Oil explorers continued adding drilling rigs in the
US in a sign of optimism that the market will move toward higher
prices in the coming year despite the extended supply glut. Producers
haven't pulled back activity since the end of Jun. West Texas
Intermediate for Oct fell 98¢ (2.2%) to
$42.93 a barrel after reaching $42.74, the lowest
since Aug 11. Prices are down 6.4% this week & total volume was 6.7% above the 100-day average. Oil's
decline accelerated as the $ climbed to the strongest level since
Jul & higher-than-forecast US consumer-price data boosted the
outlook for the economy. Libya’s state oil company on Wed lifted curbs on crude sales from the ports of Ras Lanuf, Es Sider &
Zueitina, potentially unlocking 300K barrels a day of supply. In
Nigeria, shipments are expected to be resumed. World oil
stockpiles will continue to accumulate in 2017, a 4th
consecutive year of oversupply, according to the IEA. Gasoline
rose for a2nd day after the restart of a pipeline carrying fuel to
New York Harbor was delayed.
Household wealth in the US accelerated in Q2,
boosted by higher financial assets & rising real-estate values, data from the Federal Reserve. Net
worth for households & non-profit groups rose $1.08T (1.2%) to $89T in Q2 from the previous 3 months. Value of financial assets, including stocks & pension fund holdings, increased by $715B. Household
real-estate assets in net worth climbed by $417B & owner's
equity as a share of total real-estate holdings increased to 57.1% from 56.6%. A 1.9%
gain in the S&P 500 in Q2, along
with household wealth generated from rising house prices, signal
Americans’ financial positions continue to strengthen in the 8th year
of the expansion. A re-acceleration in wages would provide a further
boost to balance sheets, giving consumers even greater wherewithal to
continue spending. Household debt increased at a 4.4% annual rate last qtr, the most in 2 years. Mortgage
borrowing rose at a 2.5% pace; other forms of consumer credit,
including auto & student loans, climbed at a 6.4% rate, the
most since Q3-2015. Total non-financial debt rose at a 4.4% annual pace. Federal
gov obligations increased 5%, state & local gov
debt advanced at a 2.2% pace & business borrowing rose 4.1%,
United Technologies, a Dow stock, CEO said the
company plans to deliver 150 Pratt & Whitney engines this year,
down from its earlier target of 200. Greg Hayes said aluminum-titanium fan blades are among about 5 engine parts causing the "pain" of slow deliveries. But the company
is continuing to build engines since the fan blades go on at the end of
assembly. The stock fell 2.61. If you would like to learn more about UTX, click on this link: club.ino.com/trend/analysis/stock/UTX?a_aid=CD3289&a_bid=6ae5b6f7
Macro economic news continues to be unimpressive, but that doesn't interest traders. Banks with lots of problem are getting their attention. Wells Fargo (WFC), down 72¢ to 45.43 today, is under fire & execs will be called before Congress next week. That casts a dark cloud over all banking stocks. Dow remains in its sideways trading pattern, a little above 18K while it waits for Janet's announcement next week.
![Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]](http://www.kitco.com/images/live/gold.gif?0.9565189148578349)
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